HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction
World · Play-offs
Stadion Poljud, Split· Michal Očenáš, Slovakia 20/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25SignalSOLIDModel59%RiskMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.04SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+13.3%
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
4 days
Raków Częstochowa Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%2.04
X24%3.25
221%3.62
Double Chance
1X79%1.25
X244%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.83
No50%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.14 = 2.89
Over 1.575%1.33
Over 2.553%2.08
Over 3.530%3.60
Under 1.525%3.00
Under 2.547%1.71
Under 3.570%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.5 = 9.4
Over 8.542%1.72
Over 9.530%2.19
Over 10.523%2.90
Under 8.558%2.00
Under 9.570%1.59
Under 10.577%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.540%1.61
Over 4.530%2.15
Under 3.560%2.19
Under 4.570%1.60
Match Events
21'M. SegoAssist: A. Sanyang
27'M. EmreliAssist: E. Otieno
31'Erick OtienoFoul
34'Šimun HrgovićFoul
46'S. Svarnas IND. G. Debohi out
47'D. de AlmeidaAssist: M. Soticek
55'Adrion PajazitiViolent conduct
58'E. Otieno INJ. C. Silva out
58'O. Kwiatkowski INT. Pienko out
61'M. Soticek INA. del Moral out
62'Dalisson de AlmeidaFoul
67'F. Tudor INA. Brorsson out
68'A. Sanyang INA. Sutalo out
68'D. de Almeida IND. Melnjak out
74'V. Kochergin INI. Brusberg out
76'M. Sego INM. Livaja out
77'S. Hrgovic INA. Van Hoorenbeeck out
80'Alberto del MoralFoul
81'Tomasz PieńkoFoul
90+4'Rokas PukštasFoul
90'L. Diaby-FadigaAssist: I. Brusberg
Lineups
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa
3-4-3Coach: Dawid Kroczek
33T. SilicT. Silic
8N. SigurN. Sigur
15D. MaresicD. Maresic
14R. RaciR. Raci
32S. HrgovicS. Hrgovic
4A. PajazitiA. Pajaziti
21R. PukstasR. Pukstas
7A. SanyangA. Sanyang
9D. de AlmeidaD. de Almeida
23M. SoticekM. Soticek
11M. SegoM. Sego
1K. TrelowskiK. Trelowski
7F. TudorF. Tudor
25B. RacovitanB. Racovitan
4S. SvarnasS. Svarnas
19M. AmeyawM. Ameyaw
6O. RepkaO. Repka
10V. KocherginV. Kochergin
26E. OtienoE. Otieno
80L. Diaby-FadigaL. Diaby-Fadiga
11M. EmreliM. Emreli
15O. KwiatkowskiO. KwiatkowskiHNK Hajduk Split Substitutes
1I. IvusicG
44D. StipicaG
3R. GabricD
5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
10M. LivajaF
16A. SutaloM
17D. MelnjakD
19E. BrrutiM
20A. del MoralM
26A. GuramM
36M. SkelinD
38L. HodakD
Raków Częstochowa Substitutes
29W. ZolneczkoG
71T. KaricG
2J. NapierajM
3A. BrorssonD
17J. JendrykaM
20J. C. SilvaM
21T. PienkoM
23K. StruskiM
39I. BrusbergM
77D. G. Debohi
88A. Molnar
Match Stats
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa 60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
2Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal5
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls9
2Offsides1
Team Comparison
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa1738Elo Rating 1589
2.12Attack 1.35
2.72Defense 1.00
86%Hit Rate 27%
15.9Shots per Game 13.1
5.4Shots on Target 4.1
5.1Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+149 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
HNK Hajduk Split- Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Raków Częstochowa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Recent Form
HNK Hajduk Split3W1D1L
Raków Częstochowa2W1D2L
16/08/2026
Cracovia KrakowRaków Częstochowa
13/08/2026Cracovia KrakowRaków Częstochowa21
L
Hammarby FFRaków Częstochowa01
W06/08/2026Raków CzęstochowaHammarby FF00
D02/08/2026
Slask WroclawRaków Częstochowa21
L30/07/2026
Valletta FCRaków Częstochowa
Valletta FCRaków Częstochowa04
WReferee Profile
Michal Očenáš, Slovakia · 4 matches analysed
4.2Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 44% of referees analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 2 |  Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 3 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 4 |  Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 5 |  SC Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 6 |  Brann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 7 |  Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 8 |  FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 9 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 10 |  CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 11 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 12 |  SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 13 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 14 |  Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 15 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 16 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 17 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 18 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 19 |  FK Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 20 |  Kairat Almaty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 21 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 22 |  KuPS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 23 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 24 |  FC Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 26 |  Mjallby AIF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 27 |  Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 28 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 29 |  Pafos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 30 |  Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 31 |  Riga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 32 |  St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 33 |  FC Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 34 |  Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 35 |  Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 36 |  Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aarhus | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ajax | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Braga | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Brann | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Brighton | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Gent | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Getafe | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | FK Jablonec | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Kairat Almaty | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | KuPS | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | FC Lugano | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Mjallby AIF | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | Monaco | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | Pafos | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 30 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 31 | Riga | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 32 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 33 | FC Thun | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 34 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 35 | Twente | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 36 | Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonacoSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hradec KrálovéAtalanta
RangersHeart Of Midlothian
Shamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafos
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. GallenHammarby FFInter Club d'Escaldes
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar JerusalemRaków CzęstochowaValletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC Nordsjaelland
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Universitatea ClujBrann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
PaksPanathinaikos
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
Aluminij
VojvodinaAjax
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
DukagjiniBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenHammarby FFInter Club d'EscaldesDynamo KyivQarabagTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosHNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa Conference League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
HNK Hajduk Split have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. HNK Hajduk Split and Raków Częstochowa have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.