Charlotte Independence vs Naples Prediction

American Legion Memorial Stadium·C. Rodriguez 02/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-9.8%
Charlotte Independence Rest
8 days
Naples Rest
8 days

Charlotte Independence vs Naples: the result in context

Charlotte Independence beat Naples 5-1 in the USL League One on 2 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Naples had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Charlotte Independence.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.62
X
22%4.10
2
26%4.12
Double Chance
1X
74%1.17
X2
48%2.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'J. FuchsFoul
10'H. UderitzOG
20'J. BakeroFoul
45+1'P. SaydeeAssist: C. Jaime
45+4'J. OsorioFoul
46'J. Osorio INA. Ferrin out
59'C. Jaime
61'T. Collins INC. Garcia out
67'G. Miglietti INN. Likulia out
67'K. O'Connor INA. Mesias out
71'S. Marou(Penalty missed)
73'J. Fuchs INJ. Amaya out
73'P. Saydee INStefano Pinho out
73'S. CoulibalyUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'S. Marou INM. Guffroy out
79'Stefano PinhoAssist: C. Jaime
84'Stefano PinhoAssist: J. Skinner
86'S. Coulibaly INM. Lyons out
88'L. MastrantonioAssist: O. Ciss
88'J. Bakero INT. Nare out

Team Comparison

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
NaplesNaples
1592Elo Rating 1490
3.08Attack 1.53
1.53Defense 1.26
77%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+101 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NaplesNaples
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
NaplesNaples2Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

USL League One14/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
43
USL League One04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
USL League One26/10/2025
NaplesCharlotte Independence
20
USL League One13/09/2025
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
01

Recent Form

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
6W2D2L
24/10/2026
Portland Hearts of PineCharlotte Independence
41
L
18/10/2026
Greenville TriumphCharlotte Independence
03
W
11/10/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNY Cosmos
30
W
04/10/2026
Sarasota ParadiseCharlotte Independence
23
W
26/09/2026
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
11
D
20/09/2026
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
12
W
17/09/2026
BoiseCharlotte Independence
11
D
13/09/2026
Charlotte IndependenceWestchester SC
54
W
06/09/2026
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
20
L
03/09/2026
Charlotte IndependencePortland Hearts of Pine
32
W
NaplesNaples
6W2D2L
25/10/2026
NaplesSpokane Velocity
10
W
22/10/2026
Sarasota ParadiseNaples
23
W
11/10/2026
Corpus ChristiNaples
01
W
08/10/2026
NaplesRichmond Kickers
20
W
04/10/2026
NaplesNY Cosmos
21
W
27/09/2026
NaplesChattanooga Red Wolves
10
W
20/09/2026
Fort WayneNaples
22
D
12/09/2026
One KnoxvilleNaples
00
D
06/09/2026
NaplesBoise
01
L
30/08/2026
Greenville TriumphNaples
40
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Charlotte Independence vs Naples forecast

As a knockout tie in the USL League One, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlotte Independence and Naples in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence are 1st and Naples 8th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte Independence 74-46, Naples 39-46. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte Independence have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.