Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction

Estoril
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Rio Ave
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril· Carlos Macedo, Portugal 22/08/2026
EstorilEstoril
0-2
Finished
Rio AveRio Ave

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+7.1%
Estoril Rest
6 days
Rio Ave Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.05
X
24%3.44
2
28%3.60
Double Chance
1X
72%1.28
X2
53%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.08 = 2.59
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.84
Over 3.5
24%3.05
Under 1.5
25%3.70
Under 2.5
52%1.96
Under 3.5
76%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.42
Over 9.5
53%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.13
Under 8.5
36%2.57
Under 9.5
47%2.00
Under 10.5
59%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
46%1.34
Over 4.5
23%1.84
Under 3.5
54%2.80
Under 4.5
77%1.88

Match Events

15'J. BlesaAssist: Diogo Bezerra
52'R. Galcik INA. Ntoi out
53'Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Blesa
67'F. Medrano
68'T. Brito INF. Garcia out
69'R. Sanchez INP. Carvalho out
69'F. Medrano INT. Parente out
73'TambleAssist: J. Blesa
76'A. Tsoungui INJ. Arnolin out
76'R. Guitane INPeixinho out
76'N. Abbey INM. Vrousai out
80'J. Brabec INGustavo Mancha out
80'Tamble IND. Spikic out
86'A. Ntoi

Lineups

Estoril
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Matos
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Coach: Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
Joel Robles1J. RoblesJoel Robles
Ricard Sánchez2R. SánchezRicard Sánchez
Ferro4FerroFerro
Ismael Sierra Arnal15I. Sierra ArnalIsmael Sierra Arnal
Fernando Medrano3F. MedranoFernando Medrano
Tiago Brito90T. BritoTiago Brito
Antef Tsoungui5A. TsounguiAntef Tsoungui
Rafik Guitane99R. GuitaneRafik Guitane
João Carvalho12J. CarvalhoJoão Carvalho
André Lacximicant7A. LacximicantAndré Lacximicant
Yanis Begraoui14Y. BegraouiYanis Begraoui
Ennio Van Der Gouw99E. Van Der GouwEnnio Van Der Gouw
Georgios Liavas54G. LiavasGeorgios Liavas
Francisco Petrasso23F. PetrassoFrancisco Petrasso
Jakub Brabec14J. BrabecJakub Brabec
Nelson Abbey6N. AbbeyNelson Abbey
Tamás Nikitscher44T. NikitscherTamás Nikitscher
Diogo Nascimento90D. NascimentoDiogo Nascimento
Roland Galčík30R. GalčíkRoland Galčík
Jalen Blesa11J. BlesaJalen Blesa
Diogo Bezerra7D. BezerraDiogo Bezerra
Tamblé Monteiro9T. MonteiroTamblé Monteiro

Estoril Substitutes

23Diogo DiasG
16Martin TurkG
42Jordan ArnolinD
22Pedro CarvalhoD
19Tiago ParenteD
25Stelios AndreouD
18Gonçalo CostaD
80Luis GomesM
6Jandro OrellanaM
98Fabrício GarciaF
17PeixinhoF

Rio Ave Substitutes

5Andreas NdojD
22Kevin ChamorroG
39Gustavo ManchaD
60CaikeD
13Julien LombotoD
70Antoine WenckM
25Rafael LobatoF
79Miguel PatricioF
17Marios VrousaiF
67Samuel da Silva AlvesF
27Tobias MedinaM
77Dario ŠpikićF

Match Stats

EstorilRio Ave
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots3
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal0
8Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots0
11Fouls10
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
372Total Passes326
303Passes Accurate256
81%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

EstorilEstoril
Rio AveRio Ave
1565Elo Rating 1557
0.19Attack 1.14
1.73Defense 0.21
0%Hit Rate 17%
11.3Shots per Game 7.6
4.0Shots on Target 2.9
3.9Corners per Game 3.3
2.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstorilEstoril
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rio AveRio Ave
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Estoril 42%Draw 31%27% Rio Ave
3.25Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
86%Over 2.5

Recent Form

EstorilEstoril
0W3D2L
16/08/2026
NacionalEstoril
20
L
07/08/2026
EstorilFamalicao
11
D
31/07/2026
CF Os BelenensesEstoril
11
D
25/07/2026
EstorilTorreense
00
D
22/07/2026
AlvercaEstoril
20
L
Rio AveRio Ave
2W1D2L
15/08/2026
Rio AveFC Porto
02
L
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
L
01/08/2026
Rio AveTondela
31
W
19/07/2026
Rio AveAl-Ahli Jeddah
22
D
15/07/2026
PortimonenseRio Ave
03
W

Referee Profile

Carlos Macedo, Portugal · 6 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 15% of referees analysed

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente52124:407LLDWW
10MaritimoMaritimo62137:11-47LLLDW
11MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
12AlvercaAlverca61238:11-35WLDLD
13FamalicaoFamalicao60425:7-24DDDLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional61147:11-44LLLLW
16Rio AveRio Ave61145:14-94DLLWL
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente54:47
10MaritimoMaritimo67:117
11MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
12AlvercaAlverca68:115
13FamalicaoFamalicao65:74
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional67:114
16Rio AveRio Ave65:144
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

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Key Factors for This Match

Estoril and Rio Ave have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.25 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.