Goias vs Novorizontino Prediction

Goias
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Novorizontino
Estádio da Serrinha, Goiânia·Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil 11/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalHIGHModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel30%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Goias Rest
11 days
Novorizontino Rest
10 days

Goias vs Novorizontino: the result in context

Novorizontino beat Goias 4-0 in the Serie B on 11 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Goias had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Novorizontino.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Referee Braulio Da Silva Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.46
X
29%2.85
2
24%3.20
Double Chance
1X
76%1.33
X2
53%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.08
No
52%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.89 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.50
Over 2.5
41%2.57
Over 3.5
20%4.90
Under 1.5
30%2.45
Under 2.5
59%1.48
Under 3.5
80%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.38
Over 9.5
56%1.69
Over 10.5
47%2.07
Under 8.5
34%2.69
Under 9.5
44%2.03
Under 10.5
53%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3.1 = 6.3
Over 3.5
90%-
Over 4.5
80%1.45
Under 3.5
10%-
Under 4.5
20%2.50

Match Events

28'Carlinhos INGabriel Bahia out
32'RobsonAssist: Romulo
45+4'NicolasFoul
55'Bruno Savio INJean Carlos out
55'Juninho INBrayann out
56'RobsonAssist: N. Castrillon
67'Lucas RibeiroUnsportsmanlike conduct
67'RobsonUnsportsmanlike conduct
68'LuisaoFoul
70'Romulo(Penalty)
76'Vinicius PaivaAssist: Romulo
78'Matheus Bianqui INLuis Oyama out
78'Vinicius Paiva INHelio Borges out
78'Diego Caito INRodrigo Soares out
78'Nicolas INDjalma Silva out
78'Diego Galo INJuninho out
84'Robson INCarlao out
86'Filipe Machado INBaldoria out

Lineups

Goias
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulista Daniel
Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Moreira Enderson
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating7.19
Thiago Rodrigues6.31T. Rodrigues
Diego Caito5.320D. Caito
Luis Fellipe5.325L. Fellipe
Lucas Ribeiro6.614L. Ribeiro
Nicolas5.66Nicolas
JuninhoC7.08Juninho
Filipe Machado6.95F. Machado
Bruno Sávio6.911B. Sávio
Lucas Lima7.910L. Lima
Esli García7.215E. García
Anselmo Ramon6.39A. Ramon
Jordi8.693Jordi
Nilson Castrillón8.620N. Castrillón
Carlinhos6.63Carlinhos
Patrick6.34Patrick
Maykon Jesus6.366M. Jesus
Matheus Bianqui6.717M. Bianqui
Leo Naldi6.918L. Naldi
Vinicius Paiva7.616V. Paiva
Rômulo8.510Rômulo
Diego Galo6.919D. Galo
RobsonC8.311Robson

Goias Substitutes

21Jean Carlos55'replaced by Bruno Savio6.2
88Brayann55'for Juninho6.2
32Murillo Carvalho Victorio
3Luiz Felipe
2Rodrigo Soares78'for Diego Caito6.3
4Ramon Menezes
17Pedrinho
55Guilherme Baldória86'for Filipe Machado
16Hygor
54Djalma78'for Nicolas6.3
19Assis
40Kadu

Novorizontino Substitutes

26Gabriel Bahia28'for Carlinhos6.9
31César
22Alexis Alvarino
50Juninho78'for Diego Galo6.6
77Hélio Borges78'for Vinicius Paiva6.3
6Luís Oyama78'for Matheus Bianqui6.7
41Reidiney
9Carlão84'for Robson
7Ronald Barcellos
8Christian Ortíz
30Nicolas Careca

Match Stats

GoiasNovorizontino
71%Ball Possession29%
9Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal6
15Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
6Fouls11
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
488Total Passes206
426Passes Accurate144
87%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

GoiasGoias
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
1653Elo Rating 1745
1.61Attack 2.27
2.59Defense 2.18
81%Hit Rate 81%
16.8Shots per Game 16.8
5.6Shots on Target 5.9
6.3Corners per Game 5.5
2.1Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GoiasGoias
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

GoiasGoias2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
NovorizontinoNovorizontino2Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B16/11/2025
GoiasNovorizontino
10
Serie B24/07/2025
NovorizontinoGoias
10
Serie B24/11/2024
GoiasNovorizontino
10
Serie B04/08/2024
NovorizontinoGoias
21

Recent Form

GoiasGoias
3W2D5L
30/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseGoias
11
D
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
W
16/05/2026
GoiasBotafogo SP
10
W
13/05/2026
CruzeiroGoias
10
L
09/05/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
W
03/05/2026
Fortaleza ECGoias
41
L
26/04/2026
São BernardoGoias
10
L
23/04/2026
GoiasCruzeiro
22
D
19/04/2026
GoiasCuiaba
02
L
11/04/2026
JuventudeGoias
20
L
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
4W4D2L
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
W
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
W
04/05/2026
AvaiNovorizontino
33
D
26/04/2026
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
10
L
20/04/2026
NovorizontinoAthletic Club
21
W
12/04/2026
America MineiroNovorizontino
03
W

Referee Profile

Braulio Da Silva Machado211 matches

6.06Cards per match
5.77Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Braulio Da Silva Machado6.06
Other referees5.14

6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Goias vs Novorizontino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Goias and Novorizontino in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Goias 7th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Goias 39-41, Novorizontino 66-32. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.