Zenit vs Dynamo Prediction

Zenit
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Dynamo
Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg·Artem Chistyakov, Russia 16/08/2026
ZenitZenit
3-0
Finished
DynamoDynamo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.65
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.2%
Zenit Rest
6 days
Dynamo Rest
7 days

Zenit vs Dynamo: the result in context

Zenit beat Dynamo 3-0 in the Premier League on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Artem Chistyakov averages 3.72 cards a game, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.65
X
20%4.10
2
14%5.20
Double Chance
1X
86%1.18
X2
34%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.98 + 0.86 = 2.84
Over 1.5
82%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.77
Over 3.5
31%2.81
Under 1.5
18%3.90
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
56%1.49
Over 9.5
46%1.84
Over 10.5
36%2.33
Under 8.5
44%2.45
Under 9.5
54%1.87
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.5 = 3.8
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

29'A. Sobolev(Penalty)
33'A. SobolevAssist: M. Glushenkov
46'Nino INK. Andrade out
59'K. Andrade
60'Y. Gladyshev INI. Sergeev out
69'M. Glushenkov
71'A. Sobolev INN. Alip out
71'Jhon Jhon INFelipe Augusto out
73'D. Fomin INA. Miranchuk out
73'Arthur Gomes INV. Okishor out
78'Pedrinho INDouglas Santos out
80'J. Caceres
83'Wendel IND. Kondakov out
85'J. Caceres IND. Skopintsev out
86'David Ricardo
87'M. Glushenkov

Lineups

Zenit
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergey Semak
Dynamo
4-3-3Coach: Sandro Schwarz
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.44
Denis Adamov7.216D. Adamov
Gustavo Mantuan7.531G. Mantuan
Igor Diveev7.078I. Diveev
Nino6.933Nino
Román Vega7.066R. Vega
Wílmar BarriosC6.35W. Barrios
Wendel6.98Wendel
Maksim Glushenkov8.710M. Glushenkov
Pedro6.620Pedro
Jhon Jhon6.614J. Jhon
Aleksandr Sobolev8.07A. Sobolev
Kurban Rasulov6.01K. Rasulov
Juan Cáceres6.34J. Cáceres
Maksim Osipenko6.655M. Osipenko
David Ricardo6.257D. Ricardo
Rubens6.38Rubens
Daniil FominC6.374D. Fomin
Timofey Marinkin6.660T. Marinkin
Bitello6.310Bitello
Yaroslav Gladyshev6.391Y. Gladyshev
Konstantin Tyukavin6.970K. Tyukavin
Arthur Gomes6.611A. Gomes

Zenit Substitutes

25Kevin Andrade46'for Nino59'6.9
28Nuraly Alip71'for A. Sobolev6.7
9Felipe Augusto71'for Jhon Jhon6.3
3Douglas Santos78'for Pedrinho6.9
61Daniil Kondakov83'for Wendel6.5
71Daniil Odoevskiy
57Bogdan Moskvichev
82Sergey Volkov
15Vyacheslav Karavaev
11Luiz Henrique
17Andrey Mostovoy
21Alexandr Erokhin

Dynamo Substitutes

33Ivan Sergeev60'for Y. Gladyshev6.9
21Anton Miranchuk73'for D. Fomin6.6
88Viktor Okishor73'for Arthur Gomes6.5
7Dmitri Skopintsev85'for J. Caceres6.2
51Ruslan Dzhioev
31Igor Leshchuk
56Leon Zaydenzal
5Milan Majstorović
6Roberto Fernández
15Danil Glebov
24Luis Chávez
17Ulvi Babaev

Match Stats

ZenitDynamo
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
3Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal4
0Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box11
0Blocked Shots5
16Fouls15
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
379Total Passes478
314Passes Accurate417
83%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

ZenitZenit
DynamoDynamo
1768Elo Rating 1734
2.63Attack 2.10
1.37Defense 2.50
100%Hit Rate 100%
14.3Shots per Game 11.2
6.0Shots on Target 4.7
7.0Corners per Game 4.0
2.5Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZenitZenit
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
DynamoDynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ZenitZenit5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
DynamoDynamo4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League22/03/2026
DynamoZenit
13
Cup27/11/2025
DynamoZenit
01
Cup05/11/2025
ZenitDynamo
13
Premier League26/10/2025
ZenitDynamo
21
Premier League26/04/2025
DynamoZenit
11
Premier League10/08/2024
ZenitDynamo
10
Premier League28/04/2024
Dinamo MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
10
Cup13/03/2024
Zenit Saint PetersburgDinamo Moscow
20
Cup29/11/2023
Dinamo MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
10
Premier League06/08/2023
Zenit Saint PetersburgDinamo Moscow
23

Recent Form

ZenitZenit
7W2D1L
09/08/2026
ZenitRodina Moskva
12
L
05/08/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
W
02/08/2026
FC OrenburgZenit
03
W
25/07/2026
AkronZenit
05
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
12/07/2026
ZenitFK Crvena Zvezda
31
W
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
W
05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
11
D
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
W
DynamoDynamo
7W1D2L
09/08/2026
DynamoDinamo Makhachkala
31
W
05/08/2026
FakelDynamo
01
W
01/08/2026
BaltikaDynamo
21
L
25/07/2026
DynamoKrylia Sovetov
00
D
18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
W
18/07/2026
AkronDynamo
01
W
07/07/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
21
W
04/07/2026
DynamoNizhny Novgorod
21
W
27/06/2026
DynamoTorpedo Moskva
02
L
17/05/2026
BaltikaDynamo
12
W

Referee Profile

Artem Chistyakov114 matches

3.72Cards per match
3.58Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Artem Chistyakov3.72
Other referees4.65

3.72 cards a match, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).

Cards come from 71 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1281319:12+725LWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1237214:12+216WDWDL
7Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
8BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12AkronAkron1226415:21-612WDLWD
13LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
14AkhmatAkhmat1225515:17-211LLDLW
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1223713:27-149WDLDL
16FakelFakel121388:20-126LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1219:1225
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1214:1216
7Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
8BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12AkronAkron1215:2112
13LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
14AkhmatAkhmat1215:1711
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1213:279
16FakelFakel128:206
Relegation

About the Zenit vs Dynamo forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Zenit and Dynamo in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Dynamo are 1st in the Premier League, 1 point ahead of Zenit in 2nd. League goal record so far: Zenit 25-13, Dynamo 19-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.