CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Premier LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 10
CSKA Moscow
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Rodina Moskva
VEB Arena, Moscow·Artem Chistyakov 11/10/2026
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
3-0
Finished
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
CSKA Moscow Rest
7 days
Rodina Moskva Rest
7 days

CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva: the result in context

CSKA Moscow beat Rodina Moskva 3-0 in the Premier League on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: CSKA Moscow had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Rodina Moskva.

Referee Artem Chistyakov averages 3.72 cards a game, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.40
X
20%5.20
2
13%7.17
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
33%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.71
No
45%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.82 = 2.79
Over 1.5
81%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.48
Over 3.5
38%2.35
Under 1.5
19%4.95
Under 2.5
40%2.41
Under 3.5
62%1.64
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.39
Over 9.5
52%1.70
Over 10.5
43%2.12
Under 8.5
36%2.67
Under 9.5
48%2.04
Under 10.5
57%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

24'Danil KrugovoyAssist: Ivan Oblyakov
35'Ivan OblyakovAssist: Ivan Oleynikov
45'Ruslan Fishchenko INKirill Ushatov out
45'Brian Mansilla INLeon Musaev out
61'Ivan Timoshenko INGerman Onugkha out
63'Matheus Alves INKirill Glebov out
68'Luciano Gondou INTamerlan Musaev out
71'Soltmurad Bakaev INMagomedkhabib Abdusalamov out
75'Matija PopovićDissent
76'Igor SilvaFoul
79'Deiver MachadoFoul
80'Artem Maksimenko INKerfala Cissoko out
80'Ivan OblyakovAssist: Danil Krugovoy
82'Ivan Oleynikov INDanila Kozlov out

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
5-3-2Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Rodina Moskva
5-4-1Coach: Jonatan Alba
Avg rating7.22
Avg rating6.17
V. Torop7.549V. Torop
M. Azzi6.421M. Azzi
João Victor7.04J. Victor
M. Lukin6.790M. Lukin
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov6.823D. Abdulkadyrov
D. Krugovoy8.63D. Krugovoy
M. Kislyak7.231M. Kislyak
I. Oblyakov9.810I. Oblyakov
I. Oleynikov7.719I. Oleynikov
Matheus Alves6.57M. Alves
L. Gondou6.832L. Gondou
S. Volkov6.613S. Volkov
Igor Silva5.42I. Silva
A. Meshchaninov5.826A. Meshchaninov
R. Fishchenko5.96R. Fishchenko
M. Nadé6.775M. Nadé
D. Machado5.320D. Machado
A. Maksimenko5.99A. Maksimenko
Y. Reyna6.310Y. Reyna
B. Mansilla6.111B. Mansilla
S. Bakaev6.217S. Bakaev
I. Timoshenko6.099I. Timoshenko

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

99Nikolay Barovskiy
39M. Borisko
79M. Zea
61P. Filyushin
62I. Firov
17K. Glebov63'for Matheus Alves6.6
37Henrique
18D. Kozlov82'for Ivan Oleynikov6.6
11T. Musaev68'for Luciano Gondou6.9
20Matija Popovic75'
84A. Vakulich
97Maksim Voronov

Rodina Moskva Substitutes

1S. Aydarov
23K. Ushatov45'for Ruslan Fishchenko6.5
80S. Bessmertny
95K. Cissoko80'for Artem Maksimenko6.2
3L. Goglichidze
55M. Križan
38L. Musaev45'for Brian Mansilla6.4
7G. Onugkha61'for Ivan Timoshenko6.4
50Rodrigo Becão
88A. Sokol
19D. Tananeev
18M. Abdusalamov71'for Soltmurad Bakaev6.8

Match Stats

CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
28Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal3
14Shots off Goal7
18Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls10
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
588Total Passes363
506Passes Accurate282
86%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
1634Elo Rating 1449
2.41Attack 1.30
1.88Defense 0.51
59%Hit Rate 0%
13.8Shots per Game 12.3
5.4Shots on Target 4.6
4.9Corners per Game 4.6
1.5Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+185 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
5W3D2L
04/10/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
31
W
17/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
13
W
12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowRubin
11
D05/09/2026
ZenitCSKA Moscow
12
W
01/09/2026
FC RostovCSKA Moscow
20
L
28/08/2026
AkronCSKA Moscow
22
D22/08/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
32
W
18/08/2026
CSKA MoscowAkron
01
L
15/08/2026
CSKA MoscowFakel
10
W
08/08/2026
CSKA MoscowFC Rostov
00
D
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
1W2D7L
04/10/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
32
L
16/09/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
11
D
11/09/2026
Krylia SovetovRodina Moskva
21
L06/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
20
L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
L
30/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
03
L
23/08/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
31
L
18/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
14
L
15/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaAkron
33
D
09/08/2026
ZenitRodina Moskva
12
W

Referee Profile

Artem Chistyakov114 matches

3.72Cards per match
3.58Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Artem Chistyakov3.72
Other referees4.65

3.72 cards a match, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).

Cards come from 71 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

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About the CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Moscow and Rodina Moskva in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: CSKA Moscow are 4th in the Premier League, while Rodina Moskva sit 16th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: CSKA Moscow 19-12, Rodina Moskva 12-27. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA Moscow and Rodina Moskva have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.