Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Selhurst Park, London·Peter Bankes 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Crystal Palace Rest
8 days
Nottingham Forest Rest
21 days

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: result, form and history

Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 in the Premier League on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.80
X
31%3.38
2
34%2.55
Double Chance
1X
66%1.51
X2
65%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.66
No
42%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.47 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.25
Over 2.5
55%1.90
Over 3.5
32%3.15
Under 1.5
23%3.70
Under 2.5
45%1.94
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.55
Over 9.5
51%1.96
Over 10.5
35%2.54
Under 8.5
39%2.23
Under 9.5
49%1.77
Under 10.5
65%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.75
Over 4.5
37%2.36
Under 3.5
44%1.99
Under 4.5
63%1.56

Match Events

3'Dan Ndoye
16'Jefferson LermaFoul
41'Daichi KamadaAssist: Quinten Timber
45+4'Jefferson LermaAssist: Adam Wharton
59'Yeremy Pino
60'Yeremy Pino
66'Xaver Schlager INIbrahim Sangaré out
72'Jefferson Lerma INHonest Ahanor out
72'Liam Delap INChris Wood out
72'Dan Ndoye INCallum Hudson-Odoi out
73'Ola AinaFoul
83'Jörgen Strand Larsen INEddie Nketiah out
83'Yeremy Pino INIsmaila Sarr out
83'Ola Aina INArnaud Kalimuendo out
90'Daichi Kamada INDwight McNeil out
90+4'Murillo SantiagoFoul

Lineups

Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: P. Sage
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1Coach: O. Glasner
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.30
W. Benítez6.844W. Benítez
J. Lerma6.68J. Lerma
C. Richards7.026C. Richards
J. Canvot7.06J. Canvot
A. Khalaili6.125A. Khalaili
A. Wharton7.720A. Wharton
Q. Timber6.523Q. Timber
T. Mitchell6.33T. Mitchell
D. Kamada7.518D. Kamada
Yeremy Pino8.110Y. Pino
J. Strand Larsen6.322J. Strand Larsen
M. Sels6.726M. Sels
O. Aina5.734O. Aina
O. Diomande6.62O. Diomande
Murillo6.35Murillo
D. Muñoz6.127D. Muñoz
X. Schlager6.521X. Schlager
J. McAtee5.724J. McAtee
N. Williams7.03N. Williams
M. Gibbs-White6.610M. Gibbs-White
D. Ndoye6.714D. Ndoye
L. Delap6.019L. Delap

Crystal Palace Substitutes

7I. Sarr83'for Yeremy Pino6.5
19W. Hughes
28C. Doucouré
11D. McNeil90'for Daichi Kamada
30Óscar Mingueza
21H. Ahanor72'for Jefferson Lerma6.4
31R. Matthews
29E. Guessand
9E. Nketiah83'for Jörgen Strand Larsen6.4

Nottingham Forest Substitutes

9C. Wood72'for Liam Delap6.2
12John
23Jair
25L. Netz
8N. Domínguez
7C. Hudson-Odoi72'for Dan Ndoye6.3
6I. Sangaré66'for Xaver Schlager5.9
22R. Yates
15A. Kalimuendo83'for Ola Aina6.4

Match Stats

Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots24
7Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal10
11Shots Inside Box16
2Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots8
11Fouls10
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
386Total Passes498
290Passes Accurate407
75%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
1796Elo Rating 1776
1.61Attack 0.56
0.77Defense 1.68
34%Hit Rate 17%
10.9Shots per Game 19.3
4.1Shots on Target 3.9
4.4Corners per Game 5.6
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace0Wins · 0%
Draws675%
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest2Wins · 25%
1.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
0%3+ goals0 of 8

Previous meetings

Premier League01/02/2026
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
11
Premier League24/08/2025
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
11
Premier League05/05/2025
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
11
Premier League21/10/2024
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
10
Premier League30/03/2024
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
11
Premier League07/10/2023
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
00
Premier League28/05/2023
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
11
Premier League12/11/2022
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
10

Recent Form

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
3W2D5L
19/09/2026
Nottingham ForestCoventry
01
L
12/09/2026
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
12
W
05/09/2026
Nottingham ForestTottenham
00
D
29/08/2026
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
22
D
25/08/2026
Nottingham ForestLeeds
02
L
22/08/2026
Nottingham ForestLeeds
01
L
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
W
12/08/2026
Nottingham ForestBayer Leverkusen
21
W
08/08/2026
BarcelonaNottingham Forest
10
L
08/08/2026
UdineseNottingham Forest
10
L

Referee Profile

Peter Bankes164 matches

3.96Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Peter Bankes3.96
Other referees3.71

3.96 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.71).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton751123:5+1816WWWWD
4ChelseaChelsea741217:13+413WWLDL
5LiverpoolLiverpool73319:8+112WLWDW
6Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
7BrentfordBrentford724113:8+510LDWDD
8LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
9EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
10IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
11Hull CityHull City72328:7+19LDLDD
12FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
13NewcastleNewcastle722310:14-48LLWLD
14Manchester UnitedManchester United714210:1007DDDLD
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace72149:17-87LWDLW
16BournemouthBournemouth71339:13-46WLLDD
17TottenhamTottenham71336:10-46WDLDD
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton723:516
4ChelseaChelsea717:1313
5LiverpoolLiverpool79:812
6Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
7BrentfordBrentford713:810
8LeedsLeeds79:610
9EvertonEverton88:910
10IpswichIpswich812:1610
11Hull CityHull City78:79
12FulhamFulham88:108
13NewcastleNewcastle710:148
14Manchester UnitedManchester United710:107
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace79:177
16BournemouthBournemouth79:136
17TottenhamTottenham76:106
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Crystal Palace are 15th and Nottingham Forest 18th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Crystal Palace 9-17, Nottingham Forest 6-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.