UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 6
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca· Rosario Guadalupe Cardenas Morales, Mexico 22/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.37SignalGOODModel37%RiskHighGap+13.4%
UTC Cajamarca Rest
6 days
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.05
X30%3.13
229%3.58
Double Chance
1X71%1.25
X259%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.91
No39%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.12 = 2.68
Over 1.575%1.37
Over 2.556%2.20
Over 3.533%3.97
Under 1.525%2.85
Under 2.544%1.62
Under 3.567%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.8 = 8.8
Over 8.546%1.71
Over 9.531%2.08
Over 10.520%2.78
Under 8.554%2.02
Under 9.569%1.62
Under 10.580%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
5'R. VilcaAssist: W. Ayovi
27'D. Camacho
36'M. GanozaFoul
40'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Alcedo
46'M. de Jesus INF. Cavagna out
46'G. Paredes INL. Garro out
46'J. Herrera INO. Pinto out
55'R. Vilca(Penalty)
57'J. CanttUnsportsmanlike conduct
60'J. Cantt INL. Arce out
60'M. Lliuya INJ. Nunez out
71'E. M. Perez Azambuya(Penalty)
72'R. Vilca INJ. Olivares out
72'W. Ayovi INJhon Sanchez out
72'E. M. Perez Azambuya INM. Sen out
76'A. Arias INJ. Parodi out
Lineups
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
4-4-2Coach: Claudio Biaggio
29I. BarriosIgnacio Barrios
35G. ParedesGilmar Paredes
3M. GanozaManuel Ganoza
2B. DuarteBruno Duarte
15J. CanttJoshua Cantt
16A. FigueraArquímedes Figuera
5C. Junior HuertoCarlos Junior Huerto
11A. ArroyoAbdiel Arroyo
10M. LliuyaMarcos Lliuya
22D. CamachoDavid Camacho
9M. de JesúsMarlon de Jesús
17M. CórdovaMatías Córdova
16F. RojasFabio Rojas
40F. AlcedoFlavio Alcedo
6J. RodríguezJuan Rodríguez
15A. CossioAlexis Cossio
11J. HerreraJosuee Herrera
18A. RodriguezAgustín Rodriguez
4A. AriasAlexis Arias
8W. AyovíWilter Ayoví
13M. PérezMaximiliano Pérez
25R. VilcaRodrigo VilcaUTC Cajamarca Substitutes
17Luis GarroD
6Francesco CavagnaD
88Luis ArceM
7Jhosep NuñezF
21Ricardo BettocchiG
8David DiosesM
18Santiago GálvezF
Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes
28Óscar PintoM
32Jhon SánchezF
50Jean Carlo OlivaresF
9Matías SenF
20José ParodiM
99José CharúnG
30Piero GuzmánD
14Thiago SalinasM
10Mathías CarpioM
Match Stats
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos 48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
17Total Shots22
3Shots on Goal11
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box15
8Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots4
14Fouls15
0Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves3
299Total Passes335
256Passes Accurate287
86%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos1431Elo Rating 1524
1.42Attack 1.34
0.41Defense 1.38
0%Hit Rate 17%
12.3Shots per Game 11.6
5.0Shots on Target 4.4
3.4Corners per Game 2.7
4.4Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
UTC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
UTC Cajamarca 46%Draw 17%37% Comerciantes Unidos
2.92Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5
Recent Form
UTC Cajamarca0W2D3L
16/08/2026
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
08/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
LUTC Cajamarca
ADT11
D02/08/2026
CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
L26/07/2026UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
LLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 |  Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
UTC Cajamarca and Comerciantes Unidos have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.92 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.