Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 5
Atletico Grau
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Comerciantes Unidos
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 14/08/2026
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1-0
Finished
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.42
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Atletico Grau Rest
5 days
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
6 days

Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos: result, form and history

Atletico Grau beat Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 in the Primera División on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.92
X
31%3.17
2
26%4.01
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
57%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.03
No
48%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1 = 2.53
Over 1.5
75%1.42
Over 2.5
53%2.31
Over 3.5
30%4.38
Under 1.5
25%2.62
Under 2.5
47%1.57
Under 3.5
70%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9
Over 8.5
51%1.95
Over 9.5
44%2.51
Over 10.5
32%3.50
Under 8.5
49%1.76
Under 9.5
56%1.47
Under 10.5
68%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

13'F. AlcedoFoul
27'F. RojasUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'A. de la CruzFoul
51'P. de la Cruz
63'G. E. Alfaro Martinez INE. Rodas out
63'M. Da Luz INL. E. Benites Vargas out
65'A. Rodriguez INJ. Olivares out
66'M. P. Carpio Ferro INT. Salinas out
71'D. Barreto INA. Vasquez out
79'C. Vasquez INI. Tapia out
79'P. de la Cruz IND. Rodriguez out
84'J. Herrera INW. Ayovi out
88'P. GuzmanFoul
88'R. Vilca INE. M. Perez Azambuya out
88'E. M. Perez AzambuyaFoul

Lineups

Atletico Grau
4-2-3-1Coach: Gerardo Ameli
Comerciantes Unidos
4-2-3-1Coach: Claudio Biaggio
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating6.73
Patricio ÁlvarezC7.51P. Álvarez
Christian Vásquez6.28C. Vásquez
Rodrigo Tapia7.527R. Tapia
Lucas Acevedo6.92L. Acevedo
Gabriel Alfaro6.525G. Alfaro
Adrián De la Cruz7.266A. De la Cruz
Rafael Guarderas7.25R. Guarderas
Paulo de la Cruz8.210P. de la Cruz
Mauro Da Luz6.277M. Da Luz
Diego Barreto7.27D. Barreto
Adrián Fernández6.399A. Fernández
Matías Córdova7.517M. Córdova
Fabio Rojas6.716F. Rojas
Flavio Alcedo6.940F. Alcedo
Piero Guzmán6.930P. Guzmán
Alexis Cossio7.015A. Cossio
Agustín Rodriguez6.318A. Rodriguez
Alexis Arias6.94A. Arias
Josuee Herrera7.211J. Herrera
Rodrigo Vilca7.025R. Vilca
Mathías Carpio6.510M. Carpio
Matías SenC6.29M. Sen

Atletico Grau Substitutes

6Elsar Rodas63'for G. E. Alfaro Martinez6.7
96Luis Benites63'for M. Da Luz6.7
33Aamet Calderón
4Diego Rodriguez79'for P. de la Cruz6.5
3Ignacio Tapia79'for C. Vasquez6.3
20Aldair Vasquez71'for D. Barreto7.0
11Nicolás Delgadillo
21Eslyn Correa
24Yamir Ruidiaz

Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes

99José Charún
33Miguel Hilario
19Daniel Lino
20José Parodi
14Thiago Salinas66'for M. P. Carpio Ferro6.9
28Óscar Pinto
50Jean Carlo Olivares6.3
8Wilter Ayoví84'replaced by J. Herrera6.2
13Maximiliano Pérez88'for R. Vilca88'6.5

Match Stats

Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots1
20Fouls5
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
307Total Passes399
233Passes Accurate316
76%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
1527Elo Rating 1540
0.56Attack 1.65
0.96Defense 1.27
0%Hit Rate 23%
9.4Shots per Game 18.0
3.3Shots on Target 7.2
3.9Corners per Game 5.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau2Wins · 29%
Draws228%
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3Wins · 43%
3.3Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera División01/03/2026
Comerciantes UnidosAtletico Grau
31
Primera División15/08/2025
Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos
12
Primera División27/03/2025
Comerciantes UnidosAtletico Grau
22
Primera División31/07/2024
Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos
30
Primera División19/02/2024
Comerciantes UnidosAtletico Grau
22
Segunda División27/08/2021
Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos
40
Segunda División28/06/2021
Comerciantes UnidosAtletico Grau
10

Recent Form

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau
00
D01/08/2026
Atletico GrauSport Boys
01
L25/07/2026
Sport HuancayoAtletico Grau
20
L18/07/2026
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
31
W09/07/2026
Atletico GrauCarlos A. Mannucci
8171
W
27/06/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
11
D
22/06/2026
Atletico GrauMolinos El Pirata
32
W
29/05/2026
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua
10
W
24/05/2026
CuscoAtletico Grau
10
L
16/05/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
01
W
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
1W5D4L
07/08/2026
Comerciantes UnidosCusco
31
W31/07/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos
32
L26/07/2026
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima
22
D18/07/2026
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
22
D
27/06/2026
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
00
D
11/06/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos
20
L
31/05/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos
10
L
25/05/2026
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso
00
D
17/05/2026
ADTComerciantes Unidos
20
L
10/05/2026
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
11
D

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario31178655:35+2059DWLWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar32159854:37+1754WDWLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso321661050:35+1554WWWWL
5CuscoCusco321631346:44+251LDDWW
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico321471149:46+349WLWWL
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal311451257:47+1047DDLLW
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo321451346:48-247LWLLW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas321381139:51-1247WDLLW
11Sport BoysSport Boys311281135:33+244DLDWL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College321181347:57-1041LLLDD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau32971629:41-1234WLLLW
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua32781725:46-2129LDLWL
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca32581938:58-2018LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3155:3559
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3254:3754
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3250:3554
5CuscoCusco3246:4451
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3249:4649
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3157:4747
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3246:4847
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3239:5147
11Sport BoysSport Boys3135:3344
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3247:5741
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3229:4134
15ADTADT3133:4530
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3225:4629
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3238:5818

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WDLLW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DWLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WDWLW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327LDDWW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WLWWL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DLDWL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DDLLW
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LDLWL
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616WLLLW
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LWLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo15101425:17+831LWLLW
2UniversitarioUniversitario1493231:20+1130DWLWL
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1491429:17+1228DDLLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1591529:17+1228WWWWL
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1591529:28+128WLWWL
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1575325:17+826WDWLW
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1574425:17+825LLLDD
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
9Sport BoysSport Boys1473420:14+624DLDWL
10CuscoCusco1580725:20+524LDDWW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1553717:23-618WLLLW
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1534814:30-1613WDLLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua152588:22-1411LDLWL
17ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca15121217:32-155LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1525:1731
2UniversitarioUniversitario1431:2030
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1429:1728
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1529:1728
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1529:2828
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1525:1726
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1525:1725
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
9Sport BoysSport Boys1420:1424
10CuscoCusco1525:2024
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1517:2318
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1514:3013
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua158:2211
17ADTADT1411:2410
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1517:325
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About the Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Grau and Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División table

Comerciantes Unidos and Atletico Grau are close in the Primera División table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 29-41, Comerciantes Unidos 42-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.