Spartak Moscow vs Zenit Prediction

Spartak Moscow
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Zenit
Lukoil Arena, Moscow·Inal Tanashev, Russia 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.87
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Spartak Moscow Rest
4 days
Zenit Rest
4 days

Spartak Moscow vs Zenit: the result in context

Spartak Moscow beat Zenit 2-0 in the Premier League on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Referee Inal Tanashev averages 5.30 cards a game, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.81
X
28%3.30
2
38%2.56
Double Chance
1X
62%1.51
X2
66%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.69
No
46%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.12 = 2.27
Over 1.5
67%1.27
Over 2.5
45%1.97
Over 3.5
20%3.25
Under 1.5
33%3.36
Under 2.5
55%1.87
Under 3.5
80%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.53
Over 9.5
49%1.90
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
41%2.33
Under 9.5
51%1.82
Under 10.5
62%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
51%1.69
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
49%2.02

Match Events

12'W. BarriosOG
21'WendelFoul
38'R. ZobninAssist: Marquinhos
48'MarquinhosFoul
57'R. Litvinov IND. Denisov out
57'Nino INN. Alip out
57'A. Sobolev INFelipe Augusto out
63'Roman ZobninFoul
64'Maksim GlushenkovFoul
67'Román VegaFoul
71'R. Zobnin INV. Parada out
71'Marquinhos INI. Dmitriev out
73'Jhon Jhon INA. Karpukas out
73'W. Barrios INLuiz Henrique out
76'Artem KarpukasFoul
80'Manfred UgaldeFoul
81'Gedson FernandesFoul
82'Wendel INK. Andrade out
83'G. Fernandes IND. Prutsev out
83'M. Ugalde INM. Daku out
88'Igor DmitrievFoul
88'Maksim GlushenkovArgument
88'Maksim GlushenkovArgument

Lineups

Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Carcedo Juan
Zenit
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergey Semak
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.63
A. Maksimenko6.698A. Maksimenko
G. Fernandes6.983G. Fernandes
C. Wooh7.23C. Wooh
A. Djiku7.24A. Djiku
R. ZobninC7.647R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov6.268R. Litvinov
P. Solari6.97P. Solari
N. Umyarov7.018N. Umyarov
E. Barco7.35E. Barco
Marquinhos6.710Marquinhos
M. Ugalde6.79M. Ugalde
D. Adamov6.516D. Adamov
Gustavo Mantuan6.731G. Mantuan
I. Diveev6.078I. Diveev
Nino6.633Nino
R. Vega6.366R. Vega
W. BarriosC6.25W. Barrios
Wendel7.58Wendel
M. Glushenkov6.910M. Glushenkov
Jhon Jhon6.214J. Jhon
Pedrinho6.920Pedrinho
A. Sobolev6.27A. Sobolev

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

56A. Dovbnya
1I. Pomazun
6S. Babic
33V. Parada71'for R. Zobnin6.3
97D. Denisov57'for R. Litvinov6.9
25D. Prutsev83'for G. Fernandes6.9
17V. Saus
40I. Sorokin
27I. Dmitriev71'for Marquinhos88'6.7
19M. Daku83'for M. Ugalde6.7
24N. Massalyga
62P. Polekh

Zenit Substitutes

71D. Odoevskiy
57B. Moskvichev
28N. Alip57'for Nino7.2
15V. Karavaev
82S. Volkov
25K. Andrade82'for Wendel6.7
21A. Erokhin
93A. Karpukas73'for Jhon Jhon76'6.7
61D. Kondakov
17A. Mostovoy
11Luiz Henrique73'for W. Barrios6.9
9Felipe Augusto57'for A. Sobolev6.6

Match Stats

Spartak MoscowZenit
40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots4
21Fouls13
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
334Total Passes482
259Passes Accurate412
78%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
ZenitZenit
1722Elo Rating 1768
2.78Attack 2.63
2.35Defense 1.37
81%Hit Rate 100%
18.0Shots per Game 14.3
7.7Shots on Target 6.0
7.1Corners per Game 7.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ZenitZenit
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1Wins · 10%
Draws660%
ZenitZenit3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Super Cup18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
Cup08/04/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
6070
Premier League14/03/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
20
Premier League16/08/2025
Spartak MoscowZenit
22
Premier League16/03/2025
Spartak MoscowZenit
21
Premier League24/08/2024
ZenitSpartak Moscow
00
Cup17/04/2024
ZenitSpartak Moscow
00
Cup03/04/2024
Spartak MoscowZenit
12
Premier League02/03/2024
Zenit Saint PetersburgSpartak Moscow
00
Premier League20/08/2023
Spartak MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
13

Recent Form

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
5W1D4L
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
L
16/08/2026
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
12
W
09/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
12
L
05/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
51
W
02/08/2026
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
12
W
25/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
L
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
L
08/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
00
D
04/07/2026
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
32
W
ZenitZenit
8W1D1L
19/08/2026
Krylia SovetovZenit
3050
W
16/08/2026
ZenitDynamo
30
W
09/08/2026
ZenitRodina Moskva
12
L
05/08/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
W
02/08/2026
FC OrenburgZenit
03
W
25/07/2026
AkronZenit
05
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
12/07/2026
ZenitFK Crvena Zvezda
31
W
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
W

Referee Profile

Inal Tanashev53 matches

5.30Cards per match
5.09Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
30.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Inal Tanashev5.30
Other referees4.56

5.30 cards a match, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the Spartak Moscow vs Zenit forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Spartak Moscow and Zenit in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Zenit are 2nd in the Premier League, 1 point ahead of Spartak Moscow in 3rd. League goal record so far: Spartak Moscow 21-8, Zenit 25-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.