Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Boca Juniors Rest
5 days
Union Santa Fe Rest
13 days
Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe: result, form and history
Boca Juniors beat Union Santa Fe 3-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 8 matches. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.16 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
169%1.41
X21%4.45
210%8.00
Double Chance
1X90%1.08
X231%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.00
No53%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 0.69 = 2.44
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.551%1.81
Over 3.530%3.10
Under 1.525%3.75
Under 2.549%1.98
Under 3.570%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.4 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.61
Over 9.548%1.99
Over 10.535%2.51
Under 8.542%2.28
Under 9.552%1.75
Under 10.565%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.5 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.22
Over 4.543%1.62
Under 3.538%4.00
Under 4.557%2.20
Match Events
7'Facundo Ezequiel HerreraFoul
17'Leandro ParedesFoul
21'Joaquin MosqueiraFoul
22'Lautaro Di LolloAssist: Leandro Paredes
39'Cristian TarragonaFoul
45'Victor MalcorraFoul
45'Joaquin Mosqueira INLucas Menossi out
60'Miguel Merentiel INEnner Valencia out
61'Sebastián Villa INCarlos Palacios out
61'Alan Velasco INLeonel Flores out
64'Brahian Cuello INMarcelo Estigarriba out
66'Lucas AyalaFoul
72'Mauro Luna DialeFoul
73'Julián Palacios INErik Ramirez out
73'Lucas Ayala INBruno Pittón out
83'Leonel Flores
84'Santiago Ascacibar INÁngel Romero out
86'Leandro Paredes INWilliams Alarcón out
90+2'Leonel FloresAssist: Enner Valencia
Lineups
Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe
4-1-4-1Coach: Leonardo MadelonAvg ratingAvg rating
12L. Brey
17L. Lozano
2L. Di Lollo
42F. Herrera
3L. Blanco
18M. Delgado
5L. Paredes
25S. Ascacíbar
20A. Velasco
22S. Villa
16M. Merentiel
21M. Mansilla
15J. Pintado
4M. Rocha
26J. Ludueña
18L. Ayala
17J. Mosqueira
20J. Palacios
11M. Luna Diale
10V. Malcorra
22B. Cuello
25C. TarragonaBoca Juniors Substitutes
27M. Braida
15W. Alarcón86'for Leandro Paredes
32A. Costa
4N. Figal
19L. Flores61'for Alan Velasco83'90+2'
30J. García
9M. Giménez
24D. Gorosito
7C. Palacios61'for Sebastián Villa
26Marco Pellegrino
11Á. Romero84'for Santiago Ascacibar
13E. Valencia60'for Miguel Merentiel
Union Santa Fe Substitutes
27T. Rubio
43E. Ramírez73'for Julián Palacios
12B. Pittón73'for Lucas Ayala
34Mateo Peresutti
40L. Meuli
5L. Menossi45'for Joaquin Mosqueira
33I. Isla
8E. Giaccone
19M. Estigarribia64'for Brahian Cuello
36M. Aimar
31M. Aguirre
23A. Solari
Match Stats
Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe 69%Ball Possession31%
2Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards5
25Total Shots4
7Shots on Goal1
15Shots off Goal2
18Shots Inside Box1
7Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
7Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
684Total Passes301
612Passes Accurate229
10Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe1815Elo Rating 1586
2.02Attack 0.58
1.98Defense 1.07
64%Hit Rate 0%
13.7Shots per Game 15.7
3.8Shots on Target 4.4
4.9Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+229 Elo
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Union Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Boca Juniors1Wins · 13%Draws562%
Union Santa Fe2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%1.6Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8
Previous meetings
16/03/2026Union Santa FeBoca Juniors11
19/07/2025Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe11
29/01/2025Union Santa FeBoca Juniors11
21/11/2024Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe10
06/07/2023Union Santa FeBoca Juniors00
25/06/2022Boca JuniorsUnion Santa Fe12
17/07/2021Union Santa FeBoca Juniors11
11/04/2021Union Santa FeBoca Juniors10
Recent Form
Boca Juniors7W3D0L
27/09/2026
Racing ClubBoca Juniors
Sao PauloBoca JuniorsBoca Juniors
Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca JuniorsSao Paulo
Gimnasia M.Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
LanusRacing ClubBoca Juniors
Deportivo RecoletaBoca Juniors
Racing ClubBoca Juniors23
W20/09/2026
San LorenzoBoca Juniors
16/09/2026San LorenzoBoca Juniors02
WSao PauloBoca Juniors11
D12/09/2026Boca JuniorsCentral Cordoba de Santiago31
W09/09/2026Boca JuniorsSao Paulo10
W05/09/2026Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors22
D03/09/2026
Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
WBoca JuniorsLanus10
W24/08/2026Racing ClubBoca Juniors11
D19/08/2026Deportivo RecoletaBoca Juniors04
WUnion Santa Fe4W1D5L
19/09/2026Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Talleres CordobaUnion Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Instituto CordobaUnion Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
AldosiviUnion Santa FeSan LorenzoUnion Santa FeUnion Santa FeCentral Cordoba de SantiagoUnion Santa FeLanusGimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe
Union Santa FeIndependiente12
L13/09/2026Talleres CordobaUnion Santa Fe21
L08/09/2026Union Santa FeInstituto Cordoba32
W29/08/2026Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin41
W21/08/2026AldosiviUnion Santa Fe13
W15/08/2026San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe10
L11/08/2026Union Santa FeCentral Cordoba de Santiago12
L07/08/2026Union Santa FeLanus21
W01/08/2026Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe20
L25/07/2026PlatenseUnion Santa Fe22
DReferee Profile
6.16Cards per match
5.89Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.16 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).
Cards come from 63 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 29 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:14 | +7 | 24 | DWWDD |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:13 | +5 | 24 | WLLWD |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | DWLLD |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | LWLDD |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | LLDLD |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
About the Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Boca Juniors and Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Boca Juniors are 2nd and Union Santa Fe 8th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Boca Juniors 22-9, Union Santa Fe 24-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.