Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Derry City
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
CSKA Sofia
Brandywell Stadium, Derry· Jasmin Sabotic, Luxembourg 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+6.0%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel38%RiskHighGap+12.7%
Derry City Rest
6 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.63
X
19%3.76
2
44%1.85
Double Chance
1X
56%1.86
X2
63%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.59
No
53%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.12 = 2.45
Over 1.5
71%1.20
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
23%2.69
Under 1.5
29%4.00
Under 2.5
54%2.10
Under 3.5
77%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'K. Santos INN. Twisk out
46'A. MartinoTripping
47'E. ChapmanAssist: B. Fleming
58'L. Godoy INJ. Zwarts out
58'P. Panayotov INJ. Eto'o out
64'T. IvanovFoul
66'I. Solet INJ. Gbamin out
66'E. Chapman INJ. Clarke out
67'C. GroganRoughing
75'I. PittasAssist: D. Evtimov
77'C. Grogan INJ. Stott out
77'J. Olayinka INC. Dummigan out
82'F. RodriguezFoul
90+13'S. SensiTripping
90+16'I. Pittas INM. Brahimi out
90+18'B. CotterOG

Lineups

Derry City
4-3-3Coach: Tiernan Lynch
CSKA Sofia
3-5-2Coach: Hristo Yanev
Brian Maher1B. MaherBrian Maher
Conor Barr22C. BarrConor Barr
Christy Grogan25C. GroganChristy Grogan
Patrick McClean3P. McCleanPatrick McClean
Brandon Fleming19B. FlemingBrandon Fleming
Adam O'Reilly8A. O'ReillyAdam O'Reilly
James Olayinka28J. OlayinkaJames Olayinka
Ellis Chapman14E. ChapmanEllis Chapman
Barry Cotter2B. CotterBarry Cotter
Michael Duffy7M. DuffyMichael Duffy
Kévin Santos21K. SantosKévin Santos
Dimitar Evtimov25D. EvtimovDimitar Evtimov
Teodor Ivanov14T. IvanovTeodor Ivanov
Petko Panayotov30P. PanayotovPetko Panayotov
Facundo Rodríguez32F. RodríguezFacundo Rodríguez
Pastor2PastorPastor
Isaac Solet94I. SoletIsaac Solet
Bruno Jordão6B. JordãoBruno Jordão
Stefano Sensi8S. SensiStefano Sensi
Ángelo Martino17Á. MartinoÁngelo Martino
Ioannis Pittas28I. PittasIoannis Pittas
Leandro Godoy9L. GodoyLeandro Godoy

Derry City Substitutes

26Shea CallisterG
13Tom NorcottG
4Jamie StottD
6Robert SlevinD
23Cameron DummiganD
15James ClarkeM
16James McCleanM
17Nick TwiskM
35Liam KellyM
32Terence DohertyF

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

31Daniel NikolovG
91Aleks TunchevD
5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
19Andrey YordanovD
3Tamimou OuorouD
34Vasil KaymakanovM
11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
38Léo PereiraM
77Alejandro PiedrahitaM
80Georgi ChorbadzhiyskiM
99James Eto'oM
10Joël ZwartsF

Match Stats

Derry CityCSKA Sofia
1Yellow Cards4

Team Comparison

Derry CityDerry City
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1591Elo Rating 1679
2.47Attack 2.69
0.87Defense 1.63
42%Hit Rate 66%
14.3Shots per Game 21.2
4.9Shots on Target 8.6
4.2Corners per Game 6.5
3.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Derry CityDerry City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Derry City 0%Draw 0%100% CSKA Sofia
5Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
3W0D2L
09/07/2026
CSKA SofiaDerry City
32
W
03/07/2026
CSKA SofiaMarek
30
W
24/06/2026
CSKA SofiaPolessya
04
L
25/05/2026
LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
10
L
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
W

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Derry City and CSKA Sofia have met 1 times recently, averaging 5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.