Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Başakşehir
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Kasımpaşa
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul·Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Başakşehir Rest
7 days
Kasımpaşa Rest
8 days

Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa: the result in context

Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa drew 1-1 in the Süper Lig on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Başakşehir have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game. Kasımpaşa tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.3 for Başakşehir.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.63
X
22%3.94
2
15%5.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.16
X2
37%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.73
No
44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.04 = 2.82
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.74
Over 3.5
32%2.83
Under 1.5
17%4.00
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.53
Over 9.5
49%1.91
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
41%2.35
Under 9.5
51%1.81
Under 10.5
62%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.9
Over 3.5
68%1.33
Over 4.5
47%1.71
Under 3.5
32%2.91
Under 4.5
53%2.02

Match Events

3'J. Opoku
13'O. Kemen
18'E. ShomurodovAssist: U. Bozok
46'G. Yalcin INA. Kol out
46'A. Dagbasi INF. Diabate out
46'A. Fayzullaev INY. Sari out
55'C. Winck
64'O. Kemen INO. Ergun out
70'E. Mendes INM. Rafferty out
73'U. Bozok IND. Selke out
73'A. Skov Olsen INH. Gureler out
81'F. DiabateAssist: A. Benedyczak
87'A. Karapo INE. Boz out
90'H. Gureler

Lineups

Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuri Sahin
Kasımpaşa
5-4-1Coach: Emre Belozoglu
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.64
Muhammed Şengezer6.616M. Şengezer
Ömer Ali ŞahinerC6.342Ö. Ali Şahiner
Emin Bayram7.323E. Bayram
Jerome Opoku6.53J. Opoku
Christopher Operi6.221C. Operi
Olivier Kemen7.38O. Kemen
Umut Güneş7.720U. Güneş
Andreas Skov Olsen6.970A. Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov7.014E. Shomurodov
Abbosbek Fayzullaev6.311A. Fayzullaev
Umut Bozok6.917U. Bozok
Andreas Gianniotis5.91A. Gianniotis
Cláudio WinckC7.32C. Winck
Adem Arous6.74A. Arous
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı6.230A. Taha Dağbaşı
Matei Ilie6.627M. Ilie
Ayberk Karapo6.945A. Karapo
Adrian Benedyczak6.69A. Benedyczak
Andri Fannar Baldursson6.716A. Fannar Baldursson
Kerem Demirbay7.026K. Demirbay
Elson Mendes6.051E. Mendes
Güven Yalçın6.750G. Yalçın

Başakşehir Substitutes

7Yusuf Sarı46'for A. Fayzullaev6.5
98Deniz Dilmen
33Michał Karbownik
15Hamza Güreler73'for A. Skov Olsen90'6.5
18Jakub Kałuziński
19Berkay Özcan
4Onur Ergün64'for O. Kemen6.3
91Bertuğ Yıldırım
77Ivan Brnić
9Davie Selke73'for U. Bozok6.6

Kasımpaşa Substitutes

34Fousseni Diabaté46'for A. Dagbasi81'7.3
7Ali Yavuz Kol46'for G. Yalcin6.3
25Ali Emre Yanar
24Salih Arici
14Kevin Mouanga
19Marcus Rafferty70'for E. Mendes6.7
66Emirhan Boz87'for A. Karapo
8Atakan Mujde
99Muhammed Bektaş
23Sinan Alkas

Match Stats

BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
64%Ball Possession36%
5Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
640Total Passes362
562Passes Accurate278
88%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
1702Elo Rating 1701
1.12Attack 1.98
1.53Defense 2.04
39%Hit Rate 69%
11.0Shots per Game 14.0
4.4Shots on Target 4.7
3.3Corners per Game 5.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir9Wins · 90%
Draws110%
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa0Wins · 0%
4.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
100%3+ goals10 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig24/04/2026
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
40
Süper Lig29/11/2025
KasımpaşaBaşakşehir
13
Süper Lig18/05/2025
KasımpaşaBaşakşehir
23
Süper Lig23/12/2024
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
22
Süper Lig05/05/2024
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
41
Süper Lig09/01/2024
KasımpaşaBaşakşehir
03
Süper Lig21/01/2023
KasımpaşaBaşakşehir
13
Süper Lig08/08/2022
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
40
Süper Lig30/04/2022
KasımpaşaBaşakşehir
23
Süper Lig11/12/2021
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
21

Recent Form

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
5W2D3L
23/08/2026
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
21
L
16/08/2026
BaşakşehirKocaelispor
20
W
30/07/2026
Inter TurkuBaşakşehir
20
L
22/07/2026
BaşakşehirInter Turku
11
D
16/07/2026
Puskas AcademyBaşakşehir
02
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
W
10/07/2026
RiedBaşakşehir
11
D
06/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowBaşakşehir
31
L
16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
W
09/05/2026
BaşakşehirSamsunspor
30
W
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
4W4D2L
22/08/2026
Çorum FKKasımpaşa
01
W
15/08/2026
KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
11
D
01/08/2026
KasımpaşaHull City
11
D
24/07/2026
KasımpaşaGençlerbirliği S.K.
30
W
19/07/2026
KayserisporKasımpaşa
12
W
18/07/2026
KasımpaşaBatman Petrolspor
11
D
17/05/2026
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
10
W
09/05/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Kasımpaşa
32
L
03/05/2026
KasımpaşaKocaelispor
11
D
24/04/2026
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
40
L

Referee Profile

Halil Umut Meler211 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Halil Umut Meler4.86
Other referees4.58

4.86 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1081123:12+1125WWWWL
2AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor961222:8+1419WWWWL
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe951323:8+1516LWWWD
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1051421:16+516WLWWL
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1051411:9+216WLLWL
9Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK104249:15-614LWWDW
10GöztepeGöztepe933319:16+312WWWDD
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir932412:14-211LWDWL
13RizesporRizespor1032511:15-411LLLDW
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
15KonyasporKonyaspor102266:13-78LWLDD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1023:1225
2AmedAmed920:1020
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor922:819
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe923:816
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1021:1616
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1011:916
9Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK109:1514
10GöztepeGöztepe919:1612
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir912:1411
13RizesporRizespor1011:1511
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
15KonyasporKonyaspor106:138
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Kasımpaşa are 7th and Başakşehir 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Başakşehir 12-14, Kasımpaşa 13-9. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kasımpaşa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.