Once Caldas vs Cucuta Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
Once Caldas Rest
5 days
Cucuta Rest
54 days
Once Caldas vs Cucuta: the result in context
Once Caldas beat Cucuta 5-1 in the Primera A on 27 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Once Caldas had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Cucuta.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.7 for Cucuta.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
167%1.43
X20%4.25
213%7.00
Double Chance
1X87%1.08
X233%2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.90
No47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.78 = 2.63
Over 1.575%1.22
Over 2.554%1.75
Over 3.532%2.85
Under 1.525%3.84
Under 2.546%2.04
Under 3.568%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 7 + 3.6 = 10.6
Over 8.566%1.46
Over 9.553%1.80
Over 10.537%2.31
Under 8.534%2.50
Under 9.547%1.92
Under 10.563%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.538%-
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.562%-
Match Events
2'J. A. Zapata RamirezAssist: A. Roa
7'J. Castano
10'A. RoaAssist: P. Gomez
14'M. BarriosAssist: J. Alvarado
23'K. Londono INM. B. Carabali Lopez out
36'L. Rios
46'J. Castano IND. Londono out
54'J. Quinones INA. Colorado out
58'E. M. Duarte Barajas IND. Perez out
58'J. Ceballos INS. Mayo out
63'D. Calcaterra
65'J. A. Zapata Ramirez IND. Moreno out
66'P. Gomez INE. Torres out
67'A. Correa
68'L. Rios INJ. Agudelo out
75'A. Roa INM. Zuleta out
87'M. ZuletaAssist: J. D. Cuesta Santos
90+3'D. MorenoAssist: J. D. Cuesta Santos
Lineups
Once CaldasCucuta
5-4-1Coach: Richard PaezAvg ratingAvg rating
99F. Parra
22J. David Cuesta
16J. Castaño
C2J. Cardona
3A. Correa
20A. Roa
7M. Barrios
15J. Alvarado
42J. Quinones
9P. Gómez
14J. Zapata
12F. Abadía
33S. Tamara
3D. Calcaterra
5V. Mejia
2H. Lópes
C27M. Duarte
10L. Berdugo
16K. Londoño
8J. Ceballos
29L. Ríos
9J. PeraltaOnce Caldas Substitutes
30Daniel Londoño46'for J. Castano
23Andres Colorado54'for J. Quinones
17Dayro Moreno65'for J. A. Zapata Ramirez90+3'
29Edwin Torres66'for P. Gomez
28Mateo Zuleta75'for A. Roa87'
25Juan Gallego
4Efraín Navarro
19Tomas García
21Helieyker Guzman
Cucuta Substitutes
21Marlon Carabali
20Dayan Pérez58'for E. M. Duarte Barajas
23Samir Mayo58'for J. Ceballos
32Jhonatan Agudelo68'for L. Rios
1Juan David Ramírez
4Jhon Quiñónes
17Leison Ochoa
Match Stats
Once CaldasCucuta 42%Ball Possession58%
7Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots25
8Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal14
10Shots Inside Box18
6Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots5
15Fouls3
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
351Total Passes476
286Passes Accurate419
81%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
Once CaldasCucuta1634Elo Rating 1504
1.41Attack 0.77
2.64Defense 1.96
64%Hit Rate 58%
20.7Shots per Game 10.4
7.6Shots on Target 3.5
7.0Corners per Game 4.7
3.0Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+130 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cucuta- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Once Caldas2Wins · 67%Draws00%
Cucuta1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
19/01/2026CucutaOnce Caldas12
23/02/2023Once CaldasCucuta10
16/02/2023CucutaOnce Caldas31
Recent Form
Once Caldas3W5D2L
22/07/2026Once Caldas
Envigado
Once CaldasEnvigado30
W14/05/2026
JuniorOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
L02/05/2026Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Once CaldasAtletico Nacional10
W26/04/2026
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas22
D21/04/2026Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
Once CaldasInternacional de Bogota21
W10/04/2026
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas00
D03/04/2026Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
Once CaldasIndependiente Medellin11
D30/03/2026
LlanerosOnce Caldas
LlanerosOnce Caldas11
D22/03/2026Once Caldas
Millonarios
Once CaldasMillonarios14
LCucuta2W5D3L
02/06/2026Independiente MedellinCucuta
Independiente MedellinCucuta21
L29/05/2026Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
CucutaFortaleza FC00
D16/05/2026Cucuta
Leones FC
CucutaLeones FC00
D10/05/2026
OrsomarsoCucuta
OrsomarsoCucuta11
D02/05/2026
JaguaresCucuta
JaguaresCucuta20
L24/04/2026CucutaJunior
CucutaJunior11
D19/04/2026
Santa FeCucuta
Santa FeCucuta50
L05/04/2026Cucuta
America de Cali
CucutaAmerica de Cali20
W02/04/2026Atletico NacionalCucuta
Atletico NacionalCucuta00
D28/03/2026Cucuta
Chico
CucutaChico10
WReferee Profile
5.92Cards per match
5.62Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.92 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).
Cards come from 108 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportes Tolima vs Junior 26/07/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs America de Cali 26/07/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe 26/07/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC 27/07/26
- Bucaramanga vs Llaneros 31/07/26
- Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pereira 01/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas 01/08/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima 01/08/26
About the Once Caldas vs Cucuta forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Once Caldas and Cucuta in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Cucuta 19th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Once Caldas 31-22, Cucuta 22-35. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.