Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina Argentina · Clausura - 7
Union Santa Fe
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sarmiento Junin
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz· Pablo Echavarria, Argentina 29/08/2026
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
4-1
Finished
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+13.5%
Union Santa Fe Rest
7 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.83
X
27%3.40
2
26%4.43
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
53%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 0.94 = 2.07
Over 1.5
60%1.36
Over 2.5
32%2.15
Over 3.5
11%3.95
Under 1.5
40%3.08
Under 2.5
68%1.68
Under 3.5
89%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.54
Over 9.5
43%1.90
Over 10.5
29%2.48
Under 8.5
45%2.30
Under 9.5
57%1.83
Under 10.5
71%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
36%1.67
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
64%2.10

Match Events

8'J. ContreraFoul
18'C. TarragonaAssist: E. Giaccone
23'M. Luna Diale INI. Malcorra out
44'L. SuarezFoul
46'J. Contrera INU. Gimenez out
61'C. TarragonaAssist: I. Malcorra
62'I. MalcorraFoul
66'S. Salle ING. Gonzalez out
66'J. Herrera INP. Magnin out
71'B. Cuello INM. Aguirre out
74'I. MalcorraAssist: L. Ayala
78'L. Menossi INM. Peresutti out
78'M. Estigarribia INE. Ramirez out
79'J. Mavilla
81'J. Marabel INDiego Churin out
84'E. Ramirez
89'J. Mavilla INE. Gimenez out

Lineups

Union Santa Fe
4-3-1-2Coach: Leonardo Madelon
Sarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo Sava
Matías Mansilla21M. MansillaMatías Mansilla
Juan Pintado15J. PintadoJuan Pintado
Maizon Rodriguez2M. RodriguezMaizon Rodriguez
Juan Pablo Ludueña26J. Pablo LudueñaJuan Pablo Ludueña
Lucas Ayala18L. AyalaLucas Ayala
Brahian Cuello22B. CuelloBrahian Cuello
Emilio Giaccone8E. GiacconeEmilio Giaccone
Lucas Menossi5L. MenossiLucas Menossi
Mauro Luna11M. LunaMauro Luna
Cristian Tarragona25C. TarragonaCristian Tarragona
Marcelo Estigarribia19M. EstigarribiaMarcelo Estigarribia
Thyago Ayala12T. AyalaThyago Ayala
Santiago Salle8S. SalleSantiago Salle
Renzo Orihuela44R. OrihuelaRenzo Orihuela
Juan Manuel Insaurralde2J. Manuel InsaurraldeJuan Manuel Insaurralde
Lucas Suárez3L. SuárezLucas Suárez
Julian Contrera19J. ContreraJulian Contrera
Cristian Zabala15C. ZabalaCristian Zabala
Mauricio Martínez16M. MartínezMauricio Martínez
Julián Mavilla21J. MavillaJulián Mavilla
Jonathan Herrera24J. HerreraJonathan Herrera
Junior Marabel27J. MarabelJunior Marabel

Union Santa Fe Substitutes

10Ignacio MalcorraM
31Misael AguirreF
34Mateo PeresuttiM
43Eric RamírezF
40Lucas MeuliG
38Valentín CerrudoF
32Nazareno FazziD
44Tomás FagioliD
4Matías RochaD
12Bruno PittónD
46Santiago GrellaM
29Santino VeraM

Sarmiento Junin Substitutes

20Ulises GiménezD
11Gastón GonzálezF
7Pablo MagninF
9Diego ChurinF
23Elián GiménezM
1Iván ArboledaG
29Thiago SantamaríaD
33Gabriel DíazD
6Gastón ArturiaD
77Nicolás PasquiniD
5Manuel GarciaM
17Agustin NadruzM

Match Stats

Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
333Total Passes334
244Passes Accurate253
73%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
1637Elo Rating 1619
2.23Attack 1.34
1.50Defense 1.30
59%Hit Rate 34%
12.8Shots per Game 9.9
4.3Shots on Target 3.8
2.7Corners per Game 2.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend41% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Union Santa Fe 44%Draw 0%56% Sarmiento Junin
2.29Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
2W0D3L
21/08/2026
AldosiviUnion Santa Fe
13
W15/08/2026
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
10
L11/08/2026
Union Santa FeCentral Cordoba de Santiago
12
L07/08/2026
Union Santa FeLanus
21
W01/08/2026
Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
20
L
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
4W0D1L
23/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
20
W
16/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninHuracan
20
W
08/08/2026
Atletico TucumanSarmiento Junin
12
W03/08/2026
Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia
21
W29/07/2026
BanfieldSarmiento Junin
32
L

Referee Profile

Pablo Echavarria, Argentina · 36 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
23.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 46% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231LLWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330DDWDD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWDWD
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWDLW
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424LDWDL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324WWLDL
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LDDDW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421DDWWW
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021WLLDW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319WDDDD
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819LDDDL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDDW
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WDLWD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215LDLLL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LDDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434LDDWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WWDWL
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WWDDD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WDWWL
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLWD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026LWDLW
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DLWLD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221WDWDD
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWLL
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLDW
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LDWLL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218LLWLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLLLW
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DDLLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1071213:7+622WLLDW
2Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1053213:11+218WDDDD
3Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1052314:9+517LDDDL
4Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield945012:7+517DWDWD
5Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1045114:11+317DDWDD
6IndependienteIndependiente1052310:8+217LDWDL
7Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1044211:8+316LDLLL
8LanusLanus941411:8+313WWLDL
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1041517:16+113DDWWW
10San LorenzoSan Lorenzo103254:8-411LDDDW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.93159:9010LLWWD
12Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra102448:10-210LDDDD
13PlatensePlatense102359:15-69LDDDW
14Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1022611:17-68DWDLW
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago102267:13-68WDLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1013:722
2Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1013:1118
3Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1014:917
4Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield912:717
5Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1014:1117
6IndependienteIndependiente1010:817
7Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1011:816
8LanusLanus911:813
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1017:1613
10San LorenzoSan Lorenzo104:811
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.99:910
12Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra108:1010
13PlatensePlatense109:159
14Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1011:178
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago107:138

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1053213:9+418WWDDD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central1053211:8+318WDWWL
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1052315:15017LWDLW
4Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1044211:7+416DWLWD
5HuracanHuracan1044210:8+216DLWLD
6Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1051417:16+116LDWLL
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia942313:13014LDDWL
8Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman93427:5+213DLLLW
9River PlateRiver Plate1041513:12+113WWDWL
10TigreTigre93337:6+112DDLDW
11Barracas CentralBarracas Central93335:6-112WDWLL
12BanfieldBanfield1023511:16-59LLWLW
13Racing ClubRacing Club1022611:16-58WDWDD
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto101365:13-86LLLWL
15AldosiviAldosivi912611:16-55DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1013:918
2Rosario CentralRosario Central1011:818
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1015:1517
4Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1011:716
5HuracanHuracan1010:816
6Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1017:1616
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia913:1314
8Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman97:513
9River PlateRiver Plate1013:1213
10TigreTigre97:612
11Barracas CentralBarracas Central95:612
12BanfieldBanfield1011:169
13Racing ClubRacing Club1011:168
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto105:136
15AldosiviAldosivi911:165

Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

Sarmiento Junin have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Union Santa Fe and Sarmiento Junin have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.29 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.