Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Prediction

American Legion Memorial Stadium·E. Osmanovic 09/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Charlotte Independence Rest
7 days
Forward Madison Rest
9 days

Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison: the result in context

Charlotte Independence beat Forward Madison 2-1 in the USL League One on 9 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charlotte Independence had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Forward Madison.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.20
X
26%3.53
2
30%2.70
Double Chance
1X
70%1.37
X2
56%1.53
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'J. Bakero
11'H. KaramokoAssist: R. Carmichael
40'S. CoulibalyAssist: J. Bakero
46'K. Carmichael INT. Humphrey out
69'M. Segbers INJ. Castro out
69'J. Bolma INC. Ngoubou out
69'G. Kanyane INA. Edwards out
70'R. ManinFoul
73'P. Saydee INStefano Pinho out
78'E. Munjoma INS. Gyamfi out
80'S. GyamfiFoul
85'S. Marou INJ. Amaya out
85'J. Romero INK. Riascos out
90+1'J. Fuchs INM. Lyons out
90+4'C. DimickFoul
90+8'S. Coulibaly INC. Manzinga out

Team Comparison

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
Forward MadisonForward Madison
1592Elo Rating 1563
3.08Attack 1.26
1.53Defense 2.23
77%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Forward MadisonForward Madison
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
Forward MadisonForward Madison2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One23/08/2026
Forward MadisonCharlotte Independence
11
USL League One24/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
31
USL League One17/07/2025
Forward MadisonCharlotte Independence
11
USL League One12/04/2025
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
11
USL League One03/11/2024
Forward MadisonCharlotte Independence
20
USL League One05/10/2024
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
24
USL League One15/08/2024
Forward MadisonCharlotte Independence
00
USL League One23/09/2023
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
20
USL League One30/04/2023
Forward MadisonCharlotte Independence
00
USL League One06/08/2022
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
00

Recent Form

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
6W2D2L
Forward MadisonForward Madison
4W3D3L
31/10/2026
Forward MadisonSpokane Velocity
21
W
25/10/2026
Forward MadisonUnion Omaha
00
D
18/10/2026
Forward MadisonPortland Hearts of Pine
20
W
11/10/2026
Westchester SCForward Madison
32
L
04/10/2026
Fort WayneForward Madison
00
D
27/09/2026
Forward MadisonSpokane Velocity
01
L
20/09/2026
Forward MadisonAlta
30
W
17/09/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesForward Madison
10
L
13/09/2026
Forward MadisonSarasota Paradise
11
D
06/09/2026
Corpus ChristiForward Madison
02
W

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Boise01
Chattanooga Red Wolves00
After extra time

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison forecast

As a knockout tie in the USL League One, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlotte Independence and Forward Madison in the USL League One table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Charlotte Independence are 1st in the USL League One, 10 points ahead of Forward Madison in 4th. League goal record so far: Charlotte Independence 74-46, Forward Madison 54-30. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte Independence have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.