York United vs Cavalry FC Prediction

York United
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Cavalry FC
York Lions Stadium, Toronto 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
York United Rest
5 days
Cavalry FC Rest
2 days

York United vs Cavalry FC: the result in context

York United beat Cavalry FC 3-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Cavalry FC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for York United.

Cavalry FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%4.60
X
23%4.11
2
56%1.59
Double Chance
1X
44%2.20
X2
79%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 2.48 = 3.61
Over 1.5
84%1.13
Over 2.5
66%1.46
Over 3.5
46%2.20
Under 1.5
16%5.08
Under 2.5
34%2.50
Under 3.5
54%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Sebastian GonzalesAssist: Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán
12'Steffen YeatesAssist: Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán
33'Raúl LópezArgument
35'Penalty cancelledE. Kobza
41'Card upgrade cancelledAli Musse
45'James McGlinchey INHarrison Paton out
50'Steffen YeatesFoul
65'Nathaniel Edwards INMaël Henry out
65'Owen Graham-Roache INRobert Owen Antoniuk out
65'B. Kamdem INCurtis Ofori out
69'Steffen YeatesAssist: Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán
71'Harrison PatonPersistent infringement
73'Luke SinghFoul
74'Daan Klomp INHassan Ayari out
77'Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán
78'E. KobzaFoul
79'Card upgrade cancelledE. Kobza
83'Amer DidicAssist: Ali Musse
86'Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán INLuca accettola out
90+2'Ali MusseFoul
90+3'Sebastian Gonzales INEduardo Ramos out
90+7'Steffen Yeates INKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke out

Lineups

York United
3-4-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Cavalry FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tommy Wheeldon Jr.
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.29
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio7.317C. Ralston Kai Antonio
R. López6.36R. López
F. Sturing6.85F. Sturing
L. Singh6.43L. Singh
M. Ferrari6.316M. Ferrari
J. Córdova6.523J. Córdova
O. Bassett6.710O. Bassett
C. Guzmán6.48C. Guzmán
S. Yeates8.97S. Yeates
S. Gonzales8.29S. Gonzales
J. Almagro8.811J. Almagro
N. Ingham5.829N. Ingham
J. McGlinchey6.330J. McGlinchey
D. Klomp5.64D. Klomp
A. Didic7.455A. Didic
B. Kamdem6.75B. Kamdem
N. Myroniuk6.128N. Myroniuk
E. Kobza6.424E. Kobza
A. Musse7.77A. Musse
T. Warschewski5.49T. Warschewski
N. Edwards6.217N. Edwards
Owen Graham-Roache6.535O. Graham-Roache

York United Substitutes

35C. Onyeocha
21K. Kibato
28J. N. Costa
36K. Clarke90+7'for Steffen Yeates
13L. Accettola86'for Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán6.3
12I. Pavela
45Eduardo Ramos90+3'replaced by Sebastian Gonzales

Cavalry FC Substitutes

19Robert Owen Antoniuk65'for Owen Graham-Roache6.3
11Hassan Ayari74'for Daan Klomp6.5
18M. Henry65'for Nathaniel Edwards6.0
21J. Holliday
3C. Ofori65'for B. Kamdem5.9
6M. Baldisimo
8H. Paton45'for James McGlinchey71'6.0

Match Stats

York UnitedCavalry FC
45%Ball Possession55%
0Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
17Fouls17
4Goalkeeper Saves3
405Total Passes480
343Passes Accurate417
17Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

York UnitedYork United
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
1399Elo Rating 1624
1.11Attack 2.91
0.00Defense 0.92
17%Hit Rate 41%
11.5Shots per Game 16.2
3.2Shots on Target 5.0
4.5Corners per Game 4.7
2.8Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.61 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

York UnitedYork United2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Cavalry FCCavalry FC7Wins · 70%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League02/08/2026
Cavalry FCYork United
50
Canadian Premier League11/06/2026
York UnitedCavalry FC
15
Canadian Premier League25/04/2026
Cavalry FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League26/10/2025
Cavalry FCYork United
41
Canadian Premier League06/09/2025
York UnitedCavalry FC
31
Canadian Premier League26/07/2025
Cavalry FCYork United
01
Canadian Premier League09/06/2025
Cavalry FCYork United
21
Canadian Premier League03/05/2025
York UnitedCavalry FC
12
Canadian Premier League21/09/2024
York UnitedCavalry FC
02
Canadian Premier League17/08/2024
York UnitedCavalry FC
12

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC27176457:23+3457WDLLW
2ForgeForge27176448:21+2757WWWDD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa271341041:43-243LWWWL
4Vancouver FCVancouver FC271071039:36+337WDDDD
5Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec271051243:47-435WDWWL
6HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC27771341:46-528LDDLW
7York UnitedYork United27691240:64-2427LLLWL
8Pacific FCPacific FC27281732:61-2914LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2757:2357
2ForgeForge2748:2157
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2741:4343
4Vancouver FCVancouver FC2739:3637
5Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2743:4735
6HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2741:4628
7York UnitedYork United2740:6427
8Pacific FCPacific FC2732:6114

About the York United vs Cavalry FC forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York United and Cavalry FC in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Cavalry FC are 1st and York United 7th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: York United 40-64, Cavalry FC 57-23. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cavalry FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.