CRB vs Sport Recife Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 28
Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio 16/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
CRB Rest
6 days
Sport Recife Rest
4 days
CRB vs Sport Recife: the result in context
CRB beat Sport Recife 2-1 in the Serie B on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. CRB tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 3.3 for Sport Recife.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
154%1.85
X27%3.52
219%3.95
Double Chance
1X81%1.22
X246%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.56
No44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.02 = 2.69
Over 1.581%1.20
Over 2.556%1.65
Over 3.533%2.60
Under 1.519%4.33
Under 2.544%2.19
Under 3.567%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 4 = 10.8
Over 8.567%1.23
Over 9.556%1.48
Over 10.549%1.83
Under 8.533%3.42
Under 9.544%2.48
Under 10.551%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.557%-
Over 4.538%-
Under 3.543%-
Under 4.562%-
Match Events
7'Matheus Simonete BressanelliFoul
16'CrystopherAssist: Mikael
30'Daniel Sampaio SimõesArgument
30'Carlos María de Pena BoninoArgument
45'Kevin INDiogo Hereda da Silva out
45'Diego·Hernandez INDudu Teodora out
45'Biel INFernando Sobral out
45'Marcelo Ajul INAugusto Pucci De Freitas out
50'Goal cancelledCarlos María de Pena Bonino
54'CrystopherFoul
62'Mikael INJoao Batista da Cruz Santos Neto out
62'Vinicius Barata IN Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues out
66'Edson Lucas Pereira INPatrick de Paula Carreiro out
76'Daniel Sampaio Simões INGeovane out
81'Pedro Castro INLuizão out
83'Zé Gabriel INNeto Pessoa out
84'GeovaneFoul
86'Fernando SobralFoul
89'Diogo Hereda da SilvaAssist: Crystopher
90+2'Patrick de Paula Carreiro
Lineups
CRBSport Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: M. SosoAvg ratingAvg rating
1V. Caetano
2Kevin
22Bressan
33Lyncon
6Reverson
21P. Castro
20V. Barata
8Crystopher
10Daniel
97D. Belmonte
28Mikael
26T. Couto
3M. Ajul
5M. Benevenuto
33K. Almeida
96Edson
23Z. Gabriel
6Biel
30C. Barletta
20D. Hernández
10C. de Pena
9PerottiCRB Substitutes
7Douglas Baggio
18Geovane76'for Daniel Sampaio Simões84'
44Henri
95Ygor Catatau
17Thiaguinho62'for Vinicius Barata
26Estevão
12Matheus
32Hereda45'for Kevin89'
50Luizão81'for Pedro Castro
16Maycon
27Fábio Alemão
19João Neto62'for Mikael
Sport Recife Substitutes
25Clayson
77Dudu45'for Diego·Hernandez
8Fernando Sobral45'for Biel86'
28Habraão
31Marlon
19Neto Pessoa83'for Zé Gabriel
7Patrick de Paula66'for Edson Lucas Pereira90+2'
29Willian Oliveira
68Augusto45'for Marcelo Ajul
76Raí
40Matheus miranda
21Brenno
Match Stats
CRBSport Recife 43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box3
13Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots3
8Fouls7
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves6
407Total Passes531
343Passes Accurate453
7Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
CRBSport Recife1642Elo Rating 1599
1.48Attack 1.18
1.56Defense 1.81
37%Hit Rate 37%
23.3Shots per Game 14.6
8.1Shots on Target 4.7
9.1Corners per Game 3.3
1.2Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend29% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
CRB- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Sport Recife- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
CRB4Wins · 57%Draws114%
Sport Recife2Wins · 29%
2Wins · 29%2.0Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7
Previous meetings
18/05/2026Sport RecifeCRB12
15/09/2024Sport RecifeCRB20
12/09/2024CRBSport Recife11
29/07/2023Sport RecifeCRB20
06/07/2023CRBSport Recife20
03/09/2022CRBSport Recife20
25/05/2022Sport RecifeCRB01
Recent Form
CRB7W1D2L
10/09/2026
Operario-PRCRB
JuventudeCRBCRB
Novorizontino
AvaiCRBCRB
Vila Nova
CearaCRBCRB
Nautico Recife
Operario-PRCRB30
L05/09/2026CRB
America Mineiro
CRBAmerica Mineiro31
W30/08/2026CRB
Criciuma
26/08/2026CRBCriciuma21
WJuventudeCRB21
L21/08/2026
Athletic ClubCRB
16/08/2026Athletic ClubCRB02
WCRBNovorizontino00
D12/08/2026AvaiCRB01
W28/07/2026CRBVila Nova20
W23/07/2026CearaCRB01
W17/07/2026CRBNautico Recife21
WSport Recife4W3D3L
11/09/2026Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport RecifePonte Preta20
W05/09/2026CearaSport Recife
29/08/2026CearaSport Recife21
LNovorizontinoSport Recife21
L25/08/2026Sport RecifeAmerica Mineiro30
W20/08/2026AvaiSport Recife21
L15/08/2026Sport Recife
Londrina
08/08/2026Sport RecifeLondrina21
WVila NovaSport Recife01
W28/07/2026Sport Recife
Cuiaba11
D23/07/2026
GoiasSport Recife11
D18/07/2026Sport RecifeOperario-PR22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:50 | +1 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:44 | +10 | 53 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 48 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47:59 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21:81 | -60 | 15 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 66:32 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 49:26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 53:38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 38:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 57:51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 39:41 | 58 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 45:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 51:50 | 57 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 34:32 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 41:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 35:47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 47:59 | 35 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 27:55 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 21:81 | 15 |
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About the CRB vs Sport Recife forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
CRB and Sport Recife in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, CRB are 6th and Sport Recife 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: CRB 57-51, Sport Recife 50-42. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.