Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC Prediction

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito·Russell Macario Teran Leon, Ecuador 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
Independiente del Valle Rest
7 days
Delfin SC Rest
5 days

Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC: result, form and history

Independiente del Valle beat Delfin SC 3-2 in the Liga Pro on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Independiente del Valle had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Delfin SC.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Russell Macario Teran Leon averages 4.29 cards a game, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.18
X
15%6.03
2
7%13.00
Double Chance
1X
93%1.03
X2
22%4.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.30
No
53%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.19 + 0.64 = 2.83
Over 1.5
77%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.60
Over 3.5
32%2.50
Under 1.5
23%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
68%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'H. QuintanaAssist: R. Briones
23'A. A. Cisneros MontenegroOG
45'F. AyuntaAssist: J. Morocho
45+4'C. GonzalezAssist: J. Angulo
46'H. Quintana INJ. Sornoza out
46'A. Alvarez ING. Heredia out
46'B. Hernandez INC. Banguera out
46'E. Pata INA. Rodriguez out
50'C. Gonzalez IND. Reasco out
60'D. Luna INJ. Arce out
63'J. Alcivar INJ. Mendez out
67'J. ArceAssist: J. Morocho
74'J. MorochoFoul
75'J. Angulo INM. Perello out
80'D. A. Romero PadillaUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'T. OzaetaUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'T. Ozaeta INF. Perinciolo out
90+4'J. SornozaDelay of game

Lineups

Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1Coach: Joaquin Papa
Delfin SC
4-4-2Coach: Juan Leon
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.67
Aldair Quintana6.21A. Quintana
Daykol Romero6.513D. Romero
Andy Velasco8.033A. Velasco
Juan Viacava7.023J. Viacava
Layan Loor7.019L. Loor
Jordy AlcivarC7.76J. Alcivar
Juan Riquelme Angulo7.050J. Riquelme Angulo
Hugo Quintana8.028H. Quintana
Ronald Briones6.916R. Briones
Emerson Pata6.231E. Pata
Carlos González7.69C. González
Brian HerasC7.921B. Heras
Bryan Hernández5.977B. Hernández
Ober Medina6.65O. Medina
Ayrton Cisneros5.333A. Cisneros
Erick Zúñiga6.214E. Zúñiga
Kevin Ushiña6.378K. Ushiña
Anthony Alvarez6.57A. Alvarez
Jonathan Morocho7.218J. Morocho
Thiago Ozaeta6.350T. Ozaeta
Danny Luna6.910D. Luna
Franco Ayunta7.59F. Ayunta

Independiente del Valle Substitutes

10Junior Sornoza46'for H. Quintana90+4'7.5
17Arón Rodríguez46'for E. Pata7.2
99Djorkaeff Reasco50'for C. Gonzalez5.5
32Jhegson Méndez63'for J. Alcivar6.9
11Matías Perello75'for J. Angulo6.3
70Miguel Peralta
14Mateo Carabajal
4Jhon Espinoza
5Richard Schunke
15Gustavo Cortez
8Youri Ochoa
56Edwin Quintero

Delfin SC Substitutes

51Carlos Carreno46'for B. Hernandez6.9
34Gerónimo Heredia46'replaced by A. Alvarez6.7
31Jefferson Arce60'for D. Luna67'7.3
11Franco Perinciolo83'for T. Ozaeta6.6
22José Cárdenas
3Darío Aimar
16Luis Castro
27Erik Yepez
99Leao Tenorio
39Eber Caicedo
20Iván Molano

Match Stats

Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
71%Ball Possession29%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots7
10Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
5Fouls7
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
600Total Passes238
561Passes Accurate180
94%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Delfin SCDelfin SC
1812Elo Rating 1475
1.58Attack 1.25
2.86Defense 0.70
69%Hit Rate 37%
15.6Shots per Game 13.3
5.5Shots on Target 3.1
5.8Corners per Game 4.8
0.8Cards per Game 4.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+337 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
Delfin SCDelfin SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Delfin SCDelfin SC2Wins · 20%
1.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro22/04/2026
Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle
01
Liga Pro28/09/2025
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
00
Liga Pro31/05/2025
Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle
11
Liga Pro03/08/2024
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
12
Liga Pro02/03/2024
Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle
01
Liga Pro02/09/2023
Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle
10
Liga Pro09/04/2023
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
30
Liga Pro11/09/2022
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
20
Liga Pro24/04/2022
Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle
01
Liga Pro23/08/2021
Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle
00

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Russell Macario Teran Leon30 matches

4.29Cards per match
3.93Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Russell Macario Teran Leon4.29
Other referees4.80

4.29 cards a match, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle35273581:37+4484WWDLW
2MacaraMacara36207952:37+1567DWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3614121056:35+2154DLDWL
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito361591238:32+654DLLDW
5AucasAucas361591240:42-254LWLDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3512131039:32+749DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3581:3784
2MacaraMacara3652:3767
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3656:3554
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3638:3254
5AucasAucas3640:4254
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3539:3249

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca361381533:42-947WLWWD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3610131343:50-743WLLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC361091743:53-1039LDWDD
14Delfin SCDelfin SC361081831:43-1238LWLWW
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario361142135:49-1437LDWLL
16Manta FCManta FC36962127:52-2533WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3633:4247
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3643:5043
13Orense SCOrense SC3643:5339
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3631:4338
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3635:4937
16Manta FCManta FC3627:5233
PromotionRelegation

About the Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independiente del Valle and Delfin SC in the Liga Pro table

The table shows a wide gap: Independiente del Valle are 1st in the Liga Pro, while Delfin SC sit 15th, 46 points behind. League goal record so far: Independiente del Valle 73-33, Delfin SC 19-31. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.