Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 29
Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei·dos Santos Martins, Franciel 19/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.6%
Athletic Club Rest
6 days
Botafogo SP Rest
4 days
Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP: the result in context
Athletic Club and Botafogo SP drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 19 Sep 2026. Athletic Club had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Botafogo SP.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.21
X30%2.95
226%3.40
Double Chance
1X74%1.29
X256%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.00
No52%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.01 = 2.62
Over 1.567%1.46
Over 2.543%2.40
Over 3.524%4.50
Under 1.533%2.63
Under 2.557%1.52
Under 3.576%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.30
Over 9.551%1.57
Over 10.540%1.94
Under 8.537%2.97
Under 9.549%2.19
Under 10.560%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.543%1.67
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.557%2.10
Match Events
4'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesAssist: Maswel Ananias Silva
25'HygorAssist: Pedro Henrique
32'Yuri Felipe Santos da ConceiçãoFoul
39'Hygor INArthur Caíke out
45'Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição INLeandro Maciel out
50'Leandro MacielFoul
59'WallaceFoul
65'Maswel Ananias Silva INOtavio Bruno Dos Santos out
65'Felipe Negrucci Berdague INYago Santos de Andrade out
70'Wallace INJonathan out
75'João MiguelFoul
78'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes INDixon Vera out
78'João Miguel INGian Franco Cabezas Rodriguez out
80'Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos INJosé Hugo Sousa dos Santos out
80'Pedro Henrique INMarco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi out
85'Wilinton Aponza Carabali INGustavo Silva out
90+1'Dixon VeraFoul
Lineups
Athletic ClubBotafogo SP
3-4-1-2Coach: Cláudio TencatiAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Polli
2D. Pelé
3Jhonatan
4L. Belezi
23Enzo
5F. Negrucci
16J. Miguel
11Max
17Kauan
10K. Lindes
20W. Aponza
1V. Souza
3Ericson
13Wallace
4Vilar
31P. Henrique
20Y. Felipe Santos da Conceição
8E. Morelli
6P. Brey
10R. Gava
9Hygor
7KelvinAthletic Club Substitutes
14Yago Santos65'for Felipe Negrucci Berdague
8G. Cabezas78'for João Miguel
6Marcelo Henrique
13Philipe Sampaio
21D. Vera78'for Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes90+1'
9Gustavo Silva85'for Wilinton Aponza Carabali
12Tony
7Bruninho65'for Maswel Ananias Silva
18Assis
19J. Torres
22Alexandre Cesar
15Jota
Botafogo SP Substitutes
26Felipe Vieira
18Arthur Caíke39'for Hygor
30Zé Hugo80'for Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos
2Jonathan70'for Wallace
23Wesley Pinheiro Santos
28Marco Antônio80'for Pedro Henrique
12Jordan
29Thiago Henrique
34Badaró
5L. Maciel45'for Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição50'
Match Stats
Athletic ClubBotafogo SP 60%Ball Possession40%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
15Fouls20
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
487Total Passes323
410Passes Accurate256
18Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Athletic ClubBotafogo SP1570Elo Rating 1599
1.01Attack 2.00
1.89Defense 2.77
27%Hit Rate 77%
15.0Shots per Game 13.2
3.4Shots on Target 3.9
5.7Corners per Game 6.2
2.0Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Athletic Club- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Botafogo SP- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Athletic Club3Wins · 100%Draws00%
Botafogo SP0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
26/05/2026Botafogo SPAthletic Club12
14/09/2025Athletic ClubBotafogo SP20
13/05/2025Botafogo SPAthletic Club03
Recent Form
Athletic Club5W1D4L
13/09/2026
JuventudeAthletic Club
CuiabaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Novorizontino
America MineiroAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Criciuma
JuventudeAthletic Club02
W09/09/2026CuiabaAthletic Club30
L05/09/2026Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Athletic ClubVila Nova50
W29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
25/08/2026Nautico RecifeAthletic Club21
LAthletic ClubNovorizontino14
L21/08/2026Athletic Club
CRB
16/08/2026Athletic ClubCRB02
LAmerica MineiroAthletic Club13
W09/08/2026Athletic ClubCriciuma20
W29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
Ponte PretaAthletic Club11
D24/07/2026Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo21
WBotafogo SP3W1D6L
15/09/2026Botafogo SP
Goias
10/09/2026Botafogo SPGoias13
LBotafogo SPNovorizontino13
L04/09/2026Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP
Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP10
L29/08/2026Botafogo SPCuiaba
26/08/2026Botafogo SPCuiaba12
L
Atletico GoianienseBotafogo SP30
L20/08/2026Botafogo SPCriciuma11
D15/08/2026São BernardoBotafogo SP01
W08/08/2026Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro21
W29/07/2026
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP
24/07/2026Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
LBotafogo SPJuventude42
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:50 | +1 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 10 |  Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:44 | +10 | 53 | DLWWL |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 48 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 |  Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47:59 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21:81 | -60 | 15 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 66:32 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 49:26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 53:38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 38:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 57:51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 39:41 | 58 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 45:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 51:50 | 57 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 34:32 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 41:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 35:47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 47:59 | 35 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 27:55 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 21:81 | 15 |
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About the Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Athletic Club and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table
Botafogo SP and Athletic Club are close in the Serie B table, 12th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 46-46, Botafogo SP 45-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.