Supra du Quebec vs York United Prediction

17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Supra du Quebec Rest
6 days
York United Rest
4 days

Supra du Quebec vs York United: the result in context

Supra du Quebec beat York United 3-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Supra du Quebec had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for York United.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.61
X
24%3.90
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
44%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.40
No
36%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 1.26 = 3.23
Over 1.5
85%1.07
Over 2.5
67%1.35
Over 3.5
47%1.91
Under 1.5
15%6.00
Under 2.5
33%2.75
Under 3.5
53%1.79
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Tomasz SkublakFoul
44'Max Ferrari
44'Card upgrade confirmedMax Ferrari
45+1'Sean ReaFoul
53'Kembo·KibatoOG
54'David Peraza INShola Jimoh out
62'Sean ReaAssist: Alessandro Simone Biello
67'David Choiniere INOmar El Kalkouli out
67'Aboubacar Sissoko INS. Mlah out
67'Beni Badibanga INKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke out
79'Ibrahim Conde INNoah Lauren Trudel dos Santos out
87'Noah Lauren Trudel dos SantosAssist: Loic Adrien Kwemi

Lineups

Supra du Quebec
4-2-3-1
York United
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Eustáquio
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating5.79
J. Milli6.732J. Milli
Z. Brault-Guillard7.315Z. Brault-Guillard
C. Auguste7.32C. Auguste
M. Chretien7.24M. Chretien
D. Abzi7.211D. Abzi
A. Sissoko6.433A. Sissoko
Alessandro Biello7.76A. Biello
D. Choinière6.37D. Choinière
S. Rea7.510S. Rea
L. Kwemi7.79L. Kwemi
I. Conde6.499I. Conde
I. Pavela5.712I. Pavela
R. López5.86R. López
L. Singh6.23L. Singh
O. León5.74O. León
M. Ferrari5.116M. Ferrari
L. Accettola6.013L. Accettola
S. Yeates6.07S. Yeates
David Peraza6.238D. Peraza
B. Badibanga5.039B. Badibanga
K. Kibato4.521K. Kibato
7777T. Skublak

Supra du Quebec Substitutes

8O. El Kalkouli67'for David Choiniere6.6
80M. Diop
3T. Lebeuf
19J. Mcinerney
24S. Mlah67'for Aboubacar Sissoko6.4
23Z. Fernandez
92N. Santos79'for Ibrahim Conde87'7.4

York United Substitutes

19Shola Jimoh54'for David Peraza6.6
9S. Gonzales
28J. N. Costa
36K. Clarke67'for Beni Badibanga5.9
17Campos Ralston Kai Antonio
37N. Andrada

Match Stats

Supra du QuebecYork United
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls11
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
523Total Passes320
447Passes Accurate233
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
York UnitedYork United
1510Elo Rating 1399
2.48Attack 1.11
1.50Defense 0.00
63%Hit Rate 17%
17.0Shots per Game 11.5
5.8Shots on Target 3.2
5.5Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
York UnitedYork United0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League07/10/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
12
Canadian Premier League23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
Canadian Premier League30/05/2026
Supra du QuebecYork United
31

Recent Form

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
4W2D4L
10/10/2026
Supra du QuebecVancouver FC
22
D
07/10/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
12
W
04/10/2026
Supra du QuebecPacific FC
50
W
26/09/2026
Cavalry FCSupra du Quebec
60
L
20/09/2026
Atlético OttawaSupra du Quebec
02
W
16/09/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10
L
12/09/2026
Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC
02
L
07/09/2026
Vancouver FCSupra du Quebec
32
L
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
W

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Supra du Quebec vs York United forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Supra du Quebec and York United in the Canadian Premier League table

Supra du Quebec and York United are close in the Canadian Premier League table, 4th and 6th, with 8 points between them. League goal record so far: Supra du Quebec 47-50, York United 42-65. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Supra du Quebec have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.