Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Barracas·Nicolas Lamolina 22/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.86
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
Barracas Central Rest
7 days
Independ. Rivadavia Rest
5 days

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: the result in context

Independ. Rivadavia beat Barracas Central 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 21 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Independ. Rivadavia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Barracas Central.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.40
X
29%3.00
2
43%2.30
Double Chance
1X
57%1.57
X2
71%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.15
No
53%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 1.33 = 2.34
Over 1.5
64%1.53
Over 2.5
39%2.65
Over 3.5
20%5.50
Under 1.5
36%2.44
Under 2.5
61%1.44
Under 3.5
80%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.7
Over 8.5
50%1.93
Over 9.5
40%2.48
Over 10.5
31%3.40
Under 8.5
50%1.81
Under 9.5
60%1.46
Under 10.5
69%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.1 = 4.5
Over 3.5
67%1.29
Over 4.5
48%1.57
Under 3.5
33%3.40
Under 4.5
52%2.30

Match Events

12'Jose Ignacio FlorentinAssist: Luciano Gomez
45+2'Elías PereyraFoul
53'Esteban Rolón INGonzalo Maroni out
60'Nicolás DemartiniFoul
61'Rodrigo Bogarin INEnzo Taborda out
61'Elías Pereyra INRodrigo Insua out
68'Luis Sequeira INTomas Bottari out
68'Maximiliano Salas INLeonel Bucca out
77'Fabrizio Sartori Prieto INLuis Ángel Díaz Cuesta out
77'Rafael Barrios INDamián Martínez out
77'Norberto Briasco INFacundo Bruera out
81'Rodrigo InsuaFoul
89'Enzo TabordaArgument
89'Luciano GomezArgument
90'Matías Fernández INGonzalo Rios out
90'Luciano Gomez INAlex Vigo out
90+3'Gonzalo MaroniFoul
90+4'Marcelo MiñoArgument

Lineups

Barracas Central
5-3-2Coach: D. Ayude
Independ. Rivadavia
3-1-4-2Coach: A. Berti
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.61
M. Miño7.930M. Miño
R. Bogarín6.128R. Bogarín
R. Barrios6.613R. Barrios
Y. Rak6.815Y. Rak
N. Demartini6.031N. Demartini
E. Pereyra6.017E. Pereyra
E. Rolón6.235E. Rolón
D. Miloc6.85D. Miloc
I. Tapia6.310I. Tapia
N. Briasco6.711N. Briasco
J. Candia6.420J. Candia
Nicolás Bolcato6.430N. Bolcato
L. Costa6.82L. Costa
I. Villalba6.340I. Villalba
S. Studer7.142S. Studer
J. Florentín8.125J. Florentín
L. Gómez6.314L. Gómez
M. Fernández6.110M. Fernández
L. Sequeira6.977L. Sequeira
J. Elordi6.23J. Elordi
F. Sartori6.043F. Sartori
M. Salas6.717M. Salas

Barracas Central Substitutes

24Enzo Taborda61'for Rodrigo Bogarin89'5.6
19Carlos Arce
7J. Barbieri6.3
77F. Bruera77'for Norberto Briasco6.6
37G. Campi
2N. Capraro
43Luca Ian Fernández
16Ivan Guaraz
6R. Insúa61'for Elías Pereyra81'6.1
36Tomas Lavezzi
33G. Maroni53'for Esteban Rolón90+3'6.3
4D. Martínez77'for Rafael Barrios6.2

Independ. Rivadavia Substitutes

5T. Bottari68'for Luis Sequeira6.6
8L. Bucca68'for Maximiliano Salas6.6
27D. Crego
23L. Díaz77'for Fabrizio Sartori Prieto6.4
21Emmanuel Gómez
34S. Moreyra
13A. Osella
7V. Ramis
11G. Ríos90'for Matías Fernández
28A. Vigo90'for Luciano Gomez
32K. Vázquez
19R. Atencio

Match Stats

Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks5
6Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
1Offsides8
6Goalkeeper Saves2
592Total Passes285
479Passes Accurate179
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Barracas CentralBarracas Central
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
1626Elo Rating 1723
1.45Attack 1.04
2.03Defense 0.98
42%Hit Rate 17%
12.9Shots per Game 12.5
4.0Shots on Target 4.1
5.2Corners per Game 4.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Barracas CentralBarracas Central
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Barracas CentralBarracas Central3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia2Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina12/03/2026
Independ. RivadaviaBarracas Central
12
Liga Profesional Argentina20/07/2025
Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
03
Liga Profesional Argentina29/01/2025
Independ. RivadaviaBarracas Central
00
Liga Profesional Argentina07/10/2024
Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
11
Primera Nacional09/10/2021
Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
13
Primera Nacional17/06/2021
Independ. RivadaviaBarracas Central
00
Primera Nacional28/11/2020
Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
21
Primera Nacional03/11/2019
Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
10

Referee Profile

Nicolas Lamolina122 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Lamolina5.48
Other referees5.27

5.48 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WWWWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428LWLWD
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426WLLDW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WWDDL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LLWWD
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WLDWW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDLLD
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1374220:11+925LWLWD
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1374217:11+625LWWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1364314:10+422WLLDW
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
6River PlateRiver Plate1362518:13+520WWWWW
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1354411:10+119WLDWW
8HuracanHuracan1354412:12019WWDDL
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1354417:21-419WWWWL
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1333714:20-612LLWWD
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto132388:17-99LDLLL
15AldosiviAldosivi1322914:22-88LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1320:1125
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1317:1125
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1314:1022
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
6River PlateRiver Plate1318:1320
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1311:1019
8HuracanHuracan1312:1219
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1317:2119
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1314:2012
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto138:179
15AldosiviAldosivi1314:228

About the Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barracas Central and Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Independ. Rivadavia are 1st and Barracas Central 9th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Barracas Central 15-15, Independ. Rivadavia 29-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Independ. Rivadavia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.