Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos Prediction

Dinamo Tirana
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Pafos
Elbasan Arena, Elbasan·Lawrence Visser, Belgium 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap+7.7%
Dinamo Tirana Rest
7 days
Pafos Rest
7 days

Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos: the result in context

Dinamo Tirana and Pafos drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20 Aug 2026. Dinamo Tirana had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Pafos.

Referee Lawrence Visser averages 4.86 cards a game, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.90
X
25%3.30
2
43%1.93
Double Chance
1X
57%1.82
X2
68%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.90
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.95 + 1.54 = 2.49
Over 1.5
75%1.36
Over 2.5
50%2.12
Over 3.5
27%3.80
Under 1.5
25%3.00
Under 2.5
50%1.68
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.5
51%1.52
Over 9.5
43%1.87
Over 10.5
31%2.38
Under 8.5
49%2.33
Under 9.5
57%1.84
Under 10.5
69%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.5
64%1.57
Over 4.5
49%1.98
Under 3.5
36%2.22
Under 4.5
51%1.77

Match Events

19'Lelê
30'Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji
38'David Luiz(Penalty missed)
39'Domingos Quina
46'David Luiz INS. Mmaee out
57'I. Sunjic INGuga out
57'D. Quina INA. Brito out
57'N. Moumi Ngamaleu INJ. Correia out
76'M. Ayodeji INA. Alhassan out
76'E. Qardaku IND. Metaj out
76'K. Qefalija INI. Manellari out
76'H. Berisha IND. Fadairo out
79'D. FadairoAssist: A. Alhassan
81'Aldo Teqja
81'Bruno Dita
82'Lele(Penalty)
85'Lorenco Vila
88'Lele INAnderson Silva out
90'U. Ismaili INB. Aniekan James out

Lineups

Dinamo Tirana
4-3-3Coach: Ilir Daja
Pafos
4-3-3Coach: Ricardo Sa Pinto
A. Teqja77A. Teqja
U. Ismaili2U. Ismaili
B. Dita22B. Dita
N. Aliji27N. Aliji
F. Perndreca13F. Perndreca
M. Ayodeji20M. Ayodeji
L. Vila10L. Vila
K. Qefalija21K. Qefalija
H. Berisha29H. Berisha
R. Silva-Richards11R. Silva-Richards
E. Qardaku8E. Qardaku
R. Majecki99R. Majecki
Bruno7Bruno
D. Goldar5D. Goldar
David Luiz4D. Luiz
N. Ioannou14N. Ioannou
Pepe88Pepe
I. Sunjic26I. Sunjic
D. Quina8D. Quina
N. Moumi Ngamaleu13N. Moumi Ngamaleu
Lele18Lele
Biel20Biel

Dinamo Tirana Substitutes

1E. Sali
97T. Kiri
5E. Hoxhallari
6A. Alhassan76'for M. Ayodeji
7A. Ajzeraj
16N. Bleta
18D. Metaj76'for E. Qardaku
24F. Farruku
28I. Manellari76'for K. Qefalija
33D. Fadairo76'for H. Berisha79'
45B. Aniekan James90'for U. Ismaili
88F. Ruci

Pafos Substitutes

71M. Papastylianou
82P. Petrou
3S. Mmaee46'for David Luiz
6Guga57'for I. Sunjic
12K. Sema
33Anderson Silva88'for Lele
42G. Michael
50A. Brito57'for D. Quina
60C. Efzona
61M. Kais
72K. Ioannou
77J. Correia57'for N. Moumi Ngamaleu

Match Stats

Dinamo TiranaPafos
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards2
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal6
4Blocked Shots1
14Fouls12
1Offsides4

Team Comparison

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana
PafosPafos
1590Elo Rating 1649
1.16Attack 0.89
1.56Defense 1.57
19%Hit Rate 0%
-Shots per Game 12.2
-Shots on Target 5.7
-Corners per Game 5.3
-Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
PafosPafos
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana
5W1D4L
13/08/2026
Dinamo TiranaAuda
40
W
04/08/2026
AudaDinamo Tirana
10
L
30/07/2026
Dinamo TiranaAluminij
30
W
23/07/2026
AluminijDinamo Tirana
11
D
16/07/2026
FC AstanaDinamo Tirana
1142
W
09/07/2026
Dinamo TiranaFC Astana
01
L
23/06/2026
SileksDinamo Tirana
12
W
31/05/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëDinamo Tirana
20
L
24/05/2026
AF ElbasaniDinamo Tirana
30
L
16/05/2026
Vllaznia ShkodërDinamo Tirana
02
W
PafosPafos
4W2D4L
13/08/2026
PafosRed Bull Salzburg
33
D
06/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgPafos
10
L
30/07/2026
PafosHNK Hajduk Split
4200
W
23/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitPafos
20
L
16/07/2026
Slovan BratislavaPafos
32
L
12/07/2026
JagielloniaPafos
10
L
08/07/2026
FK JablonecPafos
00
D
03/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowPafos
12
W
29/05/2026
Apollon LimassolPafos
02
W
22/05/2026
PafosApoel Nicosia
20
W

Referee Profile

Lawrence Visser216 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.57Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lawrence Visser4.86
Other referees4.23

4.86 cards a match, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 184 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano330011:4+79WWW
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos33009:3+69WWW
3TwenteTwente33008:2+69WWW
4MonacoMonaco33007:1+69WWW
5BrightonBrighton32105:0+57WDW
6BrannBrann32107:3+47DWW
7FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen32107:3+47WDW
8Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova32106:2+47WWD
9Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF32105:1+47WDW
10St. TruidenSt. Truiden32104:1+37DWW
11AjaxAjax32019:3+66WWL
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32016:3+36LWW
13HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split32013:2+16LWW
14SC FreiburgSC Freiburg32014:5-16WLW
15FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda31116:604WDL
16AtalantaAtalanta31114:404DLW
17SC BragaSC Braga31112:3-14DWL
18GentGent31111:2-14DLW
19RigaRiga30303:303DDD
20FC ThunFC Thun31023:303WLL
21Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka31023:4-13LWL
22Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC31023:6-33WLL
23FK JablonecFK Jablonec30213:4-12DDL
24AarhusAarhus30211:2-12DDL
25FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland30213:5-22LDD
26Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë30212:4-22LDD
27Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30213:7-42DLD
28CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia30124:6-21LDL
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199930122:5-31LDL
30PafosPafos30123:7-41LDL
31GetafeGetafe30123:7-41LLD
32Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian30122:6-41LLD
33KuPSKuPS30122:6-41DLL
34FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland30122:8-61LLD
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes30032:7-50LLL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris30031:11-100LLL
Conference League

About the Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos forecast

As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dinamo Tirana and Pafos have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.