Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 4
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 07/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+11.5%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
7 days
Cusco Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.53
X27%3.22
233%2.65
Double Chance
1X67%1.42
X260%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.73
No39%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.35 = 2.69
Over 1.581%1.29
Over 2.558%1.95
Over 3.535%3.40
Under 1.519%3.27
Under 2.542%1.80
Under 3.565%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.559%1.79
Over 9.546%2.22
Over 10.532%2.93
Under 8.541%1.92
Under 9.554%1.55
Under 10.568%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.4 = 5.2
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
26'F. CallejoAssist: L. Colitto
33'F. AlcedoFoul
49'L. Colitto INN. Silva out
61'M. P. Carpio Ferro INW. Ayovi out
68'A. FuentesFoul
72'Miguel Silveira INHerrera Joel out
72'J. Herrera INT. Salinas out
72'A. Rodriguez INJ. Olivares out
73'F. AlcedoAssist: W. Ayovi
76'J. RodriguezFoul
78'F. Callejo INJ. Tevez out
78'C. Diez IND. Soto out
84'I. ColmanFoul
86'M. SenAssist: R. Vilca
89'J. RodriguezFoul
89'J. RodriguezFoul
90'R. Vilca INP. Guzman out
90'M. Sen INE. M. Perez Azambuya out
90+5'N. Silva INC. Gamarra out
90+8'A. CossioAssist: J. Olivares
Lineups
Comerciantes UnidosCusco
4-1-4-1Coach: Alejandro Orfila
17M. CórdovaMatías Córdova
16F. RojasFabio Rojas
40F. AlcedoFlavio Alcedo
6J. RodríguezJuan Rodríguez
15A. CossioAlexis Cossio
4A. AriasAlexis Arias
18A. RodriguezAgustín Rodriguez
11J. HerreraJosuee Herrera
25R. VilcaRodrigo Vilca
10M. CarpioMathías Carpio
9M. SenMatías Sen
28P. DiazPedro Diaz
21J. ZevallosJosé Zevallos
8A. FuentesAldair Fuentes
6A. AmpueroAlvaro Ampuero
3R. LagosRicardo Lagos
55J. Carlos MontañoJean Carlos Montaño
22L. ColittoLucas Colitto
14C. DiezCarlo Diez
10I. ColmanIván Colman
99M. SilveiraMiguel Silveira
9F. CallejoFacundo CallejoComerciantes Unidos Substitutes
99José CharúnG
30Piero GuzmánD
19Daniel LinoD
20José ParodiM
28Óscar PintoM
14Thiago SalinasM
8Wilter AyovíF
50Jean Carlo OlivaresF
13Maximiliano PérezF
Cusco Substitutes
26Nicolás SilvaF
13Andy VidalG
15Jose BolivarD
2Carlos GamarraD
7José Miguel ManzanedaF
16Oswaldo ValenzuelaM
88Diego SotoM
11Juan TévezF
77Joel HerreraM
Match Stats
Comerciantes UnidosCusco 42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
326Total Passes455
257Passes Accurate374
79%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Comerciantes UnidosCusco1524Elo Rating 1601
1.34Attack 1.30
1.38Defense 1.87
17%Hit Rate 56%
11.6Shots per Game 17.0
4.4Shots on Target 5.7
2.7Corners per Game 7.5
2.2Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cusco- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Comerciantes Unidos 0%Draw 23%77% Cusco
2.76Avg Goals
86%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Comerciantes Unidos0W3D2L
31/07/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos32
L26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D18/07/2026UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D27/06/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College00
D11/06/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos20
LCusco2W0D3L
02/08/2026Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UniversitarioCuscoCusco
Alianza Atletico
CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
W25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
L19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
W29/06/2026Cusco
Cienciano
CuscoCienciano12
L22/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCusco
Deportivo BinacionalCusco43
LLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 |  Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Cusco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Comerciantes Unidos and Cusco have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.76 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.