Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 8
Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza 05/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.56
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
Value Analysis
52%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Gimnasia M. Rest
5 days
Boca Juniors Rest
2 days
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors: result, form and history
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors drew 2-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Boca Juniors tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.3 for Gimnasia M..
Match Forecasts
Match Result
133%3.25
X37%2.94
230%2.45
Double Chance
1X70%1.56
X267%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%2.00
No48%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 0.99 = 2.16
Over 1.571%1.46
Over 2.541%2.45
Over 3.522%4.75
Under 1.529%2.61
Under 2.559%1.53
Under 3.578%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 3.8 = 8.4
Over 8.533%1.63
Over 9.526%2.02
Over 10.515%2.58
Under 8.567%2.15
Under 9.574%1.71
Under 10.585%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.8 = 4
Over 3.557%-
Over 4.538%1.43
Under 3.543%-
Under 4.562%2.50
Match Events
6'Kevin ZenonFoul
17'Alan VelascoAssist: Tomás Belmonte
19'I. CharparinAssist: Fermin Antonini
20'Tomás O'Connor INMatías Vargas out
37'Luciano César CingolaniFoul
38'Kevin ZenonAssist: Dylan Gorosito
57'Jorge Nicolás FigalArgument
59'Alan Velasco INCarlos Palacios out
61'Darío Javier Franco GattiDissent
65'Carlos PalaciosFoul
68'Matías Satas INLautaro Blanco out
68'Marco Pellegrino INFacundo Ezequiel Herrera out
70'Lautaro BlancoFoul
71'Goal cancelledI. Charparin
78'Kevin Zenon INLautaro Di Lollo out
78'Tomás Belmonte INWilliams Alarcón out
80'Fermin Antonini INNahuel Barboza out
80'Luciano Paredes INIsmael Cortéz out
81'Luciano César Cingolani INValentino Simoni out
90+1'Diego Mondino INBrian Andrada out
90+3'Esteban Fernández
Lineups
Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors
4-3-3Coach: R. ArruabarrenaAvg ratingAvg rating
23C. Rigamonti
32L. Paredes
2D. Mondino
4E. Muñoz
3M. Recalde
21F. Antonini
28T. O'Connor
7L. Cingolani
30E. Fernández
26F. Lencioni
17I. Sabatini
1Á. Montero
24D. Gorosito
4N. Figal
26M. Pellegrino
46M. Satas
8T. Belmonte
23C. Rey
21K. Zenón
20A. Velasco
13E. Valencia
19L. FloresGimnasia M. Substitutes
5N. Barboza80'for Fermin Antonini
33B. Andrada90+1'for Diego Mondino
42L. Carrera
36I. Cortez80'for Luciano Paredes
16G. Guiffrey
31L. Petruchi
11S. Rodríguez
10N. Romano
15U. Sánchez
35V. Simoni81'for Luciano César Cingolani
8M. Vargas20'for Tomás O'Connor
19J. Ceballos
Boca Juniors Substitutes
22S. Villa
5L. Paredes
16M. Merentiel
9M. Giménez
2L. Di Lollo78'for Kevin Zenon
7C. Palacios59'for Alan Velasco65'
12L. Brey
42F. Herrera68'for Marco Pellegrino
40Lautaro Facundo Bianco
3L. Blanco68'for Matías Satas70'
15W. Alarcón78'for Tomás Belmonte
11Á. Romero
Match Stats
Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors 59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
6Fouls8
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
450Total Passes319
365Passes Accurate232
81%Pass Accuracy73%
Team Comparison
Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors1622Elo Rating 1837
0.66Attack 1.41
1.65Defense 2.50
17%Hit Rate 86%
12.3Shots per Game 12.7
3.1Shots on Target 4.2
3.3Corners per Game 6.5
1.8Cards per Game 3.5
AI Insights
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Gimnasia M.- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Gimnasia M.0Wins · 0%Draws1100%
Boca Juniors0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
28/02/2026Boca JuniorsGimnasia M.11
Recent Form
Gimnasia M.7W0D3L
31/08/2026
IndependienteGimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
San LorenzoGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
IndependienteGimnasia M.03
W22/08/2026Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.23
W18/08/2026Gimnasia M.Talleres Cordoba31
W09/08/2026Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.10
L01/08/2026Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe20
W29/07/2026San LorenzoGimnasia M.10
L24/07/2026Gimnasia M.Central Cordoba de Santiago10
W04/05/2026Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia21
W26/04/2026
Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M.
Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia M.51
L21/04/2026Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Gimnasia M.Lanus10
WBoca Juniors6W4D0L
03/09/2026
Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
WBoca JuniorsLanus10
W24/08/2026
Racing ClubBoca Juniors11
D19/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaBoca Juniors04
W16/08/2026
PlatenseBoca Juniors
PlatenseBoca Juniors11
D12/08/2026Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta
09/08/2026Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta31
WBoca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield11
D06/08/2026Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.10
W02/08/2026
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors22
D31/07/2026
O'HigginsBoca Juniors3140
WLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DDLLD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDLDD |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DDDWW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | LDDWW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DDWWD |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LDWLW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DLLLD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 34 | DDWWD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24:14 | +10 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:17 | +8 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | +6 | 28 | LDWLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | +7 | 26 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:17 | +1 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 20 | WWWLD |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 19 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 11 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 26:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 25:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 19:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 15:16 | 23 |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 18:17 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 18:20 | 20 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9:16 | 19 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 12:26 | 11 |
Liga Profesional Argentina
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 46:23 | +23 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 37:27 | +10 | 60 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:39 | +11 | 57 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:39 | +5 | 57 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 43:29 | +14 | 56 | LDWWL |
| 7 |  River Plate | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 43:26 | +17 | 55 | WLWWD |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:32 | +11 | 55 | DDWWD |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 10 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 49 | LDLLW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 40:29 | +11 | 47 | DDLLD |
| 12 |  Barracas Central | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 15 |  Huracan | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | +4 | 42 | WDWDL |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 41 | DDLLW |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 41 | LDDWW |
| 19 |  Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:44 | -8 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Tigre | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:31 | +3 | 39 | WWLDL |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 | DDDWL |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 36 | LWLDL |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 25 |  Banfield | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 | DLDLW |
| 26 |  Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 27 | DLLLD |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16:31 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15:47 | -32 | 14 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 46:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 46:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 50:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 44:39 | 57 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 43:29 | 56 |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 43:26 | 55 |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 43:32 | 55 |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 48:44 | 42 |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 36:44 | 40 |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28:35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35:44 | 33 |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 31:37 | 32 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 23:47 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 16:31 | 23 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 22:45 | 19 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15:47 | 14 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan 05/09/26
- Platense vs Deportivo Riestra 05/09/26
- Aldosivi vs Banfield 05/09/26
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre 05/09/26
- San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba 06/09/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. 06/09/26
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente 06/09/26
- River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia 07/09/26
About the Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Boca Juniors are 2nd and Gimnasia M. 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia M. 14-22, Boca Juniors 22-9. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.