Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Prediction

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands · Regular Season - 5

Almere City FC

0-1

Finished

HT 0-0

Jong Ajax

Yanmar Stadion, Almere·C. Ruperti 04/09/2026

Almere City FC

0-1

Finished

Jong Ajax

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

3.6 / 10

AI Best Pick

73%Trust

1X2

Home Win

1.45

SignalGOODModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%

Almere City FC Rest

6 days

Jong Ajax Rest

4 days

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax: result, form and history

Jong Ajax beat Almere City FC 1-0 in the Eerste Divisie on 4 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Almere City FC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Jong Ajax.

Almere City FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result

76%1.45

18%4.85

6%5.20

Double Chance

94%1.13

24%2.58

Both Teams to Score

Yes

60%1.36

40%2.86

Goals

Projected Goals: 2.33 + 0.99 = 3.32

Over 1.5

82%1.06

Over 2.5

60%1.25

Over 3.5

38%1.67

Under 1.5

18%7.80

Under 2.5

40%3.63

Under 3.5

62%2.15

Corners

Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.1 = 10.6

Over 8.5

69%1.25

Over 9.5

57%1.45

Over 10.5

46%1.75

Under 8.5

31%3.34

Under 9.5

43%2.50

Under 10.5

54%1.98

Cards

Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.8 = 2.9

Over 3.5

34%-

Over 4.5

17%-

Under 3.5

66%-

Under 4.5

83%-

Match Events

15'Ferdy Druijf(Penalty missed)

45+3'Mark Verkuijl INTijn Peters out

49'Mohamed Jabou Abdalla INLevi Acheampong out

60'Mees Hoedemakers INMilan de Haan out

60'Teun Bijleveld INJereno van Gom out

60'Marley Dors INByron Burgering out

68'H. el Dahri INJamie Jacobs out

73'Jano MonserrateAssist: Pharell Nash

75'emre unuvar INJeshurun Simeon out

75'Jano Monserrate INJinairo Johnson out

75'Damian van Bruggen INMartin Jean Wasinski out

75'Diego PugnoFoul

81'James Lawrence INBas Huisman out

82'Emanuel Poku

82'Pharell Nash INAnass Moumane out

84'Marvyn MuzunguDissent

90'Levi AcheampongArgument

90'Milan de HaanArgument

Lineups

Almere City FC

4-2-3-1Coach: Anoush Dastgir

Jong Ajax

4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos García

Avg rating6.41

Avg rating6.86

5.91W. Speel

6.33J. Jacobs

6.644D. van Bruggen

7.04J. Lawrence

5.95T. Bijleveld

6.214M. Hoedemakers

6.16E. Cornelisse

6.317E. Poku

6.521H. El Dahri

7.111M. Dors

6.29F. Druijf

7.71J. Heerkens

7.52R. van de Pavert

7.13G. Spina

6.64M. Muzungu

6.35S. de Falco

7.06M. Verkuijl

6.57E. Ünüvar

7.910A. Monserrate

6.48M. Abdalla

7.711P. Nash

6.39D. Pugno

Almere City FC Substitutes

10J. Jacobs68'for H. el Dahri6.4

18Bas Huisman81'for James Lawrence6.4

25I. Ghogli

7B. Burgering60'for Marley Dors6.7

20J. Kalisvaart

24M. Mateyo

2M. Wasinski75'for Damian van Bruggen6.7

8M. de Haan60'for Mees Hoedemakers90'6.8

19Olivier de Nijs

30J. van der Wilt

33J. van Gom60'for Teun Bijleveld6.0

Jong Ajax Substitutes

16L. Frankel

18Jinairo Johnson75'for Jano Monserrate6.5

21T. Peters45+3'for Mark Verkuijl7.2

12C. Setford

17M. van der Lans

19F. Zahouani

20A. Camara

22L. Acheampong49'for Mohamed Jabou Abdalla90'6.3

25A. Moumane82'for Pharell Nash6.1

23J. Simeon75'for emre unuvar6.6

24P. Da Silva

30A. Hani

Match Stats

Almere City FCJong Ajax

42%Ball Possession58%

10Corner Kicks4

2Yellow Cards3

25Total Shots15

5Shots on Goal4

15Shots off Goal2

17Shots Inside Box9

8Shots Outside Box6

5Blocked Shots9

12Fouls15

3Offsides0

3Goalkeeper Saves4

299Total Passes453

216Passes Accurate368

13Free Kicks11

Almere City FC

Jong Ajax

1620Elo Rating 1433

1.80Attack 1.41

1.31Defense 0.53

36%Hit Rate 23%

17.0Shots per Game 18.4

6.4Shots on Target 6.8

4.2Corners per Game 4.9

0.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+187 Elo

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.32 goals

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Almere City FC

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Jong Ajax

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Almere City FC6Wins · 75%

Draws00%

Jong Ajax

2Wins · 25%

3.8Avg Goals

63%Both teams scored5 of 8

63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

20/03/2026

Jong Ajax

Almere City FC

05/12/2025

Almere City FC

Jong Ajax

17/03/2023

Jong Ajax

Almere City FC

14/10/2022

Almere City FC

Jong Ajax

21/02/2022

Jong Ajax

Almere City FC

17/09/2021

Almere City FC

Jong Ajax

30/04/2021

Almere City FC

Jong Ajax

30/10/2020

Jong Ajax

Almere City FC

Recent Form

29/08/2026

De Graafschap

Almere City FC

21/08/2026

Vitesse

Almere City FC

14/08/2026

Almere City FC

Jong PSV U21

08/08/2026

Den Bosch

Almere City FC

01/08/2026

Emmen

Almere City FC

25/07/2026

Almere City FC

FC OSS

15/07/2026

Almere City FC

FC Volendam

11/07/2026

AZ Alkmaar

Almere City FC

08/07/2026

GO Ahead Eagles

Almere City FC

04/07/2026

Almere City FC

Telstar

31/08/2026

Jong PSV U21

Jong Ajax

28/08/2026

Jong Ajax

Helmond Sport

22/08/2026

NAC Breda

Jong Ajax

17/08/2026

Jong Ajax

Emmen

07/08/2026

Dordrecht

Jong Ajax

17/07/2026

Jong AZ

Jong Ajax

24/04/2026

Jong Ajax

Jong Utrecht

17/04/2026

Jong PSV U21

Jong Ajax

13/04/2026

Jong Ajax

FC OSS

06/04/2026

Vitesse

Jong Ajax

Referee Profile

C. Ruperti129 matches

2.97Cards per match

2.87Yellow cards per match

0.10Red cards per match

22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Ruperti2.97

Other referees3.29

2.97 cards a match, 0.32 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.29).

Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37:14	+23	29	DWWDW
2	VVV Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	+14	25	WDWWL
3	Emmen	12	8	1	3	26:19	+7	25	WWWDW
4	Almere City FC	12	7	1	4	25:12	+13	22	LLWWL
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22	WWDLW
6	NAC Breda	12	6	3	3	23:20	+3	21	DWWDW
7	FC Volendam	12	6	1	5	29:20	+9	19	WDWLW
8	Jong AZ	12	5	2	5	31:26	+5	17	WDLWD
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17	LWLDL
10	MVV	12	5	2	5	16:27	-11	17	DLLLW
11	Waalwijk	12	3	7	2	21:17	+4	16	DDLDL
12	Jong PSV U21	12	4	4	4	17:19	-2	16	WLDLD
13	Den Bosch	12	4	3	5	18:21	-3	15	DWWDL
14	FC OSS	12	4	1	7	19:20	-1	13	DLWWL
15	Jong Ajax	12	3	3	6	18:29	-11	12	DWLDL
16	De Graafschap	12	3	3	6	15:26	-11	12	DLWDW
17	FC Eindhoven	12	3	2	7	16:25	-9	11	LLLDL
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11	LWLDW
19	Helmond Sport	12	2	3	7	20:26	-6	9	LLLDL
20	Jong Utrecht	12	2	1	9	19:31	-12	7	LLLLW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Heracles	12	37:14	29
2	VVV Venlo	12	34:20	25
3	Emmen	12	26:19	25
4	Almere City FC	12	25:12	22
5	Roda	12	15:11	22
6	NAC Breda	12	23:20	21
7	FC Volendam	12	29:20	19
8	Jong AZ	12	31:26	17
9	Vitesse	12	16:17	17
10	MVV	12	16:27	17
11	Waalwijk	12	21:17	16
12	Jong PSV U21	12	17:19	16
13	Den Bosch	12	18:21	15
14	FC OSS	12	19:20	13
15	Jong Ajax	12	18:29	12
16	De Graafschap	12	15:26	12
17	FC Eindhoven	12	16:25	11
18	Dordrecht	12	16:31	11
19	Helmond Sport	12	20:26	9
20	Jong Utrecht	12	19:31	7

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31:12	+19	25	DWWDW
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22:7	+15	22	LLWWL
3	VVV Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	+12	21	WDWWL
4	Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	+4	19	WWWDW
5	NAC Breda	10	5	2	3	20:19	+1	17	DWWDW
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	+2	16	WWDLW
7	MVV	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16	DLLLW
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22:17	+5	15	WDWLW
9	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	19:15	+4	14	DDLDL
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14	LWLDL
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	+4	13	WDLWD
12	Jong PSV U21	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13	WLDLD
13	FC OSS	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12	DLWWL
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11	DWWDL
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11	LLLDL
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11	DLWDW
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9	LLLDL
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8	DWLDL
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8	LWLDW
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7	LLLLW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Heracles	10	31:12	25
2	Almere City FC	10	22:7	22
3	VVV Venlo	10	26:14	21
4	Emmen	10	22:18	19
5	NAC Breda	10	20:19	17
6	Roda	10	10:8	16
7	MVV	10	13:20	16
8	FC Volendam	10	22:17	15
9	Waalwijk	10	19:15	14
10	Vitesse	10	15:15	14
11	Jong AZ	10	22:18	13
12	Jong PSV U21	10	15:17	13
13	FC OSS	10	15:15	12
14	Den Bosch	10	14:18	11
15	FC Eindhoven	10	15:22	11
16	De Graafschap	10	13:23	11
17	Helmond Sport	10	16:19	9
18	Jong Ajax	10	13:25	8
19	Dordrecht	10	13:27	8
20	Jong Utrecht	10	16:23	7

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Emmen	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6	WWWDW
2	Roda	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6	WWDLW
3	FC Volendam	2	1	1	0	7:3	+4	4	WDWLW
4	Heracles	2	1	1	0	6:2	+4	4	DWWDW
5	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	8:6	+2	4	WDWWL
6	NAC Breda	2	1	1	0	3:1	+2	4	DWWDW
7	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	4:3	+1	4	DWWDL
8	Jong Ajax	2	1	1	0	5:4	+1	4	DWLDL
9	Jong AZ	2	1	1	0	9:8	+1	4	WDLWD
10	Jong PSV U21	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3	WLDLD
11	Dordrecht	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3	LWLDW
12	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3	LWLDL
13	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2	DDLDL
14	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1	DLWDW
15	FC OSS	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1	DLWWL
16	MVV	2	0	1	1	3:7	-4	1	DLLLW
17	FC Eindhoven	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0	LLLDL
18	Almere City FC	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0	LLWWL
19	Helmond Sport	2	0	0	2	4:7	-3	0	LLLDL
20	Jong Utrecht	2	0	0	2	3:8	-5	0	LLLLW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Emmen	2	4:1	6
2	Roda	2	5:3	6
3	FC Volendam	2	7:3	4
4	Heracles	2	6:2	4
5	VVV Venlo	2	8:6	4
6	NAC Breda	2	3:1	4
7	Den Bosch	2	4:3	4
8	Jong Ajax	2	5:4	4
9	Jong AZ	2	9:8	4
10	Jong PSV U21	2	2:2	3
11	Dordrecht	2	3:4	3
12	Vitesse	2	1:2	3
13	Waalwijk	2	2:2	2
14	De Graafschap	2	2:3	1
15	FC OSS	2	4:5	1
16	MVV	2	3:7	1
17	FC Eindhoven	2	1:3	0
18	Almere City FC	2	3:5	0
19	Helmond Sport	2	4:7	0
20	Jong Utrecht	2	3:8	0

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#	Team	G	Form
1	De Graafschap	0:0	DLWDW
2	VVV Venlo	0:0	WDWWL
3	Den Bosch	0:0	DWWDL
4	Dordrecht	0:0	LWLDW
5	FC Eindhoven	0:0	LLLDL
6	Emmen	0:0	WWWDW
7	Helmond Sport	0:0	LLLDL
8	MVV	0:0	DLLLW
9	Almere City FC	0:0	LLWWL
10	FC OSS	0:0	DLWWL
11	FC Volendam	0:0	WDWLW
12	Waalwijk	0:0	DDLDL
13	NAC Breda	0:0	DWWDW
14	Roda	0:0	WWDLW
15	Vitesse	0:0	LWLDL
16	Heracles	0:0	DWWDW
17	Jong PSV U21	0:0	WLDLD
18	Jong Ajax	0:0	DWLDL
19	Jong AZ	0:0	WDLWD
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0	LLLLW

#	Team	G
1	De Graafschap	0:0
2	VVV Venlo	0:0
3	Den Bosch	0:0
4	Dordrecht	0:0
5	FC Eindhoven	0:0
6	Emmen	0:0
7	Helmond Sport	0:0
8	MVV	0:0
9	Almere City FC	0:0
10	FC OSS	0:0
11	FC Volendam	0:0
12	Waalwijk	0:0
13	NAC Breda	0:0
14	Roda	0:0
15	Vitesse	0:0
16	Heracles	0:0
17	Jong PSV U21	0:0
18	Jong Ajax	0:0
19	Jong AZ	0:0
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#	Team	G	Form
1	De Graafschap	0:0	DLWDW
2	VVV Venlo	0:0	WDWWL
3	Den Bosch	0:0	DWWDL
4	Dordrecht	0:0	LWLDW
5	FC Eindhoven	0:0	LLLDL
6	Emmen	0:0	WWWDW
7	Helmond Sport	0:0	LLLDL
8	MVV	0:0	DLLLW
9	Almere City FC	0:0	LLWWL
10	FC OSS	0:0	DLWWL
11	FC Volendam	0:0	WDWLW
12	Waalwijk	0:0	DDLDL
13	NAC Breda	0:0	DWWDW
14	Roda	0:0	WWDLW
15	Vitesse	0:0	LWLDL
16	Heracles	0:0	DWWDW
17	Jong PSV U21	0:0	WLDLD
18	Jong Ajax	0:0	DWLDL
19	Jong AZ	0:0	WDLWD
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0	LLLLW

#	Team	G
1	De Graafschap	0:0
2	VVV Venlo	0:0
3	Den Bosch	0:0
4	Dordrecht	0:0
5	FC Eindhoven	0:0
6	Emmen	0:0
7	Helmond Sport	0:0
8	MVV	0:0
9	Almere City FC	0:0
10	FC OSS	0:0
11	FC Volendam	0:0
12	Waalwijk	0:0
13	NAC Breda	0:0
14	Roda	0:0
15	Vitesse	0:0
16	Heracles	0:0
17	Jong PSV U21	0:0
18	Jong Ajax	0:0
19	Jong AZ	0:0
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0

Promotion

About the Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Almere City FC and Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Almere City FC are 4th and Jong Ajax 15th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Almere City FC 25-12, Jong Ajax 18-29. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Almere City FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax: result, form and history

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Almere City FC Substitutes

Jong Ajax Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Previous meetings

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Compared with other referees

League Table

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

Explore more predictions

This match

More Eerste Divisie matches

All predictions

About the Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax forecast

How to Read These Forecasts

Almere City FC and Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie table

Key Factors for This Match