Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires· Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
2.13
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+9.0%
Independiente Rest
5 days
Independ. Rivadavia Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.00
X
32%3.20
2
27%3.95
Double Chance
1X
73%1.23
X2
59%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.05
No
50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.04 = 2.23
Over 1.5
72%1.44
Over 2.5
45%2.40
Over 3.5
22%4.50
Under 1.5
28%2.70
Under 2.5
55%1.56
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.68
Over 9.5
52%2.13
Over 10.5
35%2.70
Under 8.5
38%2.05
Under 9.5
48%1.65
Under 10.5
65%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.3 = 5.2
Over 3.5
69%1.28
Over 4.5
55%1.66
Under 3.5
31%2.95
Under 4.5
45%2.10

Match Events

58'S. AriasFoul
62'E. BonifacioFoul
71'S. Montiel INM. Abaldo out
71'J. Palais INM. Gutierrez out
74'L. Costa ING. Rios out
77'M. Salas INL. Bucca out
77'E. Bonifacio INA. Vigo out
78'A. VigoFoul
81'J. M. ElordiFoul
82'L. Millan INL. Cabral out
86'M. Fernandez INL. Sequeira out
90'M. Perez Curci INM. Meza out
90'S. Arias INL. Godoy out
90+4'M. AbaldoFoul

Match Stats

IndependienteIndepend. Rivadavia
61%Ball Possession39%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
8Fouls12
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
489Total Passes317
390Passes Accurate213
80%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

IndependienteIndependiente
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
1671Elo Rating 1759
0.92Attack 2.22
2.01Defense 1.31
37%Hit Rate 63%
14.6Shots per Game 12.8
4.1Shots on Target 6.3
5.4Corners per Game 1.9
1.6Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IndependienteIndependiente
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

Independiente 33%Draw 0%67% Independ. Rivadavia
2.55Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina · 37 matches analysed

5.7Avg Yellows
5.9Avg Cards
25.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 99% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231LLWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330DWDDD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWDWD
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WDLWW
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424DWDLW
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324WWLDL
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDDWD
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421DWWWD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LLDWW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319WDDDD
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDDLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516DDDWD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WDLWD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DLLLD
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711DDDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434LDDWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WDWLL
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WDDDW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428DWWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426WLWDW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WDLWD
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422LWLDW
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DWDDW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWLL
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLDW
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719DWLLL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218LWLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLLLW
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DDLLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba961210:6+419LLDWW
2Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1053213:11+218WDDDD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield945012:7+517DWDWD
4Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.951314:9+516DDDLL
5Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors935112:11+114DWDDD
6IndependienteIndependiente94238:7+114DWDLW
7LanusLanus941411:8+313WWLDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe941416:14+213DWWWD
9Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys934210:8+213DLLLD
10San LorenzoSan Lorenzo93244:6-211DDDWD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.93159:9010LLWWD
12Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra92348:10-29DDDDD
13PlatensePlatense92349:14-59DDDWD
14Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba922510:14-48WDLWW
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago102267:13-68WDLWD

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS953113:8+518WDDDW
2Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin951316:13+316DWLLL
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.951313:13016WDLWD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central943210:8+215DWWLW
5Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia942313:13014LDDWL
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba93429:6+313WLWDW
7River PlateRiver Plate941412:10+213WDWLL
8Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman93427:5+213DLLLW
9HuracanHuracan93428:7+113LWLDW
10TigreTigre93337:6+112DDLDW
11Barracas CentralBarracas Central93335:6-112WDWLL
12BanfieldBanfield92259:14-58LWLWL
13Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto91354:11-76LLWLL
14AldosiviAldosivi912611:16-55DDLLL
15Racing ClubRacing Club91268:15-75DWDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS913:818
2Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin916:1316
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.913:1316
4Rosario CentralRosario Central910:815
5Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia913:1314
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba99:613
7River PlateRiver Plate912:1013
8Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman97:513
9HuracanHuracan98:713
10TigreTigre97:612
11Barracas CentralBarracas Central95:612
12BanfieldBanfield99:148
13Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto94:116
14AldosiviAldosivi911:165
15Racing ClubRacing Club98:155

Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia have met 3 times recently, averaging 2.55 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.