Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina Argentina · Clausura - 7
Union Santa Fe
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sarmiento Junin
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz·Pablo Echavarria, Argentina 29/08/2026
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
4-1
Finished
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Union Santa Fe Rest
7 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
5 days

Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin: the result in context

Union Santa Fe beat Sarmiento Junin 4-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 28 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Sarmiento Junin had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Union Santa Fe.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Pablo Echavarria averages 4.73 cards a game, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.83
X
27%3.40
2
26%4.43
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
53%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 0.94 = 2.07
Over 1.5
60%1.36
Over 2.5
32%2.15
Over 3.5
11%3.95
Under 1.5
40%3.08
Under 2.5
68%1.68
Under 3.5
89%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.54
Over 9.5
43%1.90
Over 10.5
29%2.48
Under 8.5
45%2.30
Under 9.5
57%1.83
Under 10.5
71%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
36%1.67
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
64%2.10

Match Events

8'J. ContreraFoul
18'C. TarragonaAssist: E. Giaccone
23'M. Luna Diale INI. Malcorra out
44'L. SuarezFoul
46'J. Contrera INU. Gimenez out
61'C. TarragonaAssist: I. Malcorra
62'I. MalcorraFoul
66'S. Salle ING. Gonzalez out
66'J. Herrera INP. Magnin out
71'B. Cuello INM. Aguirre out
74'I. MalcorraAssist: L. Ayala
78'L. Menossi INM. Peresutti out
78'M. Estigarribia INE. Ramirez out
79'J. Mavilla
81'J. Marabel INDiego Churin out
84'E. Ramirez
89'J. Mavilla INE. Gimenez out

Lineups

Union Santa Fe
4-3-1-2Coach: Leonardo Madelon
Sarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo Sava
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.11
Matías Mansilla6.921M. Mansilla
Juan Pintado7.515J. Pintado
Maizon Rodriguez7.32M. Rodriguez
Juan Pablo Ludueña6.726J. Pablo Ludueña
Lucas Ayala6.718L. Ayala
Brahian Cuello6.722B. Cuello
Emilio Giaccone7.08E. Giaccone
Lucas Menossi6.95L. Menossi
Mauro Luna6.711M. Luna
Cristian TarragonaC8.325C. Tarragona
Marcelo Estigarribia6.319M. Estigarribia
Thyago Ayala5.012T. Ayala
Santiago Salle6.08S. Salle
Renzo Orihuela5.744R. Orihuela
Juan Manuel InsaurraldeC5.92J. Manuel Insaurralde
Lucas Suárez5.23L. Suárez
Julian Contrera5.919J. Contrera
Cristian Zabala6.315C. Zabala
Mauricio Martínez7.016M. Martínez
Julián Mavilla7.221J. Mavilla
Jonathan Herrera6.224J. Herrera
Junior Marabel5.927J. Marabel

Union Santa Fe Substitutes

10Ignacio Malcorra23'for M. Luna Diale62'74'8.9
31Misael Aguirre71'for B. Cuello6.7
34Mateo Peresutti78'for L. Menossi6.5
43Eric Ramírez78'for M. Estigarribia84'8.2
40Lucas Meuli
38Valentín Cerrudo
32Nazareno Fazzi
44Tomás Fagioli
4Matías Rocha
12Bruno Pittón
46Santiago Grella
29Santino Vera

Sarmiento Junin Substitutes

20Ulises Giménez46'for J. Contrera6.2
11Gastón González66'for S. Salle6.3
7Pablo Magnin66'for J. Herrera6.2
9Diego Churin81'for J. Marabel6.6
23Elián Giménez89'for J. Mavilla
1Iván Arboleda
29Thiago Santamaría
33Gabriel Díaz
6Gastón Arturia
77Nicolás Pasquini
5Manuel Garcia
17Agustin Nadruz

Match Stats

Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
333Total Passes334
244Passes Accurate253
73%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
1617Elo Rating 1613
1.15Attack 1.05
1.55Defense 1.50
23%Hit Rate 14%
13.9Shots per Game 10.0
5.0Shots on Target 2.7
4.1Corners per Game 3.3
2.8Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3Wins · 43%
Draws114%
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3Wins · 43%
2.6Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina26/02/2026
Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe
13
Liga Profesional Argentina30/09/2024
Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe
10
Liga Profesional Argentina15/05/2023
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
02
Liga Profesional Argentina09/09/2022
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
10
Liga Profesional Argentina27/02/2022
Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe
21
Liga Profesional Argentina16/10/2021
Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe
34
Liga Profesional Argentina27/03/2021
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
00

Recent Form

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
3W2D5L
21/08/2026
AldosiviUnion Santa Fe
13
W15/08/2026
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
10
L11/08/2026
Union Santa FeCentral Cordoba de Santiago
12
L07/08/2026
Union Santa FeLanus
21
W01/08/2026
Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
20
L25/07/2026
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe
22
D
23/05/2026
Union Santa FeIndependiente
02
L
13/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe
20
L
10/05/2026
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe
12
W
02/05/2026
Union Santa FeTalleres Cordoba
11
D
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
5W0D5L
23/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
20
W
16/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninHuracan
20
W
08/08/2026
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin
12
W03/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia
21
W29/07/2026
BanfieldSarmiento Junin
32
L24/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS
23
L
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
L
03/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin
40
L
26/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninTigre
10
W
20/04/2026
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin
21
L

Referee Profile

Pablo Echavarria200 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pablo Echavarria4.73
Other referees5.28

4.73 cards a match, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231DDLLD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628LDWWL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDLDD
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DDDWW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LDDWW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421WDWDL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021DDWWD
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LDWLW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDLLW
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516WWWLD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DLLLD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DDDWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWLDL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWD
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDLLW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWWD
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WLLLL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LWLDL
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320WWLDL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLDLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16104226:15+1134DDWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1696124:14+1033WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677225:17+828LDWWL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1684421:15+628LDWLW
5LanusLanus1675419:12+726DDDWW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1658316:13+323DDDWL
7IndependienteIndependiente1665515:16-123WDLDD
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1664618:17+122DDLLW
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1663724:24021WDWDL
10PlatensePlatense1655618:20-220WWWLD
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo165479:16-719LDDWW
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1644821:22-116DDLLD
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1634917:23-613DWLLD
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1626811:19-812LLLDL
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1625912:26-1411DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1626:1534
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1624:1433
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1625:1728
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1621:1528
5LanusLanus1619:1226
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1616:1323
7IndependienteIndependiente1615:1623
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1618:1722
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2421
10PlatensePlatense1618:2020
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo169:1619
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1621:2216
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:2313
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1611:1912
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1612:2611

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central16104226:12+1434WWWWW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1694320:14+631LWWWD
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1694325:20+531WWWWD
4River PlateRiver Plate1682621:14+726WLWWD
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1675417:13+426WDWDW
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1665517:15+223LDLLW
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1665521:24-323DWLDL
8HuracanHuracan1664614:16-222WLLLL
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1663723:24-121LLLDD
10TigreTigre1654716:16019WWLDL
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1646616:17-118DLWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1636718:25-715DLDLW
13Racing ClubRacing Club1643916:24-815LWLDL
14AldosiviAldosivi16321116:26-1011LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto16231110:23-139LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1626:1234
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1620:1431
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1625:2031
4River PlateRiver Plate1621:1426
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1617:1326
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1523
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1621:2423
8HuracanHuracan1614:1622
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1623:2421
10TigreTigre1616:1619
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1616:1718
12BanfieldBanfield1618:2515
13Racing ClubRacing Club1616:2415
14AldosiviAldosivi1616:2611
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1610:239

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

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About the Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Union Santa Fe and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Union Santa Fe are 16th and Sarmiento Junin 19th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Union Santa Fe 48-44, Sarmiento Junin 36-44. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.