Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Delfin SC
3-2
Finished
HT 2-2
Mushuc Runa SC
Estadio Jocay, Manta·Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Delfin SC Rest
19 days
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
18 days

Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: result, form and history

Delfin SC beat Mushuc Runa SC 3-2 in the Liga Pro on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar averages 4.43 cards a game, 0.89 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.17
X
32%3.05
2
26%3.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
58%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.00
No
52%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.07 = 2.37
Over 1.5
66%1.43
Over 2.5
41%2.37
Over 3.5
22%4.42
Under 1.5
34%2.58
Under 2.5
59%1.54
Under 3.5
78%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'José HernándezFoul
31'Renso TufinoAssist: Tomson Minda
35'Ronny BiojóAssist: Miguel Perea
41'Jefferson ArceAssist: Danny Luna
45'Erick ZunigaAssist: Danny Luna
45+4'Goal cancelledDanny Luna
48'Cristopher AnguloArgument
55'Goal cancelledFranco Ayunta
56'Franco AyuntaDissent
62'Renso Tufino INElian Caicedo out
62'Freddy Mina INJackson Alexander González Simisterra out
63'Arnaldo Zambrano INBryan Corozo out
66'Gerónimo Heredia INLuis Armando Castro Garzón out
66'Jefferson Arce INKevin Ushina out
75'Tomson Minda INLucas Maximiliano·Lemos Mayuncaldi out
75'Nicolás Davila INKevin Peralta out
81'Bryan Hernandez INMaikel Reyes out
87'Maikel ReyesAssist: Luis Armando Castro Garzón
87'Maikel Reyes
90+1'Jonathan Morocho INEmerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio out
90+1'Danny Luna INDarío Aimar out

Lineups

Delfin SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Juan Carlos León
Mushuc Runa SC
4-4-2Coach: P. Vélez
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.10
B. Heras6.321B. Heras
B. Hernández6.177B. Hernández
A. Bedoya6.932A. Bedoya
O. Medina6.75O. Medina
E. Zúñiga7.414E. Zúñiga
G. Heredia6.134G. Heredia
J. Morocho6.418J. Morocho
Jefferson Stalin Arce Mina7.631J. Stalin Arce Mina
Danny Gabriel Luna Morán8.310D. Gabriel Luna Morán
T. Ozaeta6.450T. Ozaeta
F. Ayunta6.09F. Ayunta
R. Formento6.025R. Formento
Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo5.399C. Adonis Angulo Caicedo
Ronny Alfonso Biojo Preciado7.04R. Alfonso Biojo Preciado
F. Carabalí6.030F. Carabalí
M. Hernández4.933M. Hernández
F. Mina6.310F. Mina
A. Zambrano6.18A. Zambrano
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón5.65E. Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
M. Perea7.028M. Perea
R. Tufino7.49R. Tufino
T. Minda6.17T. Minda

Delfin SC Substitutes

78K. Ushiña66'for Jefferson Arce5.9
99Leao Tenorio
11F. Perinciolo
8K. Moreno
70E. Espinoza90+1'for Jonathan Morocho
22J. Cárdenas
23L. Cornejo
55M. Reyes81'for Bryan Hernandez87'87'6.8
16L. Castro66'for Gerónimo Heredia6.3
39Edison Caicedo Peralta Eber
51C. Banguero
3D. Aimar90+1'for Danny Luna

Mushuc Runa SC Substitutes

61J. Caicedo
14E. Caicedo62'for Renso Tufino6.4
19B. Corozo63'for Arnaldo Zambrano5.7
50J. Cusme
2J. Flor
18J. Gonzalez62'for Freddy Mina6.2
52D. Merino
23L. Lemos75'for Tomson Minda5.8
42W. Pabón
26K. Peralta75'for Nicolás Davila5.9
37J. Quiñones
57Aldair Fransua Folleco Leon

Match Stats

Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
70%Ball Possession30%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls11
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
466Total Passes194
377Passes Accurate117
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Delfin SCDelfin SC
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1468Elo Rating 1486
1.95Attack 1.23
0.91Defense 1.21
56%Hit Rate 0%
13.7Shots per Game 11.2
3.9Shots on Target 3.3
5.0Corners per Game 5.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Delfin SCDelfin SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Delfin SCDelfin SC5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro28/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
10
Liga Pro03/05/2026
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
10
Liga Pro16/06/2025
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
31
Liga Pro18/02/2025
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
20
Liga Pro08/11/2024
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
42
Liga Pro19/05/2024
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
50
Liga Pro16/09/2023
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
20
Liga Pro16/04/2023
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
30
Liga Pro25/09/2022
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
00
Liga Pro09/04/2022
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
12

Recent Form

Delfin SCDelfin SC
3W3D4L
20/09/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SC
11
D
17/09/2026
LDU PortoviejoDelfin SC
02
W
14/09/2026
Barcelona SCDelfin SC
11
D
06/09/2026
Delfin SCUniversidad Catolica
01
L
01/09/2026
Delfin SCTecnico Universitario
10
W
28/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
10
L
23/08/2026
Delfin SCAucas
01
L
20/08/2026
Cde Juventud ItalianaDelfin SC
01
W
15/08/2026
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
32
L
09/08/2026
Delfin SCOrense SC
11
D
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
3W5D2L
20/09/2026
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
11
D
12/09/2026
Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SC
31
L
08/09/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLeones del Norte
11
D
02/09/2026
LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SC
00
D
28/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
10
W
22/08/2026
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
00
D
16/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC
00
D
10/08/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
03
W
01/08/2026
Manta FCMushuc Runa SC
12
W
27/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLibertad
02
L

Referee Profile

Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar174 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar4.43
Other referees5.32

4.43 cards a match, 0.89 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DLLDD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744LLDDW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338DLDLD
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LLDWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca341281430:39-944WWDDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC339131139:43-440DLDLD
13Orense SCOrense SC341081642:50-838WDDLL
14Delfin SCDelfin SC34981727:40-1335LWWDD
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario331032030:46-1633LLDWL
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3430:3944
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3339:4340
13Orense SCOrense SC3442:5038
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3427:4035
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3330:4633
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

About the Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Mushuc Runa SC are 11th and Delfin SC 15th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Delfin SC 19-31, Mushuc Runa SC 35-38. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.