Atlético Ottawa vs Forge Prediction

Atlético Ottawa
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Forge
TD Place Stadium, Ottawa 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.14
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Atlético Ottawa Rest
5 days
Forge Rest
5 days

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge: the result in context

Forge beat Atlético Ottawa 2-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%4.80
X
23%3.80
2
59%1.53
Double Chance
1X
41%2.32
X2
82%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.54 = 2.92
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.53
Over 3.5
38%2.29
Under 1.5
20%4.70
Under 2.5
40%2.30
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Levonte JohnsonFoul
19'Diego GutiérrezFoul
33'Anthony Aromatario
40'Emiliano·GarcíaFoul
54'Levonte JohnsonAssist: Lucas Cavallini
55'Antoine BatisseFoul
59'Card upgrade cancelledDiego Gutiérrez
61'Diego Gutiérrez
64'Kamron Habibullah ING. Antinoro out
65'Tim Arnaud INJean-Aniel Assi out
74'M. Bourgeois INHoce Massunda out
74'Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau INReinaldo Abraham out
74'Levonte Johnson INBen Paton out
74'Lucas Cavallini INIsmael Oketokoun Hassane out
74'Emiliano·García INRalph Khoury out
77'Noah Jensen INTristan Borges out
77'Anthony Aromatario INaghilas sadek out
87'Ballou Tabla INJuan Castro out
90+4'Penalty cancelledG. Antinoro
90+7'G. Antinoro(Penalty)

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
4-4-2Coach: Gustavo Leal
Forge
4-2-3-1Coach: Bobby Smyrniotis
Avg rating6.39
Avg rating6.78
T. Crampton7.21T. Crampton
T. Arnaud6.737T. Arnaud
J. Dunn-Johnson6.43J. Dunn-Johnson
Sergei Kozlovskiy6.684S. Kozlovskiy
Joaquim Coulanges5.920J. Coulanges
E. García6.07E. García
D. Gutiérrez5.86D. Gutiérrez
M. Aparicio6.610M. Aparicio
K. Habibullah6.630K. Habibullah
B. Tabla6.513B. Tabla
N. Fleuriau Chateau6.421N. Fleuriau Chateau
Dino Bontis6.536D. Bontis
R. Rama7.324R. Rama
D. Nimick7.15D. Nimick
5555M. James
D. Krutzen6.74D. Krutzen
A. Batisse6.68A. Batisse
A. Aromatario7.923A. Aromatario
M. Bourgeois6.287M. Bourgeois
N. Jensen6.522N. Jensen
L. Johnson7.214L. Johnson
L. Cavallini6.990L. Cavallini

Atlético Ottawa Substitutes

4T. Walker
19R. Khoury74'for Emiliano·García6.1
11G. Antinoro64'for Kamron Habibullah90+7'7.0
31C. Kalongo
2J. Castro87'for Ballou Tabla6.0
14J. Assi65'for Tim Arnaud6.3
77R. Abraham74'for Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau6.3

Forge Substitutes

19T. Borges77'for Noah Jensen6.9
33Cuba Grant
26A. Sadek77'for Anthony Aromatario6.7
6B. Paton74'for Levonte Johnson6.3
7I. Oketokoun74'for Lucas Cavallini6.4
17H. Massunda74'for M. Bourgeois7.0
3M. Jevremović

Match Stats

Atlético OttawaForge
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots19
1Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots4
12Fouls12
5Goalkeeper Saves0
467Total Passes432
390Passes Accurate363
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
ForgeForge
1519Elo Rating 1638
1.48Attack 2.62
1.79Defense 2.08
59%Hit Rate 59%
8.0Shots per Game 18.8
3.2Shots on Target 6.7
5.7Corners per Game 6.8
2.3Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
ForgeForge
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
ForgeForge4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
Canadian Premier League24/05/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
21
Canadian Premier League04/04/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
20
Canadian Premier League26/10/2025
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
12
Canadian Premier League21/09/2025
Atlético OttawaForge
11
Canadian Premier League17/08/2025
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
20
Canadian Premier League12/07/2025
Atlético OttawaForge
11
Canadian Premier League13/05/2025
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
22
Canadian Premier League02/11/2024
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
10
Canadian Premier League12/10/2024
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
02

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Atlético Ottawa vs Forge forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlético Ottawa and Forge in the Canadian Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Forge are 2nd in the Canadian Premier League, 15 points ahead of Atlético Ottawa in 3rd. League goal record so far: Atlético Ottawa 42-45, Forge 49-22. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Forge have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.