Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 3
Cusco
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
UTC Cajamarca
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco·D. Ureta 02/08/2026
CuscoCusco
4-1
Finished
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.51
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.49
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Cusco Rest
7 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
6 days

Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca: result, form and history

Cusco beat UTC Cajamarca 4-1 in the Primera División on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.51
X
21%4.10
2
16%5.72
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
37%2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.77
No
47%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 0.89 = 2.77
Over 1.5
81%1.22
Over 2.5
62%1.71
Over 3.5
35%2.75
Under 1.5
19%3.95
Under 2.5
38%2.04
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.60
Over 9.5
47%1.99
Over 10.5
32%2.52
Under 8.5
40%2.16
Under 9.5
53%1.73
Under 10.5
68%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
51%1.71
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
49%2.00

Match Events

23'D. SotoFoul
28'B. DuarteFoul
32'I. Colman(Penalty)
33'A. MunozUnsportsmanlike conduct
60'D. Dioses INL. Arce out
61'F. CallejoAssist: J. Zevallos
62'D. Soto INC. Diez out
62'Miguel Silveira INJ. Manzaneda out
64'A. FigueraFoul
67'F. CallejoAssist: C. Montano
70'L. ColittoAssist: J. Manzaneda
71'A. MunozAssist: D. Camacho
71'G. Paredes INJ. Nunez out
79'C. Montano INO. Valenzuela out
79'L. Colitto INN. Silva out
83'B. DuarteDelay of game
83'B. DuarteDelay of game
90'F. Callejo(Penalty missed)
90'I. Colman INHerrera Joel out
90+1'M. Lliuya INM. de Jesus out
90+1'A. Munoz INF. Cavagna out

Lineups

Cusco
4-1-4-1Coach: Alejandro Orfila
UTC Cajamarca
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Albornoz
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.28
Pedro Diaz6.628P. Diaz
José Zevallos7.021J. Zevallos
Aldair Fuentes7.28A. Fuentes
Alvaro Ampuero6.66A. Ampuero
Ricardo Lagos6.33R. Lagos
Jean Carlos Montaño7.255J. Carlos Montaño
Lucas Colitto8.022L. Colitto
Diego Soto6.288D. Soto
Iván ColmanC7.010I. Colman
Miguel Silveira6.999M. Silveira
Facundo Callejo8.39F. Callejo
Ignacio BarriosC6.029I. Barrios
Luis Garro5.617L. Garro
Manuel Ganoza5.93M. Ganoza
Bruno Duarte4.92B. Duarte
Dylan Caro5.913D. Caro
Arquímedes Figuera6.316A. Figuera
David Dioses6.78D. Dioses
David Camacho6.722D. Camacho
Gilmar Paredes6.335G. Paredes
Adolfo Muñoz7.319A. Muñoz
Marcos Lliuya7.310M. Lliuya

Cusco Substitutes

14Carlo Diez62'for D. Soto6.7
7José Miguel Manzaneda62'for Miguel Silveira6.9
13Andy Vidal
2Carlos Gamarra
15Jose Bolivar
16Oswaldo Valenzuela79'for C. Montano6.7
77Joel Herrera90'for I. Colman
11Juan Tévez
26Nicolás Silva79'for L. Colitto6.3

UTC Cajamarca Substitutes

88Luis Arce60'for D. Dioses6.5
21Ricardo Bettocchi
6Francesco Cavagna90+1'for A. Munoz
5Carlos Junior Huerto
15Joshua Cantt
7Jhosep Nuñez6.3
11Abdiel Arroyo
9Marlon de Jesús90+1'for M. Lliuya
18Santiago Gálvez

Match Stats

CuscoUTC Cajamarca
57%Ball Possession43%
1Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box11
2Blocked Shots6
10Fouls9
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
464Total Passes355
412Passes Accurate305
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

CuscoCusco
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
1577Elo Rating 1425
0.83Attack 1.42
1.51Defense 1.27
36%Hit Rate 23%
15.9Shots per Game 12.6
4.9Shots on Target 4.8
5.6Corners per Game 4.2
1.9Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+152 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CuscoCusco
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CuscoCusco2Wins · 25%
Draws338%
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3Wins · 37%
2.1Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera División13/02/2026
UTC CajamarcaCusco
10
Primera División04/08/2025
UTC CajamarcaCusco
12
Primera División01/03/2025
CuscoUTC Cajamarca
11
Primera División19/07/2024
UTC CajamarcaCusco
21
Primera División02/02/2024
CuscoUTC Cajamarca
11
Primera División26/06/2023
CuscoUTC Cajamarca
21
Primera División27/03/2023
UTC CajamarcaCusco
00
Primera División13/08/2021
UTC CajamarcaCusco
21

Recent Form

CuscoCusco
3W1D6L
25/07/2026
UniversitarioCusco
21
L19/07/2026
CuscoAlianza Atletico
41
W
29/06/2026
CuscoCienciano
12
L
22/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCusco
43
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
00
D
30/05/2026
ADTCusco
12
W
27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
30
L
24/05/2026
CuscoAtletico Grau
10
W
21/05/2026
CuscoIndependiente Medellin
23
L
17/05/2026
Sport BoysCusco
10
L
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
2W4D4L
26/07/2026
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
00
D18/07/2026
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
31
L
12/07/2026
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria
41
W
26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
31
W
15/06/2026
Deportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca
22
D
31/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca
22
D
23/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaSport Boys
00
D
17/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca
20
L
08/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
12
L
04/05/2026
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca
20
L

Referee Profile

D. Ureta109 matches

5.32Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Ureta5.32
Other referees5.22

5.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 88 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima33209454:24+3069WWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario331710659:39+2061DLDWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar33169856:38+1857DWDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso331671050:35+1555DWWWW
5CuscoCusco331631446:47-151WLDDW
6Sporting CristalSporting Cristal331551363:49+1450WLDDL
7CiencianoCienciano331551354:46+850DLWWD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo331551348:49-150DLWLL
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico331471249:48+149DWLWW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas331391140:52-1248LWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys3312101137:35+246DWDLD
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College331181448:59-1141DLLLD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos338131244:47-337DLDLW
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau331071632:41-937LWLLL
15ADTADT338101537:48-1134LWDWW
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca33871846:65-1931DWWWL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua33791727:48-2130DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca33591938:58-2019DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3354:2469
2UniversitarioUniversitario3359:3961
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3356:3857
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3350:3555
5CuscoCusco3346:4751
6Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3363:4950
7CiencianoCienciano3354:4650
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3348:4950
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3349:4849
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3340:5248
11Sport BoysSport Boys3337:3546
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3348:5941
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3344:4737
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3332:4137
15ADTADT3337:4834
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3346:6531
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3327:4830
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3338:5819

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LWDLL
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233DLWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DLDWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWDWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WLDDW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DWLWW
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLDLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120LWDWW
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DWDLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219WLDDL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518DLLLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLDLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517DWWWL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LWLLL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLWLL
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo16111427:18+934DLWLL
2UniversitarioUniversitario1695235:24+1132DLDWL
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal16101535:19+1631WLDDL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1692529:17+1229DWWWW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1685327:18+929DWDWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1685324:16+829WWDWW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1691629:30-128DWLWW
8Sport BoysSport Boys1675422:16+626DWDLD
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1674526:19+725DLLLD
10CuscoCusco1680825:23+224WLDDW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1663720:23-321LWLLL
12CiencianoCienciano1652920:24-417DLWWD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1637626:27-116DLDLW
14ADTADT1635815:27-1214LWDWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca16421023:37-1414DWWWL
16Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1635815:31-1614LWDLL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1626810:24-1412DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca16131217:32-156DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1627:1834
2UniversitarioUniversitario1635:2432
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1635:1931
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1629:1729
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1627:1829
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1624:1629
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1629:3028
8Sport BoysSport Boys1622:1626
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1626:1925
10CuscoCusco1625:2324
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1620:2321
12CiencianoCienciano1620:2417
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1626:2716
14ADTADT1615:2714
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1623:3714
16Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1615:3114
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1610:2412
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1617:326
PromotionRelegation

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About the Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cusco and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Cusco are 5th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Cusco 46-47, UTC Cajamarca 38-58. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.