Ceara vs Avai Prediction

Ceara
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Avai
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza·Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil 11/06/2026
CearaCeara
2-1
Finished
AvaiAvai

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Ceara Rest
10 days
Avai Rest
3 days

Ceara vs Avai: result, form and history

Ceara beat Avai 2-1 in the Serie B on 11 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Avai had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ceara.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.2 goals a game across 6 matches. Referee Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro averages 3.80 cards a game, 1.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.85
X
25%3.42
2
17%4.33
Double Chance
1X
82%1.19
X2
42%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.85
No
52%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.86 = 2.36
Over 1.5
72%1.32
Over 2.5
49%2.02
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.15
Under 2.5
51%1.75
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.5 = 10.2
Over 8.5
66%1.44
Over 9.5
56%1.75
Over 10.5
47%2.17
Under 8.5
34%2.56
Under 9.5
44%1.98
Under 10.5
53%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3 = 5.5
Over 3.5
81%1.34
Over 4.5
64%1.70
Under 3.5
19%2.82
Under 4.5
36%2.02

Match Events

5'EderFoul
19'Julio CesarAssist: Melk
26'Luiz OtavioUnsportsmanlike conduct
38'Walace FrancaFoul
45+1'MelkAssist: R. Ramos
48'Matheus AraujoFoul
57'Thayllon INSorriso out
57'Wallison INWesley Gasolina out
60'SorrisoAssist: Jean Lucas
62'Wendel Silva INGabriel Amaral out
67'DGFoul
70'Fernando INSanchez out
70'Diego INRichardson out
70'Matheus Araujo INGustavo Prado out
78'DG INWenderson out
78'Walace Franca INLeo Gamalho out
78'R. Ramos INEnzo Lodovico out
82'Guilherme Aquino INGabriel Simples out
88'Melk INMatheusinho out
90'Paulo VitorFoul
90+3'Paulo Vitor INRomildo Del Piage out

Lineups

Ceara
3-4-3
Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Almeida Cauan de
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.53
RichardC6.01Richard
Júlio César7.918J. César
Luiz Otávio6.24L. Otávio
Éder6.533Éder
Rafael Ramos7.02R. Ramos
Dieguinho6.920Dieguinho
João Gabriel6.681J. Gabriel
Fernando6.917Fernando
Melk7.940Melk
Wendel6.69Wendel
Matheus Araújo6.68M. Araújo
Léo Aragão6.241L. Aragão
Wallison6.32Wallison
Guilherme Aquino6.915G. Aquino
Joao Victor6.650J. Victor
Douglas TeixeiraC6.236D. Teixeira
Paulo Vitor6.225P. Vitor
Luiz Henrique6.98L. Henrique
Thayllon Roberth6.243T. Roberth
Daniel Penha6.614D. Penha
Jean Lucas6.610J. Lucas
Walace dos Santos França6.557W. dos Santos França

Ceara Substitutes

83Gabriel Amaral62'for Wendel Silva6.6
12Sánchez70'for Fernando6.7
26Richardson70'for Diego6.9
30Gustavo Prado70'for Matheus Araujo6.9
41Gustavo Dias Martins
60Enzo Valentim Lodovico78'replaced by R. Ramos6.2
13Luiz Otávio26'
63Pedro Gilmar
80Pedro Esli da Silva
98Matheusinho88'for Melk6.3
10Juan Alano
35Giulio

Avai Substitutes

52Wesley Gasolina57'for Wallison6.3
11Sorriso57'for Thayllon60'7.6
21Otávio
4Gabriel Pereira Simples82'for Guilherme Aquino6.3
66Mateus Quaresma
5Romildo Del Piage90+3'for Paulo Vitor
18Hyan
95Wenderson78'for DG6.3
9Léo Gamalho78'for Walace Franca6.7

Match Stats

CearaAvai
42%Ball Possession58%
8Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls11
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
289Total Passes408
215Passes Accurate347
74%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

CearaCeara
AvaiAvai
1579Elo Rating 1522
0.80Attack 0.45
1.45Defense 2.13
14%Hit Rate 31%
14.7Shots per Game 18.1
4.0Shots on Target 5.7
4.0Corners per Game 8.2
2.5Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

CearaCeara3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
AvaiAvai2Wins · 33%
1.2Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 6
0%3+ goals0 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B03/11/2024
CearaAvai
20
Serie B21/07/2024
AvaiCeara
01
Serie B22/10/2023
AvaiCeara
10
Serie B29/06/2023
CearaAvai
00
Serie A08/11/2022
AvaiCeara
20
Serie A20/07/2022
CearaAvai
10

Recent Form

CearaCeara
2W2D6L
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
L
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
L
17/05/2026
CearaFortaleza EC
21
W
14/05/2026
CearaAtletico-MG
2241
L
10/05/2026
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
L
03/05/2026
Sport RecifeCeara
20
L
26/04/2026
CearaVila Nova
33
D
24/04/2026
Atletico-MGCeara
21
L
19/04/2026
LondrinaCeara
00
D
12/04/2026
CearaNautico Recife
10
W
AvaiAvai
3W3D4L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
W
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
L
28/05/2026
AvaiVolta Redonda
30
W
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
L
21/05/2026
Volta RedondaAvai
22
D
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
L
10/05/2026
AvaiFortaleza EC
00
D
04/05/2026
AvaiNovorizontino
33
D
27/04/2026
Atletico GoianienseAvai
21
L

Referee Profile

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro101 matches

3.80Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro3.80
Other referees5.37

3.80 cards a match, 1.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.37).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Ceara vs Avai forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ceara and Avai in the Serie B table

Ceara and Avai are close in the Serie B table, 16th and 17th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Ceara 38-47, Avai 35-47. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.