Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

Bristol City
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sheffield Utd
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol·Ben Speedie 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Bristol City Rest
3 days
Sheffield Utd Rest
2 days

Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd: the result in context

Sheffield Utd beat Bristol City 1-0 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sheffield Utd have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Ben Speedie averages 3.30 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.01
X
28%3.51
2
26%3.63
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
54%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.03 = 2.48
Over 1.5
72%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.90
Over 3.5
26%3.28
Under 1.5
28%3.50
Under 2.5
52%1.89
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.31
Over 9.5
57%1.60
Over 10.5
46%1.98
Under 8.5
32%2.98
Under 9.5
43%2.25
Under 10.5
54%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.76
Over 4.5
43%2.57
Under 3.5
38%2.00
Under 4.5
57%1.46

Match Events

5'Oliver Arblaster
45'Scott Twine INElijah Adebayo out
45'George Tanner INJed Wallace out
69'Jordan Ayew INPatrick Bamford out
69'Tahith Chong INSam McCallum out
72'Gibson Osahumen Yah INBrian de Keersmaecker out
78'Oliver Arblaster INSydie Peck out
79'Ben Brereton INRyan One out
79'Mark McGuinness INRomelle Donovan out
85'Jason Knight INTomi Horvat out
85'Yu Hirakawa INSam Bellis out
87'Thomas Cannon INJamal Baptiste out
90+6'Brian de KeersmaeckerFoul
90+10'Patrick BamfordArgument

Lineups

Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Skubala
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2Coach: Chris Wilder
Avg rating6.23
Avg rating6.66
S. Tickle5.81S. Tickle
G. Tanner6.219G. Tanner
L. McNally6.815L. McNally
R. Atkinson6.05R. Atkinson
C. Pring6.23C. Pring
J. Knight5.812J. Knight
G. Yah6.427G. Yah
Rio Cardines6.021R. Cardines
S. Twine6.710S. Twine
Y. Hirakawa6.17Y. Hirakawa
D. Ballard5.923D. Ballard
M. Cooper6.41M. Cooper
J. Tanganga7.05J. Tanganga
M. McGuinness7.325M. McGuinness
L. Kitching7.115L. Kitching
H. Burrows6.114H. Burrows
B. Brereton6.522B. Brereton
K. Phillips6.227K. Phillips
O. Arblaster7.64O. Arblaster
T. Chong6.219T. Chong
T. Cannon6.49T. Cannon
J. Ayew5.810J. Ayew

Bristol City Substitutes

4A. Randell
17J. Wallace45'for George Tanner6.3
45E. Adebayo45'for Scott Twine6.5
11S. Bell85'for Yu Hirakawa6.6
40B. Collins
6B. De Keersmaecker72'for Gibson Osahumen Yah90+6'6.1
2L. Eissat
20S. Greenwood
14T. Horvat85'for Jason Knight6.3

Sheffield Utd Substitutes

33J. Baptiste87'for Thomas Cannon6.8
23T. Campbell
17A. Davies
11R. Donovan79'for Mark McGuinness6.9
3S. McCallum69'for Tahith Chong7.2
26R. Oné79'for Ben Brereton6.6
42Sydie Peck78'for Oliver Arblaster6.9
7J. Rothwell
45P. Bamford69'for Jordan Ayew90+10'6.3

Match Stats

Bristol CitySheffield Utd
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots16
1Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box13
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots7
16Fouls10
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
411Total Passes370
267Passes Accurate231
10Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Bristol CityBristol City
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
1584Elo Rating 1650
0.36Attack 1.48
2.17Defense 1.84
17%Hit Rate 46%
14.4Shots per Game 11.5
4.2Shots on Target 3.5
6.2Corners per Game 4.0
1.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bristol CityBristol City2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd6Wins · 60%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship06/04/2026
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
10
Championship09/08/2025
Sheffield UtdBristol City
14
Championship12/05/2025
Sheffield UtdBristol City
30
Championship08/05/2025
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
03
Championship11/03/2025
Sheffield UtdBristol City
11
Championship05/11/2024
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
12
Championship18/04/2023
Sheffield UtdBristol City
10
Championship01/11/2022
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
01
Championship18/04/2022
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
11
Championship28/11/2021
Sheffield UtdBristol City
20

Referee Profile

Ben Speedie214 matches

3.30Cards per match
3.19Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ben Speedie3.30
Other referees3.82

3.30 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.82).

Cards come from 204 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1172216:8+823LWWWW
3West HamWest Ham1164130:12+1822WWDDW
4BirminghamBirmingham1155120:11+920WWWDW
5West BromWest Brom1162315:12+320WWLLD
6Stoke CityStoke City1161418:16+219WLWWW
7WolvesWolves1153319:16+318DWLLW
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
9SouthamptonSouthampton1163221:10+1117DWWLW
10QPRQPR1145215:12+317LWDDD
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
12BlackburnBlackburn1143417:16+115LWWDW
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14WrexhamWrexham1135315:16-114WLDWL
15Bristol CityBristol City1142512:15-314LLDWL
16BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
17CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
18NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
19LincolnLincoln113359:19-1012DLLLW
20CardiffCardiff1125418:17+111DWLWL
21WatfordWatford1132610:19-911WLLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1115516:21-58LDWDL
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston111199:24-154LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1116:823
3West HamWest Ham1130:1222
4BirminghamBirmingham1120:1120
5West BromWest Brom1115:1220
6Stoke CityStoke City1118:1619
7WolvesWolves1119:1618
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
9SouthamptonSouthampton1121:1017
10QPRQPR1115:1217
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
12BlackburnBlackburn1117:1615
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14WrexhamWrexham1115:1614
15Bristol CityBristol City1112:1514
16BoltonBolton1216:2314
17CharltonCharlton1211:1814
18NorwichNorwich1220:2212
19LincolnLincoln119:1912
20CardiffCardiff1118:1711
21WatfordWatford1110:1911
22BurnleyBurnley1116:218
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston119:244
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol City and Sheffield Utd in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Sheffield Utd are 11th and Bristol City 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol City 12-15, Sheffield Utd 16-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.