Motherwell vs SC Freiburg Prediction
World · Play-offs
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.51
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseHighGap+10.8%
Motherwell Rest
4 days
SC Freiburg Rest
5 days
Motherwell vs SC Freiburg: result, form and history
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 3-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Freiburg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Motherwell.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
118%5.33
X25%4.25
257%1.54
Double Chance
1X43%2.40
X282%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%1.70
No54%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.94 + 1.57 = 2.51
Over 1.577%1.17
Over 2.554%1.57
Over 3.529%2.47
Under 1.523%4.55
Under 2.546%2.30
Under 3.571%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.7 = 9.3
Over 8.541%1.59
Over 9.530%1.96
Over 10.521%2.52
Under 8.559%2.18
Under 9.570%1.75
Under 10.579%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.523%2.02
Over 4.514%2.92
Under 3.577%1.67
Under 4.586%1.29
Match Events
2'R. Charles-CookAssist: E. Longelo
21'Joe HodgeFoul
28'M. GinterAssist: I. Matanovic
39'Lukas FadingerFoul
46'R. Charles-Cook INS. Palmer-Houlden out
59'Jan-Niklas BesteFoul
61'Card upgradeMartin Moormann
65'Martin MoormannProfessional foul (last man)
65'M. Ginter(Penalty)
67'Alex LowryFoul
71'A. Lowry INE. Wilson out
71'T. Maswanhise INW. Vogt out
74'Y. Suzuki INV. Grifo out
74'J. Beste INC. Irie out
78'J. Girdwood-Reich INS. O'Donnell out
78'J. Hodge INO. Whyte out
80'M. Rosenfelder INP. Lienhart out
80'I. Matanovic INK. Goto out
90'D. Scherhant INB. Yilmaz out
90'K. GotoAssist: V. Grifo
Lineups
MotherwellSC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian SchusterAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Paulsen
3J. Girdwood-Reich
4J. Knight-Lebel
5M. Moormann
45E. Longelo
11A. Lowry
C8L. Fadinger
71J. Hodge
18T. Maswanhise
17R. Charles-Cook
19I. Said
1M. Backhaus
29P. Treu
28M. Ginter
37M. Rosenfelder
33J. Makengo
C8M. Eggestein
16Y. Engelhardt
19J. Beste
14Y. Suzuki
7D. Scherhant
31I. MatanovicMotherwell Substitutes
21Matty Connelly
31J. McConnell
23E. Wilson71'for A. Lowry
2S. O'Donnell78'for J. Girdwood-Reich
25O. Whyte78'for J. Hodge
27M. Booth
29Z. McAllister
34A. Thomson
35B. Watson
24L. Ross
77W. Vogt71'for T. Maswanhise
47S. Palmer-Houlden46'for R. Charles-Cook
SC Freiburg Substitutes
21F. Muller
24J. Huth
17L. Kubler
43B. Ogbus
30C. Gunter
5A. Jung
3P. Lienhart80'for M. Rosenfelder
27B. Yilmaz90'for D. Scherhant
32V. Grifo74'for Y. Suzuki
6P. Osterhage
42K. Goto80'for I. Matanovic90'
22C. Irie74'for J. Beste
Match Stats
MotherwellSC Freiburg 40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots26
1Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal8
2Shots Inside Box17
2Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots8
14Fouls15
1Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves0
384Total Passes566
305Passes Accurate509
79%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
MotherwellSC Freiburg1552Elo Rating 1879
1.06Attack 1.48
1.37Defense 1.46
27%Hit Rate 69%
13.9Shots per Game 13.2
5.0Shots on Target 3.2
5.4Corners per Game 5.3
2.3Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Motherwell- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
SC Freiburg- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Motherwell5W2D3L
16/08/2026
StenhousemuirMotherwell
13/08/2026StenhousemuirMotherwell1000
LMotherwell
HJK Helsinki20
W09/08/2026Motherwell
Falkirk00
D06/08/2026HJK HelsinkiMotherwell11
D02/08/2026
HibernianMotherwell12
W30/07/2026
HB TorshavnMotherwell03
W23/07/2026MotherwellHB Torshavn
MotherwellHB Torshavn20
W17/07/2026Motherwell
Genk
MotherwellGenk34
L05/07/2026
AarhusMotherwell
AarhusMotherwell40
L16/05/2026HibernianMotherwell
HibernianMotherwell01
WSC Freiburg5W1D4L
15/08/2026SC Freiburg
Crystal Palace
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace20
W08/08/2026SC Freiburg
Strasbourg
SC FreiburgStrasbourg20
W24/07/2026SC Freiburg
Derby
SC FreiburgDerby31
W20/05/2026SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
SC FreiburgAston Villa03
L16/05/2026SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig41
W10/05/2026
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg32
L07/05/2026SC Freiburg
SC Braga
SC FreiburgSC Braga31
W03/05/2026SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg11
D30/04/2026SC BragaSC Freiburg
SC BragaSC Freiburg21
L26/04/2026
Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg
Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg40
LReferee Profile
4.27Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.27 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).
Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne
Brighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
Pafos
Getafe
Tromso
HNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabag
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FF
Twente
FC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC BragaHibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol KostanayHJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea Cluj
Brann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
Aluminij
Vojvodina
Ajax
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
Paks
Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Borac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ Cherkasy
Gent
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS KatowiceMotherwellHB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 | WDW |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | WWD |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 | WLW |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 24 | Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 | DLD |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | FC Thun | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Aarhus | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Motherwell Predictions
- SC Freiburg Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Motherwell vs SC Freiburg forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Motherwell and SC Freiburg have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.