Cardiff vs Swindon Town Prediction

Cardiff
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Swindon Town
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff· Gavin Ward, England 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+9.4%
Cardiff Rest
7 days
Swindon Town Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.32
X
24%5.30
2
5%8.20
Double Chance
1X
95%1.07
X2
29%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.81
No
54%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.27 + 1.01 = 3.28
Over 1.5
83%1.15
Over 2.5
50%1.51
Over 3.5
32%2.32
Under 1.5
17%4.98
Under 2.5
50%2.40
Under 3.5
68%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Gabriel OshoOG
29'Yousef Salech(Penalty)
43'Yousef SalechAssist: Cian Ashford
46'Sam Inwood INRyan Tafazolli out
58'Isaak Davies INChris Willock out
58'David Turnbull INJoel Colwill out
58'Tom Nichols INJames Debayo out
58'Louis Millard INJoseph Hungbo out
62'Paul GlatzelAssist: Joseph Hungbo
63'Matthew Virtue-Thick INOllie Palmer out
64'Mitchell Clark INLucas Griffiths-Brown out
72'Ollie Tanner INJack Moylan out
77'Jack MoylanAssist: Yousef Salech
82'Joel ColwillFoul
84'James DebayoFoul
90'James DebayoFoul
90'James DebayoFoul

Lineups

Cardiff
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Swindon Town
Coach: Scott Holloway Ian

Cardiff Starting XI

1Nathan TrottG
44Ronan KpakioD
38Perry NgD
4Gabriel OshoD
3Joel BaganD
14David TurnbullM
18Alex RobertsonM
11Ollie TannerM
45Cian AshfordM
39Isaak DaviesM
9Yousef SalechF

Swindon Town Starting XI

1Connor RipleyG
2Mitchell ClarkD
5Stephan NegruD
16Sam InwoodD
34Billy KirkmanD
24Matthew Virtue-ThickM
7Tom NicholsM
20Ben MiddlemasM
39Louis MillardF
23Aaron DrinanF
9Paul GlatzelF

Cardiff Substitutes

16Chris WillockM
27Joel ColwillM
8Jack MoylanM
30Harry TyrerG
40Noah AnyadikeD
43Paul MorenoM
33Rob TankiewiczM
47Callum RobinsonF

Swindon Town Substitutes

17Ryan TafazolliD
18James DebayoD
15Joseph HungboF
28Ollie PalmerF
38Lucas Griffiths-BrownD
12Lewis WardG

Match Stats

CardiffSwindon Town
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots7
8Fouls17
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
547Total Passes334
456Passes Accurate236
83%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

CardiffCardiff
Swindon TownSwindon Town
1619Elo Rating 1539
0.68Attack 1.55
1.50Defense 0.86
0%Hit Rate 56%
21.1Shots per Game 7.8
7.7Shots on Target 3.8
8.8Corners per Game 2.6
2.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.28 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CardiffCardiff
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Swindon TownSwindon Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Cardiff 100%Draw 0%0% Swindon Town
3Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CardiffCardiff
3W0D2L
01/08/2026
CardiffAS Roma
41
W
25/07/2026
Forest GreenCardiff
15
W
14/07/2026
Cork CityCardiff
16
W
11/07/2026
CardiffFC Midtjylland
06
L
02/05/2026
Mansfield TownCardiff
54
L
Swindon TownSwindon Town
2W0D3L
01/08/2026
Forest GreenSwindon Town
14
W
28/07/2026
Swindon TownLeyton Orient
21
W
25/07/2026
Swindon TownBristol City
13
L
18/07/2026
Crystal PalaceSwindon Town
51
L
14/07/2026
Swindon TownChippenham Town
01
L

Referee Profile

Gavin Ward, England · 4 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.5Avg Cards
21.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 39% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Cardiff vs Swindon Town Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Cardiff and Swindon Town have met 1 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.