Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife Prediction

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·Gustavo Ervino Bauermann, Brazil 15/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel28%SurpriseHighGap-1.8%
Novorizontino Rest
3 days
Nautico Recife Rest
5 days

Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife: the result in context

Novorizontino and Nautico Recife drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Gustavo Ervino Bauermann averages 5.83 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.13
X
31%3.12
2
24%3.50
Double Chance
1X
76%1.29
X2
55%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.85
No
46%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.06 = 2.42
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
49%2.15
Over 3.5
25%3.75
Under 1.5
28%2.90
Under 2.5
51%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.34
Over 9.5
51%1.62
Over 10.5
39%1.96
Under 8.5
36%2.89
Under 9.5
49%2.14
Under 10.5
61%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
42%1.36
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
58%2.79

Match Events

11'BetaoFoul
12'Goal Disallowed - offsideRobson
29'Matheus BianquiFoul
31'Dodo
39'ReginaldoFoul
46'Diego Galo INJuninho out
46'Matheus Bianqui INLuis Oyama out
63'Vinicius Paiva INCarlao out
66'Reginaldo INMatheus Ribeiro out
66'Victor Andrade INJunior Todinho out
67'JuninhoAssist: Carlao
71'Leonai Souza INLuiz Felipe out
74'JordiUnsportsmanlike conduct
76'Dodo(Penalty)
79'Robson
86'Junior Todinho INFelipe Saraiva out
86'Igor Fernandes INArnaldo out
86'N. Castrillon INKauan Alemao out
88'Romulo INTavinho out
90+3'JuninhoFoul
90+5'DerekFoul

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1745Elo Rating 1552
2.27Attack 0.27
2.18Defense 1.47
81%Hit Rate 27%
16.8Shots per Game 15.3
5.9Shots on Target 4.2
5.5Corners per Game 5.7
3.0Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+194 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife1Wins · 50%
5.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B15/10/2022
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
60
Serie B02/07/2022
Nautico RecifeNovorizontino
31

Recent Form

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
4W4D2L
11/06/2026
GoiasNovorizontino
04
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
W
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
W
04/05/2026
AvaiNovorizontino
33
D
26/04/2026
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
10
L
20/04/2026
NovorizontinoAthletic Club
21
W
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
5W1D4L
10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D
28/04/2026
Athletic ClubNautico Recife
01
W
18/04/2026
Nautico RecifeSão Bernardo
03
L
12/04/2026
CearaNautico Recife
10
L
04/04/2026
Nautico RecifePonte Preta
10
W

Referee Profile

Gustavo Ervino Bauermann102 matches

5.83Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Ervino Bauermann5.83
Other referees5.32

5.83 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Novorizontino and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Nautico Recife 15th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 66-32, Nautico Recife 41-51. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Novorizontino and Nautico Recife have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.