Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP Prediction

Vila Nova
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia·Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil 09/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.52
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMedium
Vila Nova Rest
8 days
Botafogo SP Rest
7 days

Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Botafogo SP 1-0 in the Serie B on 9 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vila Nova had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Botafogo SP.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.16
X
24%2.91
2
25%3.67
Double Chance
1X
75%1.25
X2
49%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.10
No
46%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.94 = 2.66
Over 1.5
75%1.52
Over 2.5
52%2.47
Over 3.5
29%4.78
Under 1.5
25%2.48
Under 2.5
48%1.48
Under 3.5
71%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
61%1.51
Over 9.5
51%1.91
Over 10.5
38%2.37
Under 8.5
39%2.35
Under 9.5
49%1.82
Under 10.5
62%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

21'Andre LuisAssist: Janderson
32'Patrick BreyFoul
48'Andre LuisFoul
56'Andre Luis INGustavo Puskas out
61'Rafael Gava INFelipe Vieira out
61'Kelvin INJefferson Nem out
74'Hygor INArthur Caike out
74'Ze Hugo INMarcio Maranhao out
75'Janderson INHayner out
75'Higor INWillian Formiga out
87'Helton Leite INDalberson out
87'Willian Formiga INBruno Xavier out
90'Felipe VieiraFoul
90+2'Gabriel Inocencio INThiago Moraes out
90+3'Matheus Sales INPedro Henrique out
90+8'Thiago MoraesFoul
90+13'WallaceUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Ferreira Guto
Botafogo SP
4-1-4-1Coach: Tencati Claudio
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.53
Helton Leite6.71H. Leite
Nathan Camargo7.320N. Camargo
Tiago Pagnussat6.63T. Pagnussat
AndersonC7.214Anderson
Higor7.316Higor
Dudu Dos Santos7.015D. Dos Santos
João Vieira6.68J. Vieira
Ryan Lima7.011R. Lima
Dodô7.331Dodô
Janderson7.299Janderson
André Luís7.77A. Luís
Victor Souza7.31V. Souza
Gabriel Inocêncio6.322G. Inocêncio
Vilar7.24Vilar
Wallace6.513Wallace
Patrick BreyC5.66P. Brey
Matheus Sales6.216M. Sales
Zé Hugo6.530Z. Hugo
Everton Morelli6.98E. Morelli
Rafael Gava6.210R. Gava
Kelvin6.77Kelvin
Hygor6.39Hygor

Vila Nova Substitutes

9Gustavo Puskas56'for Andre Luis6.2
29Dalberson87'for Helton Leite6.5
13Willian Formiga75'for Higor87'for Bruno Xavier6.5
22Hayner75'for Janderson6.6
70Kerlon
4Samuel Lucas
23Bruno Xavier87'replaced by Willian Formiga6.7
18Enzo
21Soares

Botafogo SP Substitutes

26Felipe Vieira61'for Rafael Gava90'6.3
11Jefferson Nem61'for Kelvin7.0
12Jordan
3Ericson da Silva
31Pedrinho90+3'for Matheus Sales
33Badaró
29Thiago Moraes90+2'replaced by Gabriel Inocencio90+8'6.5
34Erik Rebello de Castro
19Márcio Carlos Maranhão74'for Ze Hugo6.7
18Arthur Caíke74'for Hygor6.3

Match Stats

Vila NovaBotafogo SP
51%Ball Possession49%
9Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box3
11Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots0
13Fouls16
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
299Total Passes290
230Passes Accurate207
77%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1661Elo Rating 1588
1.53Attack 1.29
1.73Defense 2.69
34%Hit Rate 86%
11.0Shots per Game 11.0
4.2Shots on Target 3.9
4.4Corners per Game 6.3
2.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B26/08/2025
Botafogo SPVila Nova
20
Serie B20/04/2025
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
20
Serie B28/09/2024
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
11
Serie B16/06/2024
Botafogo SPVila Nova
10
Serie B12/10/2023
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
31
Serie B24/06/2023
Botafogo SPVila Nova
03

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
6W3D1L
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
W
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
W
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
W
09/05/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
L
05/05/2026
Vila NovaAthletic Club
11
D
26/04/2026
CearaVila Nova
33
D
18/04/2026
Vila NovaOperario-PR
21
W
11/04/2026
Ponte PretaVila Nova
01
W
05/04/2026
Vila NovaAtletico Goianiense
21
W
02/04/2026
Sport RecifeVila Nova
11
D
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1W4D5L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
26/05/2026
Botafogo SPAthletic Club
12
L
16/05/2026
GoiasBotafogo SP
10
L
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
L
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
19/04/2026
Botafogo SPAtletico Goianiense
11
D
11/04/2026
CriciumaBotafogo SP
10
L
06/04/2026
Botafogo SPSão Bernardo
12
L
01/04/2026
America MineiroBotafogo SP
12
W

Referee Profile

Maguielson Lima Barbosa90 matches

5.74Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Maguielson Lima Barbosa5.74
Other referees5.31

5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB361671354:51+355LWLDW
7GoiasGoias361671338:41-355WWDWW
8Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
9Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
12Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3654:5155
7GoiasGoias3638:4155
8Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
9Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
12Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
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About the Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and Botafogo SP 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 52-38, Botafogo SP 45-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.