Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC Prediction

Cavalry FC
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
ATCO Field, Foothills County 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Cavalry FC Rest
8 days
Vancouver FC Rest
8 days

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC: the result in context

Cavalry FC beat Vancouver FC 1-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.62
X
22%3.92
2
20%4.42
Double Chance
1X
80%1.15
X2
42%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.24
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.59 + 1.2 = 3.79
Over 1.5
83%1.15
Over 2.5
66%1.56
Over 3.5
46%2.38
Under 1.5
17%4.60
Under 2.5
34%2.26
Under 3.5
54%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Ali MusseAssist: Caniggia Elva
64'Adam Pearlman INNathaniel Edwards out
65'Luis Toomey INDamiano Pecile out
65'Aboubacar Traore INMarcello Polisi out
68'Penalty cancelledGoteh Ntignee
72'Goteh Ntignee INLevi Laing out
74'Penalty cancelledMohamed Amissi
79'Emrick Fotsing INNicolás Mezquida out
80'Tobias Warschewski INMaël Henry out
90+8'Marcello PolisiSerious foul
90+10'Red card confirmedMarcello Polisi

Lineups

Cavalry FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tommy Wheeldon Jr.
Vancouver FC
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Nash
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.46
N. Ingham7.029N. Ingham
A. Pearlman7.116A. Pearlman
D. Klomp7.14D. Klomp
A. Didic7.955A. Didic
B. Kamdem7.25B. Kamdem
E. Kobza6.924E. Kobza
M. Baldisimo7.06M. Baldisimo
A. Musse8.07A. Musse
T. Warschewski6.59T. Warschewski
G. Ntignee7.320G. Ntignee
C. Elva7.514C. Elva
C. Irving6.81C. Irving
M. Doner6.63M. Doner
M. Campagna6.85M. Campagna
Thomas Geoffrey Field7.330T. Geoffrey Field
K. Proctor7.123K. Proctor
I. Ssewankambo6.54I. Ssewankambo
L. Toomey6.28L. Toomey
A. Traore6.411A. Traore
Emrick Fotsing6.317E. Fotsing
M. Amissi6.410M. Amissi
T. Campbell6.014T. Campbell

Cavalry FC Substitutes

28N. Myroniuk
19Robert Owen Antoniuk
17N. Edwards64'for Adam Pearlman6.7
35Owen Graham-Roache
18M. Henry80'for Tobias Warschewski6.8
21J. Holliday
15L. Laing72'for Goteh Ntignee7.2

Vancouver FC Substitutes

33Henrik Regitnig
26Carson Rassak
21M. Polisi65'for Aboubacar Traore90+8'5.4
6D. Pecile65'for Luis Toomey6.3
20N. Mezquida79'for Emrick Fotsing6.2
16Benjamin Lee
2P. Gee

Match Stats

Cavalry FCVancouver FC
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks3
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
10Fouls14
1Goalkeeper Saves2
400Total Passes419
329Passes Accurate346
14Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Cavalry FCCavalry FC
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
1624Elo Rating 1469
2.91Attack 1.83
0.92Defense 1.44
41%Hit Rate 27%
16.2Shots per Game 11.0
5.0Shots on Target 4.3
4.7Corners per Game 4.5
3.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.79 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cavalry FCCavalry FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Cavalry FCCavalry FC3Wins · 30%
Draws660%
Vancouver FCVancouver FC1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League29/08/2026
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League25/07/2026
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
10
Canadian Premier League18/05/2026
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
02
Canadian Premier League18/10/2025
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
22
Canadian Premier League18/08/2025
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
54
Canadian Premier League14/07/2025
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
00
Canadian Championship09/07/2025
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
4151
Canadian Championship22/05/2025
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
11
Canadian Premier League19/04/2025
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
11
Canadian Premier League29/09/2024
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
00

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Cavalry FC are 1st and Vancouver FC 5th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Cavalry FC 58-23, Vancouver FC 39-37. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cavalry FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.