Carlisle vs Tamworth Prediction
England · Qualifying Round 4
Brunton Park, Carlisle 17/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.48
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Carlisle Rest
7 days
Tamworth Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.48
X20%4.05
219%5.25
Double Chance
1X81%1.08
X239%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goals
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
6'
45'
48'
Match Stats
CarlisleTamworth 
62%Ball Possession38%
11Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots8
10Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
CarlisleTamworth1610Elo Rating 1478
1.74Attack 1.14
1.83Defense 2.00
63%Hit Rate 50%
22.0Shots per Game 8.0
10.0Shots on Target 2.0
11.0Corners per Game 1.0
2.0Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+133 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Carlisle- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tamworth- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Carlisle1Wins · 50%Draws00%
Tamworth1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
14/03/2026TamworthCarlisle21
29/11/2025CarlisleTamworth21
Recent Form
Carlisle3W4D3L
10/10/2026Carlisle
Kidderminster Harriers
Aldershot TownCarlisle
AFC FyldeCarlisleCarlisle
WokingCarlisle
Forest GreenCarlisle
Southend
CarlisleKidderminster Harriers00
D03/10/2026Aldershot TownCarlisle13
W29/09/2026AFC FyldeCarlisle02
W26/09/2026CarlisleWoking25
L19/09/2026
EastleighCarlisle
15/09/2026EastleighCarlisle10
LCarlisleForest Green11
D12/09/2026CarlisleSouthend22
D05/09/2026
Boreham WoodCarlisle
Boreham WoodCarlisle21
L31/08/2026Carlisle
Scunthorpe
CarlisleScunthorpe42
W28/08/2026
WealdstoneCarlisle
WealdstoneCarlisle11
DTamworth4W1D5L
10/10/2026Tamworth
Barrow
TamworthBarrow12
L06/10/2026Tamworth
Leeds United U21
TamworthLeeds United U2110
W03/10/2026
HartlepoolTamworth
HartlepoolTamworth01
W30/09/2026Tamworth
Sutton Utd
TamworthSutton Utd20
W26/09/2026Aldershot TownTamworth
Aldershot TownTamworth51
L19/09/2026TamworthWealdstone
15/09/2026TamworthWealdstone21
WSouthendTamworth31
L12/09/2026
Harrogate TownTamworth
Harrogate TownTamworth31
L09/09/2026Tamworth
Middlesbrough U21
TamworthMiddlesbrough U2113
L05/09/2026Tamworth
Boston United
TamworthBoston United22
DBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Qualifying Round 4
Quorn2
Shepshed Dynamo1
Aveley4
Cheshunt2
Flackwell Heath0
Hanwell Town1
Three Bridges0
Kingstonian1
Curzon Ashton1
Bradford (Park Avenue)2
Bamber Bridge1
Trafford3
Hendon7
Hullbridge Sports3
Leatherhead3
Croydon Athletic0
Alfreton Town0
Stratford Town2
Dulwich Hamlet4
East Grinstead Town0
Broadfields United1
Chichester City4
Halesowen Town3
Basford United1
Rylands3
Hyde United1
Wells City0
Hungerford Town4
Cambridge City6
Maldon & Tiptree1
SE Dons2
Erith Town0
Witham Town3
Stotfold2
AFC Portchester2
Portland United1
Stamford0
Mickleover Sports1
Sileby Rangers0
Anstey Nomads4
Peterborough Sports4
Ipswich Wanderers0
Baffins Milton Rovers1
Slimbridge4
Hayes & Yeading United2
Camberley Town1
London Lions2
Bury Town4
Whitby Town2
Ashton United5
Workington3
Marske United0
Harleston Town3
Romford1
Avro0
Witton Albion2
Gosport Borough1
Plymouth Parkway3
Egham Town0
Chatham Town4
Lye Town1
Racing Club Warwick5
Falmouth Town2
Frome Town4
Margate1
Snodland3
Northwich Victoria2
Atherton Collieries3
Brantham Athletic0
Waltham Abbey7
Whitehawk2
Eastbourne Borough4
Real Bedford4
Royston Town1
Hanworth Villa4
Whitstable Town1
Redcar Athletic1
Stocksbridge Park Steels0
Sporting Khalsa0
Leek Town5
Cleethorpes Town1
Newcastle Town2
Garforth Town1
United of Manchester5
Alvechurch2
Wolverhampton City0
Thame United3
Reading City2
Stafford Rangers3
Northampton ON Chenecks0
Holmesdale1
Windsor5
Belper Town0
Evesham United3
Mulbarton Wanderers3
Cornard United0
Uxbridge3
Haywards Heath Town0
Bishop's Stortford2
Berkhamsted3
Hanley Town2
Abbey Hulton1
St. Blazey1
Tiverton Town2
Redhill1
Sheppey United2
Leamington3
Ilkeston Town1
Taunton Town4
Millbrook0
Lower Breck5
Thornaby1
Brixham2
Dorchester Town3
Sittingbourne3
Greenwich Borough4
Coventry United2
Bedworth United1
Heaton Stannington1
Knaresborough Town0
Ramsgate1
Bracknell Town0
AFC Dunstable1
Woodford Town3
Bath City0
Weymouth2
Bishop's Cleeve2
Poole Town1
Yate Town3
Devizes Town0
Bromsgrove Sporting2
Nuneaton Town0
Bury8
Wythenshawe Amateurs0
Vauxhall Motors0
Dunston UTS2
Frenford0
Enfield Town4
Sherwood Colliery2
Gainsborough Trinity4
Sholing2
Andover New Street0
Leighton Town1
Gorleston4
Desborough Town0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds3
Fleetlands0
Cirencester Town3
Redcar Town1
Blyth Spartans0
Prescot Cables2
Horbury Town0
Tadley Calleva3
Laverstock & Ford1
Stourbridge1
Rushall Olympic3
Southall2
Cobham1Harrogate TownWealdstone
WorthingAFC Fylde
AFC Hornchurch
Yeovil TownSutton UtdSouthendKidderminster Harriers
Solihull MoorsBoreham WoodWokingBarrowAldershot Town
GatesheadHartlepool
FC Halifax TownEastleighForest GreenCarlisleTamworthBoston UnitedScunthorpe
Altrincham
Darlington 1883
Braintree
Torquay
Chorley
Macclesfield
Bedford Town
King's Lynn Town
Brackley Town
Buxton
Merthyr Town
Truro City
Walton & Hersham
Horsham
Maidstone Utd
Weston-super-Mare
Spennymoor Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
AFC Totton
Chesham United
Dover
Folkestone Invicta
Salisbury
Scarborough Athletic
AFC Telford United
Worksop Town
Farnborough
Hebburn Town
Slough Town
Chelmsford City
Hereford
Hednesford Town
Billericay Town
Morecambe
Southport
Oxford City
Harborough Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Maidenhead
Ebbsfleet United
South Shields
Chester
Farnham Town
Tonbridge Angels
Spalding United
Hampton & Richmond
Marine
Radcliffe
Dorking Wanderers
Worcester City2Stratford Town1Redcar Town2Darlington 18834Alvechurch3Racing Club Warwick1Torquay6
AFC Stoneham1
Redditch United3Evesham United0Rylands0Chorley1Redcar Athletic1Macclesfield2Bedford Town2King's Lynn Town1Brackley Town1AFC Portchester0Bury5Workington1Buxton1Ashton United0United of Manchester4
Ossett United1Walton & Hersham0Horsham3
Kettering Town2Quorn0
AFC Emley0Spennymoor Town4Gorleston3Bury Town4Chichester City2SE Dons3AFC Totton0
Gloucester City2Cambridge City3
Buckhurst Hill1Chesham United7
Ware2Atherton Collieries2Prescot Cables0Frome Town0Plymouth Parkway2Dover4Folkestone Invicta2Salisbury4Taunton Town1AFC Rushden & Diamonds3Peterborough Sports1Dunston UTS0Scarborough Athletic2
Barton Town Old Boys3
Boldmere St. Michaels1
Pagham0Hanworth Villa6Tiverton Town0Sholing1Berkhamsted4Hendon1Hebburn Town1
Guiseley AFC4Slough Town0Chatham Town1
Canvey Island0Chelmsford City1Bradford (Park Avenue)1
Lancaster City0
Chertsey Town3Greenwich Borough2Stafford Rangers3Hereford2Hanwell Town2
Burgess Hill Town1Aveley2
Brentwood Town3Hednesford Town0Coventry United1
Warrington Town3
South Liverpool0Billericay Town1Enfield Town3Dulwich Hamlet4
Welling United1Bishop's Cleeve0Tadley Calleva1Halesowen Town2Mickleover Sports0Morecambe2Southport0
Swindon Supermarine1Weymouth3Heaton Stannington1Trafford2Witham Town0
St Albans City3Dorchester Town0Oxford City2Harborough Town1Rushall Olympic0Maidenhead1Ebbsfleet United3Slimbridge1Hungerford Town3South Shields7Witton Albion0Kingstonian0Leatherhead1Snodland0Sheppey United1Eastbourne Borough3Windsor0
Hitchin Town1
Leiston2Lower Breck1Chester2Harleston Town1Real Bedford2Tonbridge Angels2Ramsgate1Spalding United2Hanley Town0Anstey Nomads2Newcastle Town1Woodford Town1Mulbarton Wanderers2Bromsgrove Sporting2Leek Town1
Dartford4Hayes & Yeading United2Marine3Radcliffe2Harrogate TownWealdstoneWorthingAFC FyldeAFC HornchurchYeovil TownSutton UtdSouthendKidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsBoreham WoodWokingBarrowAldershot TownGatesheadHartlepoolFC Halifax TownEastleighForest GreenCarlisleTamworthBoston UnitedScunthorpeAltrinchamLeatherhead1Hanworth Villa0
Crowborough Athletic1
Wimborne Town2Brackley Town0Chelmsford City2Truro City4Cirencester Town0
Tadley Calleva2Dartford1Buxton0South Shields2Chesham United4Real Bedford3Hanwell Town1Dover2Spennymoor Town4Chester1Sheppey United0Chertsey Town2Tonbridge Angels0Torquay1Plymouth Parkway2Horsham1Redditch United0Berkhamsted2Harrogate TownWealdstoneWorthingAFC FyldeAFC HornchurchYeovil TownSutton UtdSouthendKidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsBoreham WoodWokingBarrowAldershot TownGatesheadHartlepoolFC Halifax TownEastleighForest GreenCarlisleTamworthBoston UnitedScunthorpeAltrinchamWealdstone3Worthing0AFC Fylde5Atherton Collieries0Harborough Town3Spennymoor Town1FC Halifax Town3South Shields2Eastleigh3Brentwood Town2Boston United1Scunthorpe3Wealdstone3Worthing0AFC Fylde5Atherton Collieries0Harborough Town3Spennymoor Town1FC Halifax Town3South Shields2Eastleigh3Brentwood Town2Boston United1Scunthorpe3Explore more predictions
This match
About the Carlisle vs Tamworth forecast
This is a FA Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About FA Cup
More FA Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FA Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Carlisle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Carlisle and Tamworth have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.