Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction

Burnley
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Bristol City
Turf Moor, Burnley· Gavin Ward, England 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel55%RiskMediumGap+1.4%
Burnley Rest
2 days
Bristol City Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.91
X
30%3.60
2
16%3.77
Double Chance
1X
84%1.25
X2
46%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.72
No
49%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 0.99 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.83
Over 3.5
27%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.70
Under 2.5
48%1.95
Under 3.5
73%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.43
Over 9.5
54%1.73
Over 10.5
48%2.17
Under 8.5
36%2.60
Under 9.5
46%2.01
Under 10.5
52%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%2.02
Over 4.5
28%3.26
Under 3.5
53%1.73
Under 4.5
72%1.29

Match Events

45+2'Hjalmar EkdalFoul
46'H. Ekdal INA. Ahmedhodzic out
46'A. Hountondji INA. Broja out
56'A. RamseyAssist: R. Hatate
61'J. Wallace INY. Hirakawa out
62'G. Yah IND. Ballard out
63'R. Hatate INZ. Amdouni out
70'L. Ramazani INJ. Bruun Larsen out
72'C. Pring ING. Tanner out
72'S. Twine INS. Greenwood out
80'L. Tolaj INE. Adebayo out
82'R. DickieAssist: R. Cardines
83'Kyle WalkerFoul
85'A. Ramsey INH. Mejbri out
90+4'Armando BrojaArgument
90'Y. Hirakawa

Lineups

Burnley
4-2-3-1Coach: Nicky Hayen
Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: Roy Hodgson
M. Weiss1M. WeissM. Weiss
K. Walker2K. WalkerK. Walker
H. Ekdal18H. EkdalH. Ekdal
M. Alleyne3M. AlleyneM. Alleyne
O. Sonne22O. SonneO. Sonne
U. Raghouber8U. RaghouberU. Raghouber
J. Laurent29J. LaurentJ. Laurent
A. Ramsey21A. RamseyA. Ramsey
R. Hatate5R. HatateR. Hatate
L. Ramazani19L. RamazaniL. Ramazani
A. Hountondji17A. HountondjiA. Hountondji
S. Tickle1S. TickleS. Tickle
R. Cardines21R. CardinesR. Cardines
R. Dickie16R. DickieR. Dickie
L. Eissat2L. EissatL. Eissat
C. Pring3C. PringC. Pring
J. Knight12J. KnightJ. Knight
J. Williams8J. WilliamsJ. Williams
J. Wallace17J. WallaceJ. Wallace
G. Yah27G. YahG. Yah
S. Twine10S. TwineS. Twine
L. Tolaj9L. TolajL. Tolaj

Burnley Substitutes

37G. CoudertG
15A. AhmedhodzicD
99IgorD
14C. RobertsD
28H. MejbriM
7J. Bruun LarsenF
27A. BrojaF
30L. CastellF
11Z. AmdouniF

Bristol City Substitutes

40B. CollinsG
38N. EileD
19G. TannerD
20S. GreenwoodM
14T. HorvatM
4A. RandellM
45E. AdebayoF
23D. BallardF
7Y. HirakawaM

Match Stats

BurnleyBristol City
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards0
8Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls7
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
469Total Passes422
392Passes Accurate332
84%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

BurnleyBurnley
Bristol CityBristol City
1590Elo Rating 1611
1.00Attack 1.93
0.84Defense 1.05
0%Hit Rate 59%
15.6Shots per Game 15.6
4.2Shots on Target 4.8
5.0Corners per Game 5.1
2.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BurnleyBurnley
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Burnley 100%Draw 0%0% Bristol City
1.84Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
0W2D3L
02/09/2026
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
11
D
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
L
26/08/2026
BradfordBurnley
4020
L
23/08/2026
West BromBurnley
31
L
16/08/2026
BurnleyWest Ham
22
D
Bristol CityBristol City
2W1D2L
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
W
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
W
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
L
06/08/2026
Bristol CityWalsall
01
L

Referee Profile

Gavin Ward, England · 29 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
21.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 5% of referees analysed

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114:10+414DWWDW
4West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8LincolnLincoln73226:6011WWDDW
9SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
10BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
11MillwallMillwall731313:13010DLWLL
12Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
13Bristol CityBristol City731310:12-210LLWWW
14NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
16BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough714:1014
4West BromWest Brom710:714
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8LincolnLincoln76:611
9SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
10BirminghamBirmingham710:910
11MillwallMillwall713:1310
12Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
13Bristol CityBristol City710:1210
14NorwichNorwich713:139
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
16BlackburnBlackburn710:108
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
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Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Burnley and Bristol City have met 4 times recently, averaging 1.84 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.