Bristol City vs Lincoln Prediction

Bristol City
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Lincoln
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol·T. Robinson 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.84
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Bristol City Rest
3 days
Lincoln Rest
3 days

Bristol City vs Lincoln: result, form and history

Lincoln beat Bristol City 1-0 in the Championship on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%1.85
X
27%3.50
2
43%4.15
Double Chance
1X
57%1.21
X2
70%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.83
No
51%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.28 = 2.37
Over 1.5
69%1.32
Over 2.5
43%2.00
Over 3.5
22%3.50
Under 1.5
31%3.25
Under 2.5
57%1.79
Under 3.5
78%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.28
Over 9.5
54%1.52
Over 10.5
41%1.89
Under 8.5
37%3.25
Under 9.5
46%2.34
Under 10.5
59%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.91
Over 4.5
35%2.77
Under 3.5
45%1.82
Under 4.5
65%1.41

Match Events

14'Ben HouseFoul
28'Lisav Naif EissatFoul
37'Deji ElereweFoul
41'lorent tolajPersistent infringement
45'F. DraperFoul
53'F. DraperAssist: Ben House
59'Jed Wallace INDominic Ballard out
63'Chiedozie Ogbene INReeco Hackett-Fairchild out
68'Ryley TowlerFoul
69'George WickensTime wasting
71'Adam Reach INDaniel Oyegoke out
71'F. Draper INRobert Nicholas Street out
76'lorent tolaj INElijah Adebayo out
76'Scott Twine INSam Greenwood out
76'Robert Dickie INRobert Atkinson out
86'Cameron Pring INSam Bellis out
90+6'Ivan Varfolomeev INTom Bayliss out

Lineups

Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Skubala
Lincoln
3-4-2-1Coach: Chris Cohen
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.79
S. Tickle6.51S. Tickle
Rio Cardines7.821R. Cardines
R. Dickie7.216R. Dickie
L. Eissat6.82L. Eissat
C. Pring6.63C. Pring
J. Knight6.412J. Knight
G. Yah6.727G. Yah
J. Wallace5.917J. Wallace
S. Twine6.010S. Twine
Y. Hirakawa6.27Y. Hirakawa
L. Tolaj6.19L. Tolaj
G. Wickens6.81G. Wickens
D. Elerewe6.825D. Elerewe
S. Bradley6.915S. Bradley
R. Towler6.06R. Towler
D. Jefferies6.216D. Jefferies
I. Varfolomeev6.324I. Varfolomeev
C. McGrandles6.414C. McGrandles
A. Reach6.73A. Reach
B. House7.618B. House
C. Ogbene6.627C. Ogbene
F. Draper7.934F. Draper

Bristol City Substitutes

4A. Randell
19G. Tanner
45E. Adebayo76'for lorent tolaj6.3
5R. Atkinson76'for Robert Dickie6.7
23D. Ballard59'for Jed Wallace7.0
11S. Bell86'for Cameron Pring6.3
40B. Collins
38N. Eile
20S. Greenwood76'for Scott Twine6.6

Lincoln Substitutes

4A. Coubiș
46J. Gauci
7R. Hackett63'for Chiedozie Ogbene6.9
26Y. Konak
11M. Ladefoged
19I. Olaofe
33D. Oyegoke71'for Adam Reach7.2
17R. Street71'for F. Draper6.6
8T. Bayliss90+6'for Ivan Varfolomeev

Match Stats

Bristol CityLincoln
68%Ball Possession32%
13Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards5
18Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots3
13Fouls19
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
520Total Passes250
434Passes Accurate161
83%Pass Accuracy64%

Team Comparison

Bristol CityBristol City
LincolnLincoln
1592Elo Rating 1657
0.96Attack 1.34
1.70Defense 0.67
23%Hit Rate 19%
10.1Shots per Game 12.3
4.0Shots on Target 3.5
4.5Corners per Game 3.4
1.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
LincolnLincoln
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Bristol CityBristol City0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
LincolnLincoln1Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

League Cup08/11/2022
Bristol CityLincoln
13

Recent Form

Bristol CityBristol City
4W3D3L
12/09/2026
SouthamptonBristol City
41
L
05/09/2026
BurnleyBristol City
12
W
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
W
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
W
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
L
06/08/2026
Bristol CityWalsall
01
L
01/08/2026
Exeter CityBristol City
11
D
01/08/2026
PlymouthBristol City
00
D
29/07/2026
Bristol CityNewcastle
41
W
LincolnLincoln
4W2D4L

Referee Profile

T. Robinson220 matches

4.14Cards per match
4.01Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Robinson4.14
Other referees3.78

4.14 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 201 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol City vs Lincoln forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Bristol City and Lincoln in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Bristol City are 17th and Lincoln 21st, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol City 16-24, Lincoln 15-26. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bristol City and Lincoln have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.