Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Dynamo
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Spartak Moscow
VTB Arena, Moscow 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseHighGap+2.6%
Dynamo Rest
2 days
Spartak Moscow Rest
3 days

Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow: result, form and history

Dynamo beat Spartak Moscow 2-1 in the Premier League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Spartak Moscow tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.0 for Dynamo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.82
X
26%3.44
2
34%2.48
Double Chance
1X
66%1.54
X2
60%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.59
No
45%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.22 = 2.67
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
50%1.78
Over 3.5
26%2.75
Under 1.5
24%3.84
Under 2.5
50%2.06
Under 3.5
74%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
53%1.49
Over 9.5
40%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.38
Under 8.5
47%2.40
Under 9.5
60%1.85
Under 10.5
67%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

21'Danil PrutsevAssist: Marquinhos
25'Yaroslav Gladyshev
34'Arthur GomesAssist: Juan Caceres
37'Juan CaceresFoul
45'Nail UmyarovFoul
63'Pablo Solari INPavel Polekh out
72'Luis Chavez INDaniil Fomin out
72'Konstantin TyukavinViolent conduct
72'Alexander DjikuFoul
75'Victor Parada INMirlind Daku out
77'Arthur Gomes INNicolas Marichal out
77'Yaroslav Gladyshev INIvan Sergeev out
83'Roman Zobnin INIgor Dmitriev out
83'Danil Prutsev INIvan Sorokin out
83'Gedson Fernandes INDaniil Denisov out
86'Christopher WoohFoul
90'Goal cancelledIvan Sorokin
90+2'Sandro SchwarzDissent
90+4'Bitello INTimofey Marinkin out
90+7'Mirlind DakuFoul

Lineups

Dynamo
4-3-3Coach: S. Schwarz
Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Carcedo
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.24
K. Rasulov6.21K. Rasulov
J. Cáceres6.04J. Cáceres
M. Osipenko6.655M. Osipenko
David Ricardo6.757D. Ricardo
Rubens6.88Rubens
L. Chávez6.424L. Chávez
D. Glebov6.215D. Glebov
Bitello7.110Bitello
Y. Gladyshev8.091Y. Gladyshev
K. Tyukavin6.170K. Tyukavin
Arthur Gomes8.211A. Gomes
A. Maksimenko7.098A. Maksimenko
Gedson Fernandes5.983G. Fernandes
C. Wooh6.03C. Wooh
A. Djiku6.34A. Djiku
Víctor Parada6.133V. Parada
N. Umyarov5.618N. Umyarov
P. Solari6.27P. Solari
D. Prutsev8.125D. Prutsev
R. Zobnin5.947R. Zobnin
Marquinhos6.710Marquinhos
M. Ugalde6.09M. Ugalde

Dynamo Substitutes

6R. Fernández
56L. Zaydenzal
7D. Skopintsev
33I. Sergeev77'for Yaroslav Gladyshev6.4
88V. Okishor
60T. Marinkin90+4'for Bitello5.9
2N. Marichal77'for Arthur Gomes6.3
17U. Babaev
74D. Fomin72'for Luis Chavez6.5
31I. Leshchuk
99A. Lunev
5M. Majstorović

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

40I. Sorokin83'for Danil Prutsev6.4
6S. Babić
19M. Daku75'for Victor Parada90+7'6.1
17V. Saus
1I. Pomazun
62P. Polekh63'for Pablo Solari6.3
24Nikita Massalyga
82D. Khlusevich
56A. Dovbnya
27I. Dmitriev83'for Roman Zobnin5.5
97D. Denisov83'for Gedson Fernandes5.7
71Aleksandr Dobroditskiy

Match Stats

DynamoSpartak Moscow
43%Ball Possession57%
0Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls14
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves5
395Total Passes530
291Passes Accurate433
74%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

DynamoDynamo
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1734Elo Rating 1722
2.10Attack 2.78
2.50Defense 2.35
100%Hit Rate 81%
11.2Shots per Game 18.0
4.7Shots on Target 7.7
4.0Corners per Game 7.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

DynamoDynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DynamoDynamo2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow5Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup18/03/2026
Spartak MoscowDynamo
10
Cup05/03/2026
DynamoSpartak Moscow
52
Premier League06/12/2025
Spartak MoscowDynamo
11
Premier League13/09/2025
DynamoSpartak Moscow
22
Premier League11/05/2025
DynamoSpartak Moscow
20
Cup29/04/2025
Spartak MoscowDynamo
21
Cup02/10/2024
DynamoSpartak Moscow
23
Premier League22/09/2024
Spartak MoscowDynamo
22
Cup31/07/2024
Spartak MoscowDynamo
30
Cup01/05/2024
DynamoSpartak Moscow
02

Recent Form

DynamoDynamo
6W1D3L
03/09/2026
DynamoAkhmat
30
W
29/08/2026
LokomotivDynamo
01
W
23/08/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
31
W
19/08/2026
DynamoFC Krasnodar
01
L
16/08/2026
ZenitDynamo
30
L
09/08/2026
DynamoDinamo Makhachkala
31
W
05/08/2026
FakelDynamo
01
W
01/08/2026
BaltikaDynamo
21
L
25/07/2026
DynamoKrylia Sovetov
00
D
18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
W
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W1D3L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
W
30/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
11
D
23/08/2026
Spartak MoscowZenit
20
W
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
L
16/08/2026
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
12
W
09/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
12
L
05/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
51
W
02/08/2026
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
12
W
25/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dynamo and Spartak Moscow in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Dynamo are 1st in the Premier League, 2 points ahead of Spartak Moscow in 3rd. League goal record so far: Dynamo 18-9, Spartak Moscow 21-8. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.