Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 4
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa· Alvaro Caranza, Argentina 09/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.48SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+11.2%
Defensa Y Justicia Rest
7 days
Newells Old Boys Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.07
X29%3.00
224%3.99
Double Chance
1X76%1.24
X253%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%2.10
No48%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.9 = 2.20
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.541%2.52
Over 3.524%5.00
Under 1.530%2.50
Under 2.559%1.51
Under 3.576%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.8 = 10.3
Over 8.560%1.71
Over 9.549%2.16
Over 10.537%2.88
Under 8.540%2.02
Under 9.551%1.60
Under 10.563%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.574%1.37
Over 4.556%1.80
Under 3.526%2.70
Under 4.544%1.90
Match Events
7'A. Hausch IND. Blanco out
31'J. RussoFoul
32'F. RomanAssist: C. Perez
40'J. RussoFoul
40'J. RussoFoul
45+1'A. PortilloFoul
46'C. PerezFoul
46'T. Rios INM. Luciano out
67'D. Blanco INJ. Lucco out
67'L. Fernandez INT. Perez out
67'A. Portillo INV. Loza out
68'T. PerezAssist: V. Loza
71'J. Gomez INR. Herrera out
71'F. Guch INM. E. Garcia out
71'I. Ramirez INF. Scarpeccio out
82'D. Barbona INM. Porcel out
83'B. CabreraAssist: M. Ortega
87'M. Ortega INF. Escobar out
90+2'F. RomanFoul
Lineups
Defensa Y JusticiaNewells Old Boys
4-2-3-1Coach: Lucas Bernardi
1M. BorgognoMatías Borgogno
16A. PortilloAyrton Portillo
29D. FernándezDamián Fernández
21D. MartínezDavid Martínez
3F. RománFernando Román
15S. SosaSantiago Sosa
8C. PérezCésar Pérez
17A. HauschAgustín Hausch
19D. BarbonaDavid Barbona
24J. Manuel GutiérrezJuan Manuel Gutiérrez
9L. FernándezLeandro Fernández
30J. ReinattiJosué Reinatti
6M. OrtegaMartín Ortega
25B. CabreraBruno Cabrera
17L. GiannettiLautaro Giannetti
28J. RussoJeronimo Russo
19J. Gómez MattarJerónimo Gómez Mattar
5L. RegiardoLuca Regiardo
7W. MazzanttiWalter Mazzantti
20F. GuchFacundo Guch
39L. RiosLautaro Rios
99J. Ignacio RamírezJuan Ignacio RamírezDefensa Y Justicia Substitutes
27Domingo BlancoM
26Jeremías LuccoF
28Valentín LozaD
7Tomás PérezF
22Maximiliano PorcelM
36Lautaro AmadeG
2Samuel LuceroD
40Máximo RodríguezD
6Ezequiel BurdinD
5Julián LópezM
44Jonás CabreraM
45Thiago MartínezM
Newells Old Boys Substitutes
3Martín LucianoD
26Rodrigo HerreraM
18Mateo GarcíaF
36Francisco ScarpeccioF
24Franco EscobarD
21Gabriel AriasG
2Ian GlavinovichD
8David SoteloM
27Lucas GómezM
10Valentino AcuñaM
15Alan SoñoraM
35Blas BenedettoM
Match Stats
Defensa Y JusticiaNewells Old Boys 58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls10
8Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
446Total Passes305
375Passes Accurate231
84%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
Defensa Y JusticiaNewells Old Boys1645Elo Rating 1617
1.44Attack 1.11
2.13Defense 2.34
54%Hit Rate 31%
12.1Shots per Game 8.3
5.0Shots on Target 3.5
3.2Corners per Game 3.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Defensa Y Justicia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Newells Old Boys- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Defensa Y Justicia 44%Draw 23%34% Newells Old Boys
2.5Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Defensa Y Justicia1W1D3L
01/08/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
Deportivo RiestraDefensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia30
L29/07/2026Defensa Y JusticiaDeportivo Riestra21
W24/07/2026Defensa Y JusticiaAldosivi11
D16/07/2026
Racing ClubDefensa Y Justicia
Racing ClubDefensa Y Justicia10
L04/05/2026
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia21
LNewells Old Boys1W3D1L
02/08/2026Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
IndependienteNewells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors22
D31/07/2026IndependienteNewells Old Boys10
L25/07/2026Newells Old BoysTalleres Cordoba10
W05/05/2026
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys11
D26/04/2026Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba11
DReferee Profile
Alvaro Caranza, Argentina · 5 matches analysed
4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
25.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 44% of referees analysed
League Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | LLWWD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | DDWDD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWDWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | LDWDL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | WWLDL |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | LDDDW |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DDWWW |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | WLLDW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | WDDDD |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | LDDDL |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WDLWD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | LDLLL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LDDDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 22 | WLLDW |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 18 | WDDDD |
| 3 | Gimnasia M. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | +5 | 17 | LDDDL |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:11 | +3 | 17 | DDWDD |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 17 | LDWDL |
| 7 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 8 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | +3 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | +1 | 13 | DDWWW |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 11 | LDDDW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | LDDDD |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | LDDDW |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 8 | DWDLW |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 | WDLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 10 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 10 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Gimnasia M. | 10 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Lanus | 9 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 10 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 7:13 | 8 |
Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
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Key Factors for This Match
Defensa Y Justicia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Defensa Y Justicia and Newells Old Boys have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.