Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR Prediction

Botafogo SP
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Operario-PR
Estádio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto·Jefferson Ferreira de Moraes, Brazil 15/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel22%SurpriseHighGap+7.2%
Botafogo SP Rest
5 days
Operario-PR Rest
8 days

Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR: the result in context

Botafogo SP beat Operario-PR 2-1 in the Serie B on 14 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Operario-PR had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Botafogo SP.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.30
X
30%2.85
2
27%3.55
Double Chance
1X
73%1.28
X2
57%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.05
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.11 = 2.28
Over 1.5
70%1.50
Over 2.5
42%2.54
Over 3.5
21%4.70
Under 1.5
30%2.50
Under 2.5
58%1.49
Under 3.5
79%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.3
Over 8.5
62%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.56
Over 10.5
38%1.91
Under 8.5
38%3.05
Under 9.5
49%2.26
Under 10.5
62%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.9 = 5.8
Over 3.5
85%-
Over 4.5
74%1.37
Under 3.5
15%-
Under 4.5
26%2.75

Match Events

15'Matheus SalesFoul
21'Thiago MoraesFoul
23'KlausFoul
36'BoschiliaFoul
44'Felipe VieiraFoul
45+6'Boschilia(Penalty)
46'Thiago Moraes INWesley Santos out
46'Mikael Doka INMaguinho out
62'Ze Hugo INJefferson Nem out
62'Arthur Caike INRafael Gava out
62'Matheus Sales INYuri Felipe out
65'HygorAssist: Wesley Santos
68'H. Pereira INNeto Paraiba out
75'MaguinhoFoul
81'HygorAssist: Rafael Gava
83'Moraes INFelipe Augusto out
83'Vinicius Diniz INPedro Vilhena out
83'Pablo INCaio Dantas out
90'Everton MorelliFoul
90+3'Hygor INHebert out

Team Comparison

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
Operario-PROperario-PR
1599Elo Rating 1581
2.00Attack 0.64
2.77Defense 1.65
77%Hit Rate 23%
13.2Shots per Game 11.8
3.9Shots on Target 2.4
6.2Corners per Game 5.5
1.8Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Operario-PROperario-PR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Operario-PROperario-PR1Wins · 25%
1.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B19/09/2025
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
11
Serie B17/05/2025
Operario-PRBotafogo SP
30
Serie B13/10/2024
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
00
Serie B22/06/2024
Operario-PRBotafogo SP
01

Recent Form

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
0W4D6L
09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
26/05/2026
Botafogo SPAthletic Club
12
L
16/05/2026
GoiasBotafogo SP
10
L
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
L
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
19/04/2026
Botafogo SPAtletico Goianiense
11
D
11/04/2026
CriciumaBotafogo SP
10
L
06/04/2026
Botafogo SPSão Bernardo
12
L
Operario-PROperario-PR
3W3D4L
06/06/2026
Operario-PRJuventude
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
L
13/05/2026
FluminenseOperario-PR
21
L
10/05/2026
CRBOperario-PR
30
L
03/05/2026
Operario-PRLondrina
30
W
26/04/2026
Operario-PRFortaleza EC
00
D
24/04/2026
Operario-PRFluminense
00
D
18/04/2026
Vila NovaOperario-PR
21
L

Referee Profile

Jefferson Ferreira de Moraes150 matches

5.22Cards per match
4.81Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jefferson Ferreira de Moraes5.22
Other referees5.16

5.22 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botafogo SP and Operario-PR in the Serie B table

Operario-PR and Botafogo SP are close in the Serie B table, 10th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Botafogo SP 45-39, Operario-PR 49-50. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.