Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Başakşehir
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Kasımpaşa
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul· Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalSOLIDModel64%RiskMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+6.9%
Başakşehir Rest
7 days
Kasımpaşa Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.63
X
22%3.94
2
15%5.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.16
X2
37%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.73
No
44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.04 = 2.82
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.74
Over 3.5
32%2.83
Under 1.5
17%4.00
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.53
Over 9.5
49%1.91
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
41%2.35
Under 9.5
51%1.81
Under 10.5
62%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.9
Over 3.5
68%1.33
Over 4.5
47%1.71
Under 3.5
32%2.91
Under 4.5
53%2.02

Match Events

3'J. Opoku
13'O. Kemen
18'E. ShomurodovAssist: U. Bozok
46'G. Yalcin INA. Kol out
46'A. Dagbasi INF. Diabate out
46'A. Fayzullaev INY. Sari out
55'C. Winck
64'O. Kemen INO. Ergun out
70'E. Mendes INM. Rafferty out
73'U. Bozok IND. Selke out
73'A. Skov Olsen INH. Gureler out
81'F. DiabateAssist: A. Benedyczak
87'A. Karapo INE. Boz out
90'H. Gureler

Lineups

Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuri Sahin
Kasımpaşa
5-4-1Coach: Emre Belozoglu
Muhammed Şengezer16M. ŞengezerMuhammed Şengezer
Ömer Ali Şahiner42Ö. Ali ŞahinerÖmer Ali Şahiner
Emin Bayram23E. BayramEmin Bayram
Jerome Opoku3J. OpokuJerome Opoku
Christopher Operi21C. OperiChristopher Operi
Olivier Kemen8O. KemenOlivier Kemen
Umut Güneş20U. GüneşUmut Güneş
Andreas Skov Olsen70A. Skov OlsenAndreas Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov14E. ShomurodovEldor Shomurodov
Abbosbek Fayzullaev11A. FayzullaevAbbosbek Fayzullaev
Umut Bozok17U. BozokUmut Bozok
Andreas Gianniotis1A. GianniotisAndreas Gianniotis
Cláudio Winck2C. WinckCláudio Winck
Adem Arous4A. ArousAdem Arous
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı30A. Taha DağbaşıAhmet Taha Dağbaşı
Matei Ilie27M. IlieMatei Ilie
Ayberk Karapo45A. KarapoAyberk Karapo
Adrian Benedyczak9A. BenedyczakAdrian Benedyczak
Andri Fannar Baldursson16A. Fannar BaldurssonAndri Fannar Baldursson
Kerem Demirbay26K. DemirbayKerem Demirbay
Elson Mendes51E. MendesElson Mendes
Güven Yalçın50G. YalçınGüven Yalçın

Başakşehir Substitutes

7Yusuf SarıF
98Deniz DilmenG
33Michał KarbownikD
15Hamza GürelerD
18Jakub KałuzińskiM
19Berkay ÖzcanM
4Onur ErgünM
91Bertuğ YıldırımF
77Ivan BrnićF
9Davie SelkeF

Kasımpaşa Substitutes

34Fousseni DiabatéF
7Ali Yavuz KolF
25Ali Emre YanarG
24Salih AriciD
14Kevin MouangaD
19Marcus RaffertyM
66Emirhan BozM
8Atakan MujdeM
99Muhammed BektaşF
23Sinan AlkasF

Match Stats

BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls12
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
632Total Passes342
559Passes Accurate263
88%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
1683Elo Rating 1671
1.10Attack 1.50
0.44Defense 1.94
14%Hit Rate 44%
11.4Shots per Game 10.5
2.7Shots on Target 3.5
4.4Corners per Game 3.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Başakşehir 83%Draw 17%0% Kasımpaşa
4.34Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
3W2D0L
22/08/2026
Çorum FKKasımpaşa
01
W
15/08/2026
KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
11
D
01/08/2026
KasımpaşaHull City
11
D
24/07/2026
KasımpaşaGençlerbirliği S.K.
30
W
19/07/2026
KayserisporKasımpaşa
12
W

Referee Profile

Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye · 10 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
26.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 71% of referees analysed

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray541013:6+713WWWWD
2BeşiktaşBeşiktaş540112:4+812WWWLW
3AmedAmed531112:5+710WDWLW
4KasımpaşaKasımpaşa52307:5+29WDDWD
5RizesporRizespor53025:4+19WLWLW
6KocaelisporKocaelispor53025:4+19LWWWL
7Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK52217:5+28DWLWD
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor52216:5+18DWLWD
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor52129:5+47LWLWD
10Çorum FKÇorum FK521212:10+27WWLLD
11FenerbahçeFenerbahçe52128:6+27DLWWL
12Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.52125:9-47LLDWW
13SamsunsporSamsunspor51136:11-54LLLWD
14BaşakşehirBaşakşehir51136:11-54LLDLW
15Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK51132:11-94LWDLL
16KonyasporKonyaspor51044:8-43WLLLL
17EyüpsporEyüpspor51042:8-63LLWLL
18GöztepeGöztepe50239:13-42DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray513:613
2BeşiktaşBeşiktaş512:412
3AmedAmed512:510
4KasımpaşaKasımpaşa57:59
5RizesporRizespor55:49
6KocaelisporKocaelispor55:49
7Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK57:58
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor56:58
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor59:57
10Çorum FKÇorum FK512:107
11FenerbahçeFenerbahçe58:67
12Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.55:97
13SamsunsporSamsunspor56:114
14BaşakşehirBaşakşehir56:114
15Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK52:114
16KonyasporKonyaspor54:83
17EyüpsporEyüpspor52:83
18GöztepeGöztepe59:132
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Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Süper Lig fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Süper Lig

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Key Factors for This Match

Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.34 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.