Başakşehir vs Galatasaray Prediction

Başakşehir
2-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Galatasaray
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul·K. Saglam 04/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+14.1%
Başakşehir Rest
4 days
Galatasaray Rest
5 days

Başakşehir vs Galatasaray: the result in context

Galatasaray beat Başakşehir 3-2 in the Süper Lig on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Galatasaray have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%4.90
X
24%4.20
2
50%1.60
Double Chance
1X
50%2.25
X2
74%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.51
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.44 = 2.77
Over 1.5
83%1.12
Over 2.5
60%1.47
Over 3.5
33%2.19
Under 1.5
17%5.28
Under 2.5
40%2.58
Under 3.5
67%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.57
Over 9.5
49%1.95
Over 10.5
38%2.46
Under 8.5
41%2.23
Under 9.5
51%1.77
Under 10.5
62%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.44
Over 4.5
44%1.87
Under 3.5
36%2.67
Under 4.5
56%1.87

Match Events

16'Victor OsimhenAssist: Lucas Torreira
17'Goal confirmedVictor Osimhen
33'Victor Osimhen INBaris Alper Yilmaz out
37'Christopher OperiFoul
45'Mario Lemina INAbdulkerim Bardakçı out
63'Christopher Operi INSaba Kharebashvili out
63'Roland SallaiFoul
66'Eldor Shomurodov(Penalty)
67'Davinson SánchezDissent
67'Okan BurukDissent
68'Aleksey Batrakov INRafael Leão out
71'Lucas TorreiraAssist: Ismail Jakobs
74'Abbosbek Fayzullaev INIvan Brnic out
74'Jakub Kaluzinski INUmut Bozok out
76'Davinson SánchezOG
78'Rafael LeãoFoul
79'Umut BozokSerious foul
83'Andreas Skov Olsen INOusseynou Ba out
83'Ömer Ali Şahiner INMichal Karbownik out
83'Ismail Jakobs INEren Elmalı out
83'Leroy Sané INDeniz Gül out
83'Goal cancelledDavinson Sánchez
89'Saba KharebashviliFoul
90'Gabriel

Lineups

Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Şahin
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1Coach: O. Buruk
Avg rating6.13
Avg rating6.84
D. Dilmen5.698D. Dilmen
Ö. Şahiner6.442Ö. Şahiner
E. Bayram6.423E. Bayram
J. Opoku6.33J. Opoku
C. Operi6.221C. Operi
J. Kałuziński6.618J. Kałuziński
U. Güneş6.320U. Güneş
A. Skov Olsen5.870A. Skov Olsen
O. Kemen5.98O. Kemen
A. Fayzullaev5.911A. Fayzullaev
E. Shomurodov6.914E. Shomurodov
U. Çakır6.61U. Çakır
R. Sallai6.77R. Sallai
D. Sánchez6.16D. Sánchez
M. Lemina6.999M. Lemina
I. Jakobs7.34I. Jakobs
L. Torreira8.434L. Torreira
Gabriel Sara7.98G. Sara
Y. Akgün7.111Y. Akgün
A. Batrakov6.583A. Batrakov
L. Sané6.010L. Sané
V. Osimhen7.645V. Osimhen

Başakşehir Substitutes

91B. Yıldırım
9D. Selke
7Y. Sarı
19B. Özcan
38S. Kharebashvili63'for Christopher Operi89'5.7
33M. Karbownik83'for Ömer Ali Şahiner6.0
77I. Brnić74'for Abbosbek Fayzullaev6.3
17U. Bozok74'for Jakub Kaluzinski79'5.5
27O. Ba83'for Andreas Skov Olsen6.1
1V. Babacan

Galatasaray Substitutes

18L. Ugochukwu
23K. Ayhan
53B. Yılmaz33'for Victor Osimhen6.6
42A. Bardakcı45'for Mario Lemina6.7
74Renato Nhaga
17E. Elmalı83'for Ismail Jakobs6.3
21D. Gül83'for Leroy Sané6.5
20İ. Gündoğan
24J. Yılmaz
27Rafael Leão68'for Aleksey Batrakov78'6.4

Match Stats

BaşakşehirGalatasaray
48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls15
2Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
399Total Passes433
326Passes Accurate371
82%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
GalatasarayGalatasaray
1715Elo Rating 1830
1.60Attack 2.00
1.48Defense 0.95
46%Hit Rate 66%
11.7Shots per Game 13.8
4.3Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 5.3
2.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GalatasarayGalatasaray
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
GalatasarayGalatasaray8Wins · 80%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig14/03/2026
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
30
Türkiye Kupası18/12/2025
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
10
Süper Lig18/10/2025
BaşakşehirGalatasaray
12
Süper Lig30/05/2025
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
20
Süper Lig12/01/2025
BaşakşehirGalatasaray
12
Türkiye Kupası08/01/2025
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
22
Süper Lig10/02/2024
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
20
Süper Lig23/09/2023
BaşakşehirGalatasaray
12
Süper Lig08/05/2023
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
10
Türkiye Kupası05/04/2023
GalatasarayBaşakşehir
23

Recent Form

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
4W3D3L
30/08/2026
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
11
D
23/08/2026
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
21
L
16/08/2026
BaşakşehirKocaelispor
20
W
30/07/2026
Inter TurkuBaşakşehir
20
L
22/07/2026
BaşakşehirInter Turku
11
D
16/07/2026
Puskas AcademyBaşakşehir
02
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
W
10/07/2026
RiedBaşakşehir
11
D
06/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowBaşakşehir
31
L
16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
W
GalatasarayGalatasaray
4W2D4L
29/08/2026
GalatasarayGöztepe
32
W
21/08/2026
Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray
04
W
14/08/2026
GalatasarayÇorum FK
22
D
08/08/2026
GalatasarayVillarreal
12
L
02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
33
D
27/07/2026
GalatasarayVenezia
03
L
24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
02
L
17/07/2026
ÜmraniyesporGalatasaray
15
W
17/05/2026
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
10
L
09/05/2026
GalatasarayAntalyaspor
42
W

Referee Profile

K. Saglam132 matches

5.06Cards per match
4.85Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

K. Saglam5.06
Other referees4.73

5.06 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray861117:11+619WWLWW
2AmedAmed852118:9+917WDWWD
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe851222:6+1616WWWDL
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor851218:5+1316WWWLW
5BeşiktaşBeşiktaş850316:10+615LWLWW
6Çorum FKÇorum FK841318:13+513WWLWW
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa834112:9+313WLDWD
8KocaelisporKocaelispor84049:8+112LLWLW
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor83328:9-112LDWDW
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir832312:12011WDWLL
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK83235:11-611WDWLW
12RizesporRizespor83148:11-310LLDWL
13GöztepeGöztepe823317:16+19WWDDL
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK82248:12-48LLLDW
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.82247:16-98LDLLL
16KonyasporKonyaspor81254:9-55LDDWL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor81167:19-124LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor81072:22-203LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray817:1119
2AmedAmed818:917
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe822:616
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor818:516
5BeşiktaşBeşiktaş816:1015
6Çorum FKÇorum FK818:1313
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa812:913
8KocaelisporKocaelispor89:812
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor88:912
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir812:1211
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK85:1111
12RizesporRizespor88:1110
13GöztepeGöztepe817:169
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK88:128
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.87:168
16KonyasporKonyaspor84:95
17SamsunsporSamsunspor87:194
18EyüpsporEyüpspor82:223
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Başakşehir vs Galatasaray forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Başakşehir and Galatasaray in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Galatasaray are 1st and Başakşehir 10th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Başakşehir 12-12, Galatasaray 17-11. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.