Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction

Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo·Kevin Ortega 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-10.9%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
22 days
Juan Pablo II College Rest
20 days

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College: the result in context

Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 10 Oct 2026. Juan Pablo II College had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.81
X
26%3.60
2
26%3.91
Double Chance
1X
74%1.21
X2
52%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.68
No
45%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.23 = 2.71
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.77
Over 3.5
32%2.78
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
47%1.97
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.9 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.79
Over 9.5
49%2.26
Over 10.5
38%3.06
Under 8.5
37%1.92
Under 9.5
51%1.53
Under 10.5
62%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

32'Matías Eric SenArgument
32'Pablo MiguezArgument
45'Maximiliano Pérez INJean Olivares out
45'Mathias Carpio INRodrigo Vilca out
45'J. Torres INNilton Ramirez out
53'Penalty cancelledNilton Ramirez
63'Pablo MiguezAssist: Paolo Reyna
66'Paolo ReynaNot retreating
67'Yimy Gamero INWilter Ayovi out
69'Nilton RamirezFoul
75'Álvaro Rojas INJack·Duran out
75'Janio Pósito INMateo Rodríguez out
82'Juan Pablo Goicochea INAdan Hendricks Ayarza out
82'Erinson Ramirez INHéctor Bazán out
83'Arón SánchezFoul
84'Wilter AyoviViolent conduct
87'Daniel Lino INJosuee Herrera out
87'Paolo Fuentes INFlavio Alcedo out
89'Rodrigo VilcaAssist: Josuee Herrera

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos
4-4-2Coach: J. Hernández
Juan Pablo II College
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Araujo
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.70
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez6.399J. Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
J. Sánchez6.432J. Sánchez
Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel7.066P. Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel
J. Rodriguez6.96J. Rodriguez
D. Lino6.919D. Lino
A. Martín Arias7.24A. Martín Arias
J. Parodi6.620J. Parodi
Y. Gamero6.254Y. Gamero
M. Carpio6.110M. Carpio
M. Sen6.39M. Sen
M. Pérez6.813M. Pérez
M. Vega7.923M. Vega
H. Ancajima6.02H. Ancajima
J. Toledo7.131J. Toledo
P. Míguez7.560P. Míguez
P. Reyna7.319P. Reyna
A. Sánchez6.43A. Sánchez
E. Ramírez6.318E. Ramírez
Á. Rojas6.637Á. Rojas
J. Torres6.688J. Torres
J. Goicochea6.779J. Goicochea
J. Pósito6.289J. Pósito

Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes

15A. Cossio
8W. Ayoví67'for Yimy Gamero84'6.4
40F. Alcedo87'for Paolo Fuentes6.7
17Matías Cordova
11J. Herrera87'for Daniel Lino6.5
50J. Olivares45'for Maximiliano Pérez6.6
28O. Pinto
14Thiago Salinas
25Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta45'for Mathias Carpio89'8.2

Juan Pablo II College Substitutes

20H. Bazán82'for Erinson Ramirez6.4
14J. Carhuallanqui
28J. Durán75'for Álvaro Rojas6.5
8C. Flores
7A. Hendricks82'for Juan Pablo Goicochea6.5
12I. Quispe
15N. Ramírez45'for J. Torres69'6.3
97M. Rodríguez75'for Janio Pósito6.9
71C. Villanueva

Match Stats

Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
28Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal5
12Shots off Goal6
17Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots0
8Fouls9
4Goalkeeper Saves8
319Total Passes260
242Passes Accurate190
9Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
1503Elo Rating 1578
1.24Attack 2.02
0.86Defense 2.46
0%Hit Rate 63%
14.0Shots per Game 15.5
4.9Shots on Target 6.2
4.4Corners per Game 5.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos2Wins · 50%
Draws250%
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga27/06/2026
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
00
Primera División18/04/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes Unidos
22
Primera División24/10/2025
Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes Unidos
01
Primera División22/06/2025
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
30

Referee Profile

Kevin Ortega197 matches

5.41Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kevin Ortega5.41
Other referees5.27

5.41 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso29146941:29+1248WLLWD
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas29137938:46-846LWWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo301351244:46-244LLWDD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys291081130:31-138DWLLW
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College301081245:56-1138LDDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca29771541:53-1228LLDLL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua30771625:44-1928LWLWW
17ADTADT30691531:45-1427WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso2941:2948
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas2938:4646
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3044:4644
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys2930:3138
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3045:5638
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca2941:5328
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3025:4428
17ADTADT3031:4527
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LWWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WLLWD
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120WWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DWLLW
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LWLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517LLDLL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LLWDD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1391323:15+828LLWDD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
5Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
6Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1271420:11+922WLLWD
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1364323:16+722LDDLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1253415:12+318DWLLW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1233613:25-1212LWWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1232718:25-711LLDLL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua132478:20-1210LWLWW
17ADTADT131489:24-157WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1323:1528
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
5Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
6Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1220:1122
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1323:1622
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1215:1218
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1213:2512
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1218:2511
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua138:2010
17ADTADT139:247
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College in the Primera División table

Juan Pablo II College and Comerciantes Unidos are close in the Primera División table, 12th and 13th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Comerciantes Unidos 41-44, Juan Pablo II College 45-56. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juan Pablo II College have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.