Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

Dynamo
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
CSKA Moscow
VTB Arena, Moscow·Andrey Prokopov 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Dynamo Rest
3 days
CSKA Moscow Rest
3 days

Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow: result, form and history

Dynamo beat CSKA Moscow 3-1 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them. Referee Andrey Prokopov averages 5.21 cards a game, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.11
X
26%3.75
2
29%3.32
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
55%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.55
No
45%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.11 = 2.57
Over 1.5
78%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.55
Under 1.5
22%4.25
Under 2.5
45%2.21
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.65
Over 9.5
51%2.06
Over 10.5
40%2.70
Under 8.5
37%2.12
Under 9.5
49%1.68
Under 10.5
60%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
58%-
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
42%-

Match Events

27'Luciano GondouFoul
31'Konstantin TyukavinAssist: Yaroslav Gladyshev
34'Card upgrade confirmedAndrey Lunev
43'Ivan Oblyakov(Penalty)
45'Daniil FominFoul
67'Kirill Glebov INMatheus Alves out
68'Arthur Gomes INMaximiliano Gutierrez out
69'Dmitriy Skopintsev INMaksim Osipenko out
69'Luciano Gondou INMaksim Voronov out
76'Yaroslav Gladyshev INViktor Okishor out
80'Ivan Oleynikov INImran Firov out
81'Konstantin Tyukavin INIvan Sergeev out
88'Roberto FernandezAssist: Bitello
90'Roberto FernandezFoul
90+2'Viktor OkishorAssist: Ivan Sergeev
90+4'Danil GlebovFoul

Lineups

Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Schwarz
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.15
A. Lunev6.699A. Lunev
N. Marichal7.02N. Marichal
R. Fernández7.36R. Fernández
David Ricardo7.557D. Ricardo
D. Skopintsev6.27D. Skopintsev
D. Fomin6.274D. Fomin
D. Glebov6.115D. Glebov
Y. Gladyshev7.291Y. Gladyshev
Bitello7.310Bitello
Arthur Gomes6.411A. Gomes
K. Tyukavin7.970K. Tyukavin
V. Torop5.649V. Torop
M. Azzi6.321M. Azzi
João Victor6.54J. Victor
M. Zea6.179M. Zea
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov6.223D. Abdulkadyrov
D. Krugovoy5.73D. Krugovoy
I. Oblyakov6.910I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak6.431M. Kislyak
I. Oleynikov5.919I. Oleynikov
K. Glebov6.417K. Glebov
L. Gondou5.932L. Gondou

Dynamo Substitutes

77J. Casimir
28M. Gutiérrez68'for Arthur Gomes6.5
31I. Leshchuk
60T. Marinkin
21A. Miranchuk
88V. Okishor76'for Yaroslav Gladyshev90+2'7.1
55M. Osipenko69'for Dmitriy Skopintsev6.4
1K. Rasulov
33I. Sergeev81'for Konstantin Tyukavin6.8
56L. Zaydenzal

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

39M. Borisko
20Matija Popovic
11T. Musaev
2Matheus Reis
7Matheus Alves67'for Kirill Glebov5.8
90M. Lukin
18D. Kozlov
37Henrique
62I. Firov80'for Ivan Oleynikov6.3
61P. Filyushin
99Nikolay Barovskiy
97Maksim Voronov69'replaced by Luciano Gondou

Match Stats

DynamoCSKA Moscow
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls12
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
479Total Passes470
383Passes Accurate366
12Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

DynamoDynamo
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
1734Elo Rating 1634
2.10Attack 2.41
2.50Defense 1.88
100%Hit Rate 59%
11.2Shots per Game 13.8
4.7Shots on Target 5.4
4.0Corners per Game 4.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

DynamoDynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DynamoDynamo5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow4Wins · 40%
3.7Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
Premier League08/03/2026
CSKA MoscowDynamo
14
Premier League17/08/2025
DynamoCSKA Moscow
13
Cup16/04/2025
DynamoCSKA Moscow
00
Premier League06/04/2025
CSKA MoscowDynamo
31
Cup12/03/2025
CSKA MoscowDynamo
21
Premier League06/10/2024
DynamoCSKA Moscow
12
Premier League25/11/2023
CSKA MoscowDinamo Moscow
23
Premier League19/08/2023
Dinamo MoscowCSKA Moscow
21
Premier League13/11/2022
Dinamo MoscowCSKA Moscow
21

Recent Form

DynamoDynamo
9W0D1L
14/10/2026
AkhmatDynamo
12
W
11/10/2026
RubinDynamo
01
W
04/10/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
32
W
17/09/2026
FC RostovDynamo
03
W
12/09/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
10
W
06/09/2026
DynamoSpartak Moscow
21
W
03/09/2026
DynamoAkhmat
30
W
29/08/2026
LokomotivDynamo
01
W
23/08/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
31
W
19/08/2026
DynamoFC Krasnodar
01
L
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
6W2D2L
14/10/2026
CSKA MoscowFC Rostov
40
W
11/10/2026
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
04/10/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
31
W
17/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
13
W
12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowRubin
11
D
05/09/2026
ZenitCSKA Moscow
12
W
01/09/2026
FC RostovCSKA Moscow
20
L
28/08/2026
AkronCSKA Moscow
22
D
22/08/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
32
W
18/08/2026
CSKA MoscowAkron
01
L

Referee Profile

Andrey Prokopov31 matches

5.21Cards per match
5.07Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrey Prokopov5.21
Other referees4.51

5.21 cards a match, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.51).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dynamo and CSKA Moscow in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Dynamo are 1st in the Premier League, 3 points ahead of CSKA Moscow in 4th. League goal record so far: Dynamo 18-9, CSKA Moscow 19-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.