Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe Prediction

Águilas Doradas
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellin·Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono, Colombia 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.44
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Águilas Doradas Rest
61 days
Santa Fe Rest
2 days

Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe: result, form and history

Águilas Doradas beat Santa Fe 2-1 in the Primera A on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono averages 6.27 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.75
X
31%2.95
2
39%2.70
Double Chance
1X
61%1.41
X2
70%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 0.96 = 2.17
Over 1.5
68%1.44
Over 2.5
39%2.38
Over 3.5
21%4.30
Under 1.5
32%2.60
Under 2.5
61%1.55
Under 3.5
79%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.3 = 8.6
Over 8.5
53%1.61
Over 9.5
38%2.05
Over 10.5
29%2.70
Under 8.5
47%2.15
Under 9.5
62%1.71
Under 10.5
71%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

11'J. Ontaneda
14'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Vasquez
21'F. Fagundez
26'K. D. Toscano Bassa
28'J. Mena
54'A. RicaurteAssist: J. Melendez
56'O. Fernandez INA. Zapata out
56'F. Fagundez INM. Lovera out
57'E. Arizalas INM. Ramirez out
61'N. Bustos(Penalty)
62'L. Palacios INJ. Obrian out
62'M. Ramirez
71'J. Noguera INJ. E. Avalo Trejos out
71'A. Vasquez INR. Marquez out
71'M. Puerta INK. Balanta out
71'N. Bustos INH. Rodallega out
85'F. LozanoAssist: A. Ricaurte
89'A. Ricaurte INI. Rojas out
89'J. Melendez INS. Rodriguez out

Lineups

Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1Coach: David Nino Casteblanco Juan
Santa Fe
4-3-3Coach: Jose Lopez Fierro
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.59
Jorge Soto6.31J. Soto
Jhon Meléndez7.313J. Meléndez
Andrés Mosquera6.04A. Mosquera
John Ontaneda6.93J. Ontaneda
Javier Mena6.732J. Mena
Juan Camilo Roa7.225J. Camilo Roa
Frank LozanoC8.319F. Lozano
Junior Noguera7.710J. Noguera
Andrés Ricaurte8.78A. Ricaurte
Eduar Arízalas6.67E. Arízalas
Anthony Vásquez6.29A. Vásquez
Andrés MosqueraC8.01A. Mosquera
Mateo Puerta6.54M. Puerta
Emanuel Olivera6.318E. Olivera
Ivan Scarpeta6.315I. Scarpeta
Jeison Angulo5.924J. Angulo
Luis Angel Palacios6.714L. Angel Palacios
Kilian Toscano6.56K. Toscano
Jhojan Torres6.97J. Torres
Franco Fagúndez6.09F. Fagúndez
Nahuel Bustos7.319N. Bustos
Omar Fernández6.58O. Fernández

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

16Matías Ramírez57'for E. Arizalas62'6.7
34Hector Arango
26Dylan Lozano
28Sebastián Rodríguez89'for J. Melendez
6Iván Rojas89'for A. Ricaurte
27Carlos Londoño
24Juan Ávalo71'for J. Noguera6.5
17Emanuel Betancur
21Ricardo Márquez6.3

Santa Fe Substitutes

10Alexis Zapata56'for O. Fernandez6.3
17Maximiliano Lovera56'for F. Fagundez6.9
12Weibmar Asprilla
35Kevin Balanta71'for M. Puerta6.2
16Daniel Torres
11Hugo Rodallega71'for N. Bustos6.5
77Jader Obrian62'for L. Palacios6.6
40Martin Palacios

Match Stats

Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
56%Ball Possession44%
2Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal1
12Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots4
10Fouls12
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves7
462Total Passes361
379Passes Accurate262
82%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
Santa FeSanta Fe
1578Elo Rating 1617
1.20Attack 0.61
2.50Defense 1.58
66%Hit Rate 31%
10.7Shots per Game 13.7
3.4Shots on Target 4.7
4.1Corners per Game 4.6
2.1Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Santa FeSanta Fe
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
Santa FeSanta Fe2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A19/01/2026
Santa FeÁguilas Doradas
11
Primera A23/07/2025
Santa FeÁguilas Doradas
00
Primera A08/02/2025
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
00
Primera A07/10/2024
Santa FeÁguilas Doradas
00
Primera A25/03/2024
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
11
Primera A08/10/2023
Santa FeÁguilas Doradas
05
Primera A28/04/2023
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
31
CONMEBOL Sudamericana09/03/2023
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
12
Primera A14/07/2022
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
22
Primera A26/01/2022
Santa FeÁguilas Doradas
30

Recent Form

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
3W4D3L
26/05/2026
Real SoachaÁguilas Doradas
22
D
21/05/2026
Águilas DoradasDeportivo Pereira
11
D
18/05/2026
Ind. YumboÁguilas Doradas
14
W
10/05/2026
Águilas DoradasJaguares
00
D
03/05/2026
Independiente MedellinÁguilas Doradas
12
W
26/04/2026
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
22
D
19/04/2026
Fortaleza FCÁguilas Doradas
20
L
11/04/2026
Águilas DoradasJunior
03
L
07/04/2026
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
21
W
01/04/2026
Deportes TolimaÁguilas Doradas
41
L
Santa FeSanta Fe
5W3D2L
24/07/2026
Santa FeCaracas FC
20
W
28/05/2026
PenarolSanta Fe
01
W
24/05/2026
JuniorSanta Fe
5040
L
20/05/2026
Santa FePlatense
21
W
17/05/2026
Santa FeJunior
11
D
13/05/2026
Santa FeAmerica de Cali
40
W
10/05/2026
America de CaliSanta Fe
11
D
07/05/2026
Santa FeCorinthians
11
D
03/05/2026
Santa FeInternacional de Bogota
31
W
30/04/2026
PlatenseSanta Fe
21
L

Referee Profile

Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono182 matches

6.27Cards per match
5.83Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono6.27
Other referees5.62

6.27 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.62).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Águilas Doradas and Santa Fe in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Santa Fe are 7th and Águilas Doradas 12th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Águilas Doradas 20-25, Santa Fe 29-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.