Blackburn vs Cardiff Prediction

Blackburn
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Cardiff
Ewood Park, Blackburn·Tom Nield 10/10/2026
BlackburnBlackburn
2-1
Finished
CardiffCardiff

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Blackburn Rest
21 days
Cardiff Rest
21 days

Blackburn vs Cardiff: result, form and history

Blackburn beat Cardiff 2-1 in the Championship on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Blackburn have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.90
X
27%3.60
2
42%2.27
Double Chance
1X
58%1.59
X2
68%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.50
No
38%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.26 = 2.62
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
36%2.47
Under 1.5
22%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.29
Under 3.5
64%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 5.3 = 10.4
Over 8.5
70%1.25
Over 9.5
58%1.47
Over 10.5
47%1.83
Under 8.5
30%3.32
Under 9.5
42%2.41
Under 10.5
53%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
67%1.65
Over 4.5
48%2.26
Under 3.5
33%2.15
Under 4.5
52%1.59

Match Events

28'Andri Guðjohnsen
38'Todd CantwellAssist: Ryoya Morishita
53'Callum RobinsonAssist: Jack Moylan
60'C. Ashford INChristopher Willock out
63'Andri Guðjohnsen INMoussa·Baradji out
64'Ryoya Morishita INJ. Fevrier out
71'Joel Colwill INDavid Turnbull out
71'Callum Robinson INIsaak Davies out
74'Oladapo Afolayan INAugustus Kargbo out
78'Joel Bagan INRonan Kpakio out
78'Dylan Lawlor INCalum Scanlon out
83'Kristi Montgomery INJake Garrett out
90+6'Todd CantwellFoul

Lineups

Blackburn
4-2-3-1Coach: Tony Mowbray
Cardiff
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.37
B. Tóth6.122B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu6.32R. Alebiosu
H. Carter6.917H. Carter
S. McLoughlin6.115S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering6.23H. Pickering
Sam Morsy6.68S. Morsy
Kristi Montgomery6.531K. Montgomery
R. Morishita7.225R. Morishita
T. Cantwell8.210T. Cantwell
O. Afolayan6.921O. Afolayan
A. Guðjohnsen7.89A. Guðjohnsen
N. Trott7.01N. Trott
P. Ng5.938P. Ng
G. Osho5.84G. Osho
D. Lawlor6.648D. Lawlor
J. Bagan6.93J. Bagan
A. Robertson6.518A. Robertson
J. Colwill6.127J. Colwill
O. Tanner6.511O. Tanner
J. Moylan6.18J. Moylan
Cian Ashford6.045C. Ashford
C. Robinson7.447C. Robinson

Blackburn Substitutes

6Tom Atcheson
24M. Baradji63'for Andri Guðjohnsen6.3
27Gady Beyuku
14D. De Neve
11J. Fevrier64'for Ryoya Morishita6.7
30J. Garrett83'for Kristi Montgomery6.4
7A. Kargbo74'for Oladapo Afolayan6.6
1A. Pears
39H. Pates

Cardiff Substitutes

44R. Kpakio78'for Joel Bagan6.2
43P. Moreno
23C. Scanlon78'for Dylan Lawlor6.2
14D. Turnbull71'for Joel Colwill6.3
30H. Tyrer
16C. Willock60'for C. Ashford6.1
2W. Fish
39I. Davies71'for Callum Robinson6.4
50Charlie Holt

Match Stats

BlackburnCardiff
42%Ball Possession58%
11Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots10
8Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots5
9Fouls6
4Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
329Total Passes462
239Passes Accurate384
6Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

BlackburnBlackburn
CardiffCardiff
1619Elo Rating 1638
1.91Attack 2.38
1.52Defense 1.54
56%Hit Rate 39%
10.6Shots per Game 15.7
3.7Shots on Target 6.0
6.4Corners per Game 6.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BlackburnBlackburn
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CardiffCardiff
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BlackburnBlackburn6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
CardiffCardiff2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship15/03/2025
BlackburnCardiff
12
Championship09/11/2024
CardiffBlackburn
13
Championship20/02/2024
CardiffBlackburn
00
Championship21/10/2023
BlackburnCardiff
10
League Cup27/09/2023
BlackburnCardiff
52
Championship01/01/2023
BlackburnCardiff
10
Championship04/10/2022
CardiffBlackburn
10
Championship15/01/2022
CardiffBlackburn
01
Championship25/09/2021
BlackburnCardiff
51
Championship10/04/2021
CardiffBlackburn
22

Recent Form

BlackburnBlackburn
3W3D4L
19/09/2026
PortsmouthBlackburn
22
D
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
W
08/09/2026
BlackburnSheffield Utd
12
L
05/09/2026
PrestonBlackburn
21
L
01/09/2026
LincolnBlackburn
00
D
29/08/2026
BlackburnQPR
12
L
25/08/2026
BlackburnSheffield Utd
12
L
22/08/2026
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
21
W
14/08/2026
WolvesBlackburn
22
D
08/08/2026
Burton AlbionBlackburn
12
W
CardiffCardiff
2W4D4L
19/09/2026
CardiffCharlton
31
W
12/09/2026
BoltonCardiff
10
L
08/09/2026
CardiffStoke City
11
D
05/09/2026
PortsmouthCardiff
20
L
02/09/2026
QPRCardiff
21
L
29/08/2026
CardiffSheffield Utd
22
D
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
L
22/08/2026
DerbyCardiff
22
D
17/08/2026
CardiffWrexham
11
D
08/08/2026
CardiffSwindon Town
32
W

Referee Profile

Tom Nield182 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.62Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tom Nield3.70
Other referees3.72

3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1172216:8+823LWWWW
3West HamWest Ham1164130:12+1822WWDDW
4BirminghamBirmingham1155120:11+920WWWDW
5West BromWest Brom1162315:12+320WWLLD
6Stoke CityStoke City1161418:16+219WLWWW
7WolvesWolves1153319:16+318DWLLW
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
9SouthamptonSouthampton1163221:10+1117DWWLW
10QPRQPR1145215:12+317LWDDD
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
12BlackburnBlackburn1143417:16+115LWWDW
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14WrexhamWrexham1135315:16-114WLDWL
15Bristol CityBristol City1142512:15-314LLDWL
16BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
17CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
18NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
19LincolnLincoln113359:19-1012DLLLW
20CardiffCardiff1125418:17+111DWLWL
21WatfordWatford1132610:19-911WLLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1115516:21-58LDWDL
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston111199:24-154LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1116:823
3West HamWest Ham1130:1222
4BirminghamBirmingham1120:1120
5West BromWest Brom1115:1220
6Stoke CityStoke City1118:1619
7WolvesWolves1119:1618
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
9SouthamptonSouthampton1121:1017
10QPRQPR1115:1217
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
12BlackburnBlackburn1117:1615
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14WrexhamWrexham1115:1614
15Bristol CityBristol City1112:1514
16BoltonBolton1216:2314
17CharltonCharlton1211:1814
18NorwichNorwich1220:2212
19LincolnLincoln119:1912
20CardiffCardiff1118:1711
21WatfordWatford1110:1911
22BurnleyBurnley1116:218
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston119:244
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About the Blackburn vs Cardiff forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Blackburn and Cardiff in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Blackburn are 12th and Cardiff 20th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Blackburn 17-16, Cardiff 18-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Blackburn have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Cardiff have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.