Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Akhmat
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Rodina Moskva
Akhmat-Arena, Grozny·Evgeni Bulanov 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Akhmat Rest
6 days
Rodina Moskva Rest
6 days

Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva: result, form and history

Akhmat beat Rodina Moskva 1-0 in the Premier League on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Rodina Moskva had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Akhmat.

Akhmat tend to win more corners, 5.1 a game to 2.5 for Rodina Moskva.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.78
X
24%4.10
2
24%4.25
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
48%2.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.66
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.16 = 2.56
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.72
Over 3.5
34%2.71
Under 1.5
23%4.11
Under 2.5
45%2.19
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.50
Over 9.5
45%1.88
Over 10.5
34%2.38
Under 8.5
43%2.38
Under 9.5
55%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

34'Klisman CakeAssist: Ismael Silva
39'Yordy ReynaFoul
59'Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov INArtem Maksimenko out
59'Mickael Nade INArtem Meshchaninov out
60'Georgiy Melkadze INMohamed Konate out
64'Andrey EgorychevFoul
70'Andrey Egorychev INKirill Ushatov out
70'Yordy Reyna INIker Pozo out
76'Kirill ShchetininFoul
77'Brian Mansilla INIvan Timoshenko out
80'Kirill Shchetinin INGalymzhan Kenzhebek out
85'Turpal-Ali Ibishev INManuel Keliano out
86'Iker PozoFoul

Lineups

Akhmat
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Gusev
Rodina Moskva
4-4-2Coach: Jonatan Alba
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.42
R. Mitsaev6.571R. Mitsaev
A. Adamov7.995A. Adamov
K. Sidibé6.76K. Sidibé
K. Cake8.05K. Cake
M. Sidorov7.481M. Sidorov
T. Ibishev6.94T. Ibishev
Ismael Silva Lima7.711I. Silva Lima
M. Samorodov7.020M. Samorodov
Egas Cacintura6.617E. Cacintura
K. Shchetinin7.110K. Shchetinin
G. Melkadze6.377G. Melkadze
S. Volkov6.213S. Volkov
Igor Silva6.12I. Silva
Rodrigo Becão7.050R. Becão
M. Nadé6.975M. Nadé
D. Machado6.620D. Machado
M. Abdusalamov6.918M. Abdusalamov
L. Musaev6.538L. Musaev
A. Egorychev6.05A. Egorychev
B. Mansilla6.411B. Mansilla
G. Onugkha6.57G. Onugkha
Y. Reyna6.010Y. Reyna

Akhmat Substitutes

1V. Ulyanov
8M. Bogosavac
87A. R. Elberdov
70A. Gadzhiev
97A. Kasadzhikov
42Manuel Keliano85'for Turpal-Ali Ibishev6.8
23G. Kenzhebek80'for Kirill Shchetinin6.7
54K. Kistenev
13M. Konaté60'for Georgiy Melkadze6.8
76E. Maksuti
88G. Shelia

Rodina Moskva Substitutes

6R. Fishchenko
77A. Gharibyan
3L. Goglichidze
9A. Maksimenko59'for Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov6.3
26A. Meshchaninov59'for Mickael Nade6.7
8Iker Pozo70'for Yordy Reyna86'6.1
88A. Sokol
19D. Tananeev
99I. Timoshenko77'for Brian Mansilla6.3
23K. Ushatov70'for Andrey Egorychev6.3
1S. Aydarov
95K. Cissoko

Match Stats

AkhmatRodina Moskva
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
19Fouls23
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
342Total Passes393
259Passes Accurate319
22Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

AkhmatAkhmat
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
1484Elo Rating 1485
0.47Attack 1.58
1.49Defense 1.38
0%Hit Rate 46%
11.9Shots per Game 9.7
3.0Shots on Target 3.7
5.1Corners per Game 2.5
2.0Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AkhmatAkhmat
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

AkhmatAkhmat
1W2D7L
31/10/2026
DynamoAkhmat
20
L
27/10/2026
FakelAkhmat
3010
L
23/10/2026
AkhmatFC Orenburg
01
L
18/10/2026
ZenitAkhmat
32
L
14/10/2026
AkhmatDynamo
12
L
11/10/2026
AkhmatBaltika
00
D
17/09/2026
AkronAkhmat
20
L
13/09/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
32
W
07/09/2026
RubinAkhmat
11
D
03/09/2026
DynamoAkhmat
30
L

Referee Profile

Evgeni Bulanov3 matches analysed

4.17Cards per match
3.99Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 25% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit14101332:15+1731DWWWW
2DynamoDynamo14101323:13+1031WWLWW
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1492327:11+1629WWLWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1475225:18+726WLDDL
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1475223:16+726LDWLW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1454518:19-119DWWDW
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1446419:20-118WLWLD
8RubinRubin1446414:18-418WWLLL
9BaltikaBaltika1445517:15+217LWDDD
10FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1438314:14017LDWDW
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1451817:26-916WLLDL
12AkhmatAkhmat1435616:19-314WLLLD
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1433815:29-1412LWWDL
14AkronAkron1426617:25-812LLWDL
15LokomotivLokomotiv1425716:21-511LLLDW
16FakelFakel1413109:23-146LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1432:1531
2DynamoDynamo1423:1331
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1427:1129
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1425:1826
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1423:1626
6FC RostovFC Rostov1418:1919
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1419:2018
8RubinRubin1414:1818
9BaltikaBaltika1417:1517
10FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1414:1417
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1417:2616
12AkhmatAkhmat1416:1914
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1415:2912
14AkronAkron1417:2512
15LokomotivLokomotiv1416:2111
16FakelFakel149:236
Relegation

About the Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Akhmat and Rodina Moskva in the Premier League table

Akhmat and Rodina Moskva are close in the Premier League table, 12th and 13th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Akhmat 16-19, Rodina Moskva 15-29. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Akhmat and Rodina Moskva have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.