CRB vs Botafogo SP Prediction

CRB
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio·Anderson Daronco 18/10/2026
CRBCRB
0-1
Finished
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
CRB Rest
6 days
Botafogo SP Rest
5 days

CRB vs Botafogo SP: the result in context

Botafogo SP beat CRB 1-0 in the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.57
X
25%3.90
2
15%5.50
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
40%2.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.88
No
50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.92 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.26
Over 2.5
51%1.89
Over 3.5
30%3.21
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.90
Under 3.5
70%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.2 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.23
Over 9.5
59%1.47
Over 10.5
48%1.80
Under 8.5
30%3.42
Under 9.5
41%2.48
Under 10.5
52%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%1.62
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%2.20

Match Events

20'Penalty confirmedHygor
22'Rafael Gava(Penalty missed)
22'Matheus Simonete BressanelliDissent
45+1'Gabriel de Souza InocencioFoul
55' Thiago Fernandes RodriguesFoul
58'Darlan Batista Cobo Da SilvaFoul
61'Patrick Brey
61'Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva INHebert Willian Badaro Oliveira out
63' Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues INVinicius Barata out
68'Diogo Hereda da SilvaFoul
72'Diogo Hereda da Silva INKevin out
72'José Hugo Sousa dos Santos INFelipe Vieira Augusto out
72'Rafael Gava INThiago Henrique Moraes out
72'Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi INMatheus Sales out
79'HygorAssist: Thiago Henrique Moraes
80'Daniel Sampaio Simões INEstevão Barreto de Oliveira out
80'Mikael INYgor Catatau out
80'Pedro Castro INGeovane out
86'Vinicius BarataArgument
89'Leandro Maciel INYuri Felipe Santos da Conceição out

Lineups

CRB
4-1-4-1Coach: Fábio Matias
Botafogo SP
5-4-1Coach: Cláudio Tencati
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.92
Vitor Caetano6.51V. Caetano
Hereda6.732Hereda
Bressan7.022Bressan
Lyncon7.133Lyncon
Lucas Lovat6.936L. Lovat
Pedro Castro6.821P. Castro
Thiaguinho6.317Thiaguinho
Crystopher6.58Crystopher
Daniel7.210Daniel
Dadá Belmonte6.897D. Belmonte
Mikael6.328Mikael
Victor Souza6.71V. Souza
Gabriel Inocêncio6.822G. Inocêncio
Jonathan7.22Jonathan
Vilar7.24Vilar
Darlan6.627Darlan
Patrick Brey6.36P. Brey
Marco Antônio6.728M. Antônio
Rafael Gava6.610R. Gava
L. Maciel6.95L. Maciel
Zé Hugo6.630Z. Hugo
Hygor7.99Hygor

CRB Substitutes

45De Lucca
7Douglas Baggio
27Fábio Alemão
18Geovane80'for Pedro Castro6.1
44Henri
2Kevin72'for Diogo Hereda da Silva6.6
12Matheus
20Vinicius Barata63'for Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues86'6.4
16Maycon
9João Neto
95Ygor Catatau80'for Mikael6.2
26Estevão80'for Daniel Sampaio Simões6.9

Botafogo SP Substitutes

7Kelvin
26Felipe Vieira72'for José Hugo Sousa dos Santos7.1
18Arthur Caíke
17Guilherme Queiróz
16Matheus Sales72'for Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi6.8
12Jordan
31Pedro Henrique
29Thiago Henrique72'for Rafael Gava7.4
33Badaró61'for Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva7.1
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição89'for Leandro Maciel7.1

Match Stats

CRBBotafogo SP
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards4
18Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
10Fouls20
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
558Total Passes270
486Passes Accurate191
19Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CRBCRB
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1647Elo Rating 1588
1.63Attack 1.29
1.58Defense 2.69
34%Hit Rate 86%
18.3Shots per Game 11.0
5.6Shots on Target 3.9
8.5Corners per Game 6.3
1.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend43% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CRBCRB
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

CRBCRB3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2Wins · 28%
2.3Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B01/07/2026
Botafogo SPCRB
01
Serie B25/09/2025
CRBBotafogo SP
32
Serie B27/05/2025
Botafogo SPCRB
21
Serie B25/09/2024
Botafogo SPCRB
00
Serie B18/07/2024
CRBBotafogo SP
41
Serie B05/08/2023
CRBBotafogo SP
00
Serie B29/04/2023
Botafogo SPCRB
20

Referee Profile

Anderson Daronco305 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.26Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anderson Daronco4.49
Other referees5.20

4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 237 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15CearaCeara3437:4243
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the CRB vs Botafogo SP forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CRB and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, CRB are 6th and Botafogo SP 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: CRB 53-49, Botafogo SP 40-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.