Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina · Clausura - 8

Gimnasia M.

2-2

Finished

HT 1-2

Boca Juniors

Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza 05/09/2026

Gimnasia M.

2-2

Finished

Boca Juniors

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

4.4 / 10

AI Best Pick

70%Trust

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

1.56

SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+6.2%

Value Analysis

52%Trust

BTTS

Both Teams to Score

2.00

SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+5.7%

Gimnasia M. Rest

5 days

Boca Juniors Rest

2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result

33%3.25

37%2.94

30%2.45

Double Chance

70%1.56

67%1.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes

52%2.00

48%1.75

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.17 + 0.99 = 2.16

Over 1.5

71%1.46

Over 2.5

41%2.45

Over 3.5

22%4.75

Under 1.5

29%2.61

Under 2.5

59%1.53

Under 3.5

78%1.17

Corners

Projected Corners: 4.6 + 3.8 = 8.4

Over 8.5

33%1.63

Over 9.5

26%2.02

Over 10.5

15%2.58

Under 8.5

67%2.15

Under 9.5

74%1.71

Under 10.5

85%1.42

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.8 = 4

Over 3.5

57%-

Over 4.5

38%1.43

Under 3.5

43%-

Under 4.5

62%2.50

Match Events

6'Kevin ZenonFoul

17'Alan VelascoAssist: Tomás Belmonte

19'I. CharparinAssist: Fermin Antonini

20'Tomás O'Connor INMatías Vargas out

37'Luciano César CingolaniFoul

38'Kevin ZenonAssist: Dylan Gorosito

57'Jorge Nicolás FigalArgument

59'Alan Velasco INCarlos Palacios out

61'Darío Javier Franco GattiDissent

65'Carlos PalaciosFoul

68'Matías Satas INLautaro Blanco out

68'Marco Pellegrino INFacundo Ezequiel Herrera out

70'Lautaro BlancoFoul

71'Goal cancelledI. Charparin

78'Kevin Zenon INLautaro Di Lollo out

78'Tomás Belmonte INWilliams Alarcón out

80'Fermin Antonini INNahuel Barboza out

80'Luciano Paredes INIsmael Cortéz out

81'Luciano César Cingolani INValentino Simoni out

90+1'Diego Mondino INBrian Andrada out

90+3'Esteban Fernández

Lineups

Gimnasia M.

4-2-3-1Coach: D. Franco

Boca Juniors

4-3-3Coach: R. Arruabarrena

23C. RigamontiC. Rigamonti

32L. ParedesL. Paredes

2D. MondinoD. Mondino

4E. MuñozE. Muñoz

3M. RecaldeM. Recalde

21F. AntoniniF. Antonini

28T. O'ConnorT. O'Connor

7L. CingolaniL. Cingolani

30E. FernándezE. Fernández

26F. LencioniF. Lencioni

17I. SabatiniI. Sabatini

1Á. MonteroÁ. Montero

24D. GorositoD. Gorosito

4N. FigalN. Figal

26M. PellegrinoMarco Pellegrino

46M. SatasM. Satas

8T. BelmonteT. Belmonte

23C. ReyC. Rey

21K. ZenónK. Zenón

20A. VelascoA. Velasco

13E. ValenciaE. Valencia

19L. FloresL. Flores

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

5N. BarbozaM

33B. AndradaF

42L. CarreraM

36I. CortezD

16G. GuiffreyD

31L. PetruchiG

11S. RodríguezF

10N. RomanoF

15U. SánchezM

35V. SimoniF

8M. VargasM

19J. CeballosM

Boca Juniors Substitutes

22S. VillaF

5L. ParedesM

16M. MerentielF

9M. GiménezF

2L. Di LolloD

7C. PalaciosM

12L. BreyG

42F. HerreraD

40Lautaro Facundo BiancoF

3L. BlancoD

15W. AlarcónM

11Á. RomeroF

Match Stats

Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors

59%Ball Possession41%

5Corner Kicks6

1Yellow Cards4

17Total Shots12

7Shots on Goal6

8Shots off Goal3

11Shots Inside Box9

6Shots Outside Box3

2Blocked Shots3

6Fouls8

1Offsides1

4Goalkeeper Saves5

449Total Passes319

365Passes Accurate232

8Free Kicks5

Gimnasia M.

Boca Juniors

1663Elo Rating 1768

1.96Attack 1.48

1.53Defense 2.17

50%Hit Rate 42%

13.0Shots per Game 9.4

3.9Shots on Target 3.5

4.1Corners per Game 2.9

2.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

💎Value Analysis Identified

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia M.

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Boca Juniors

Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Gimnasia M. 0%Draw 100%0% Boca Juniors

2Avg Goals

100%BTTS Rate

0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

03/09/2026

Velez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors

3040

16/08/2026

Platense

Boca Juniors

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	LLWWD
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	DDWDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DWDWD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	DWDLW
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	LDWDL
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	WWLDL
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	LDDDW
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DDWWW
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	WLLDW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	WDDDD
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	LDDDL
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	LDDDW
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	WDLWD
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	LDLLL
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	LDDDD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	14:14	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	24:20	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17:17	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5:12	11

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto Cordoba	10	7	1	2	13:7	+6	22	WLLDW
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13:11	+2	18	WDDDD
3	Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	14:9	+5	17	LDDDL
4	Velez Sarsfield	9	4	5	0	12:7	+5	17	DWDWD
5	Boca Juniors	10	4	5	1	14:11	+3	17	DDWDD
6	Independiente	10	5	2	3	10:8	+2	17	LDWDL
7	Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	11:8	+3	16	LDLLL
8	Lanus	9	4	1	4	11:8	+3	13	WWLDL
9	Union Santa Fe	10	4	1	5	17:16	+1	13	DDWWW
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	4:8	-4	11	LDDDW
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	3	1	5	9:9	0	10	LLWWD
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	2	4	4	8:10	-2	10	LDDDD
13	Platense	10	2	3	5	9:15	-6	9	LDDDW
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	2	2	6	11:17	-6	8	DWDLW
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7:13	-6	8	WDLWD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	10	13:7	22
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	13:11	18
3	Gimnasia M.	10	14:9	17
4	Velez Sarsfield	9	12:7	17
5	Boca Juniors	10	14:11	17
6	Independiente	10	10:8	17
7	Newells Old Boys	10	11:8	16
8	Lanus	9	11:8	13
9	Union Santa Fe	10	17:16	13
10	San Lorenzo	10	4:8	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	9:9	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	8:10	10
13	Platense	10	9:15	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	11:17	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	7:13	8

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia M. have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors have met 1 times recently, averaging 2 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors Prediction

AI Best Pick

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

Boca Juniors Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Recent Form

League Table

Apertura - Group A

Clausura - Group A